Polymarket users predict a 42% chance BTC falls to $95K
Sentiment signals possible near-term correction
Macro and technical trends are driving the outlook
On Polymarket, a leading prediction market, users have placed a 42% chance that Bitcoin will fall to $95,000 or below by the end of this month. The figure highlights growing concerns about short-term volatility even after Bitcoin’s recent highs.
Why Traders Are Betting on a Dip
Macro-economic risks – Uncertainty around interest rate policy and inflation could impact crypto sentiment.
Technical resistance zones – Bitcoin has struggled to sustain gains above $100K, with strong selling pressure noted near this level.
Shift in market psychology – As Bitcoin consolidates, more participants are betting on a short-term pullback.
What Could Trigger the Drop?
Despite bullish long-term fundamentals, short-term headwinds may test Bitcoin’s strength. If broader financial markets face a downturn or if Bitcoin fails to hold critical support levels, the $95K target could become reality.
Factors to Monitor
Economic indicators: Fed policy shifts, inflation data
Exchange flows: Large BTC movements onto exchanges
Technical chart patterns: Failure to hold above $98K–$100K may lead to increased selling
NEW: Polymarket users predict a 42% chance Bitcoin will hit $95,000 and below this month. pic.twitter.com/PCm3BXYSG9
— Cointelegraph (@Cointelegraph) June 23, 2025
How Traders Might React
Day traders could take advantage of short-term volatility
Investors may wait for confirmation before entering new positions
Hedgers might use derivatives to manage potential downside risks
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