FOMC

🔔 Rate Cut Expectations:-
• High Probability of Rate Cut:
Futures markets now price a 97.3% chance of a 25 bps rate cut at this month’s FOMC meeting — signaling near-consensus among traders.
• Powell Balancing Act:
With no fresh data due to the shutdown, Powell’s team is flying blind — policy by instinct, not evidence.
🏛️ Impact of the U.S. Government Shutdown:-
• Data Drought:
The shutdown has halted key releases, including the September jobs report, leaving the Fed effectively “blindfolded” in its decision-making.
• Economic Sentiment Weakens:
Unemployment has climbed to 4.3%, the highest since 2021, while ADP recorded 32,000 private-sector job losses in September.
• Public Mood:
According to Pew Research, 74% of Americans describe current conditions as “fair or poor.”
Political paralysis and fiscal deadlock have created the same conditions that triggered cross-asset volatility in previous cycles.

📢 Macro Voices & Political Pressure:-
“A lack of fresh data means the Fed can’t confirm the labor market remains on solid ground,” — Krishna Guha, Evercore ISI.
“Persistent inflation, resilient demand, and only modest labor market slack suggest policy is barely restrictive,” — Lorie Logan, Dallas Fed President.
“Each rate cut weakens the dollar’s moral authority — bullish for Bitcoin, terrifying for policymakers,” — Macro Trader, Singapore.
Former President Donald Trump has also demanded near-zero interest rates if reelected. Powell’s term ends May 2026, which adds further political undertones to every move the Fed makes.

🪙 Bitcoin New Dance with the Fed:-
• Accumulation Trend Rising:
Glassnode data shows exchange outflows up 9% week-on-week, confirming deep conviction among long-term holders.
• DeFi Expanding Rapidly:
Total Value Locked (TVL) across DeFi platforms now sits at $82.5 billion, up 11% month-on-month, with Ethereum and Solana leading inflows.
• Macro Rotation:
With gold hitting $3,900 and the Nikkei up 4.3%, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as part of the new global triad of safe havens — Gold, Stocks, and Code

📊 Market Snapshot (as of October 7, 2025)
✅ Bitcoin (BTC): $123,957
✅ 24h Change: +0.85%
✅ Intraday High: $126,157
✅ Intraday Low: $123,373
✅ Market Cap: ~$2.45 trillion
✅ Mood: Risk-on sentiment ahead of the FOMC meeting

🔮 Analyst’s Outlook — 3 Crypto Predictions Ahead of FOMC
1️⃣ Powell Cuts, Markets Roar:
🔸 A 25 bps cut could ignite a liquidity surge — lifting BTC, ETH, and DeFi assets as real yields compress.
🔸 Expect renewed flows into tokenized RWA projects and stablecoin ecosystems.
2️⃣ Shutdown Pressure Builds:
🔸The longer the data drought, the higher the policy risk — and the sharper the volatility.
🔸 Institutions could expand crypto hedges to navigate uncertainty.
3️⃣ Crypto Takes the Macro Stage:
🔸Bitcoin’s role shifts from “alternative asset” to macro barometer.
🔸If Powell cuts without clarity — risk assets pump, credibility burns.And crypto thrives on that chaos.
🧠 Final Thoughts:-
🗨️ The setup is historic — a blind Fed, a divided government, and a crypto market loaded with conviction.
🗨️ Each cut buys time but sells trust, pushing capital toward decentralized stores of value.
🗨️ Bitcoin next leg may not depend on adoption — but on how fast Powell prints.
💬 If Powell blinks, liquidity flows.
💬 If the data dies, volatility reigns.
💬 Crypto doesn’t wait for clarity — it trades the chaos.
Note: Data verified as of October 7, 2025. Market conditions and probabilities are subject to change. Always conduct independent analysis before making investment decisions.
#FOMC #Powell #RateCutExpectations #USShutdown #FedWatch
$BTC $ETH $BNB

#LasVegas2025 In May 2025, the Bitcoin Conference gathered tens of thousands of people at the Venetian Expo in Las Vegas. This event, where politicians and financiers spoke, established bitcoin in the eyes of a large segment of the public as a safe-haven asset on par with gold and real estate since, $BTC it is no longer just tech but a political discourse and a financial weapon.
#BinanceSquare Indeed, today, at the time of writing this, gold is at 127,162.95 $/kg and real estate in the USA in July 2025 averages 4,722 $/square meter or 487,300 $ for a house.