btcusd

A lot of talk is being thrown around lately regarding the M2 Global Supply (black trend-line) and how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will follow it upwards as it explodes. Those claims have intensified especially in the past 2 weeks as an argument to support BTC's recovery following the decline from its $126k Top.
However, history shows that the two don't have to be correlated. In fact, during the past two Cycles, BTC topped at least 105 days (15 weeks) before the Global M2 did. Especially during the previous Cycle (2021), BTC has broken well below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and stayed under up until the M2 peaked also. Note that the 1W MA50 is what has (so far) supported BTC's current correction.
As a result, no hopes of recovery can be rest upon a currently rising Global Liquidity. And if BTC's Cycle Top was 2 weeks ago, the Global Liquidity might peak 15 weeks from that, around January 19 2026 (possibly around the time the stock market peaks too).
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$BTC
$BTC /USD Risk free ✅
#BTC #btcusd #riskfree #smc #Tecnicalanalaysis

The data doesn't lie. While many traders are waiting for a major dip that may never come, Bitcoin is methodically consolidating in a tightening range, building energy for its next significant move.
📊 Technical Breakdown: The Squeeze is On
· Key Moving Averages: The price is currently navigating the space between the short-term MA(7) at ~$108,189** and the more significant MA(25) resistance at **~$109,490. A decisive break above this MA(25) level would be a strong technical signal.
· Consolidation Pattern: The chart shows a clear contraction in volatility, with the price action forming a coiling pattern. Historically, such tight consolidations after a prior move are often followed by powerful, directional breakouts.
· Support Level: The ~$107,150 level has acted as a reliable floor during this period. A hold above this is technically constructive.
🧠 The Market Psychology: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) vs. Fear of a Drawdown (FOD)
The perpetual wait for a "perfect dip" is a common psychological trap. As the chart demonstrates, the major corrective move has likely already occurred, and the market is now in a phase of re-accumulation. The sentiment shift you're noticing is real—it's the market shaking off weak hands and building a stronger foundation.
⚡ The Implication: The Asymmetric Setup
The risk/reward profile is becoming increasingly asymmetric:
· Upside Potential: A breakout above $109,500** could quickly target resistance zones near **$112,000 and beyond, potentially fueling a run toward new all-time highs.
· Downside Risk: A break below the $107,150 support would signal a failure of this consolidation and could see a test of lower supports. However, the current structure suggests this is the less probable outcome.
✅ Actionable Strategy
1. Confirmation is Key: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $109,500 with increasing volume for a high-probability long entry.
2. Manage Your Risk: A stop-loss just below the key support level (e.g., $106,800) protects against a false breakout.
3. Don't Chase: If you missed the initial dip, entering on a retest of the breakout level ($109.5K) is often safer than chasing a parabolic move.
The Bottom Line: 🎯
The illusion is waiting for a dip that has already passed.The opportunity is recognizing the building momentum for the next leg up. The chart suggests patience is about to be rewarded—but always let price action confirm the narrative.
#Bitcoin #BTC #TradingAnalysis #Crypto #BTCUSD #Breakout #MarketCycle
$H
$BTC

Here's a summary of Bitcoin at ~$114,000 with an analysis of what it means and why you should care 🤔
✅ What we know

Bitcoin's price has been observed to have risen from around $108,000 to nearly $114,000 in a short period, driven by macroeconomic policy shifts and large institutional inflows.


Technical analysts point to the ~$114,000–$116,000 level as an important resistance area, and if it is breached with appropriate support, it could open the way to higher levels.

$BTC
"I shared this trade a while ago — back-to-back profit!"
#BTC #BTCUSD #Tecnicalanalaysis #smc

$BTC

$BTC is currently testing a major resistance zone around $109,300 – $109,700.
I’ll wait for a bearish candle formation (1 to 5 minute timeframe) from this resistance area before taking a short entry.
🔹 Entry Trigger:
If a clear bearish candle forms from this zone.
🔹 Stop-Loss:
Just above the resistance — around $109,700+.
🔹 Target Zones:
1️⃣ $108,500
2️⃣ $108,300 – $108,000
💡 Analysis Insight:
This resistance has already shown reaction earlier. A bearish candle confirmation here could indicate short-term rejection and pullback.
⚠️ Note:
No entry without confirmation candle — patience is key.
Educational purpose only, not financial advice.
#BTCUSD #Tecnicalanalaysis #trading #foryou

$BTC
Bitcoin has tapped into the news liquidity zone and is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal from this key demand area.
If the price holds above the liquidity zone, we could see a strong upward move in the coming sessions.
🔹 Current Price: $107,554
🔹 Liquidity Zone: $102,110
Tell us in the comments what you think — will the market work like this?
#BTCUSD #LiquidSwap #Tecnicalanalaysis #StrategyBTCPurchase

$BTC
This is not financial advise, Educational purpose only.
#BTC #BTCUSD #MarketPullback #TecnicalAnalysis

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on the verge of establishing an LMACD Bearish Cross on the 1M time-frame, which for better reliability needs to close the current 1M candle (October) to confirm it.
The nightmare LMACD Bearish Cross
As the title says, this is a 'nightmare' development for the market, certainly not something that the majority of investors want to see right now, as this Bearish Cross has had disastrous effects every time it took place at the end of the 4-year Cycle.
First of all, let's not allow being overlooked the fact that the 1M LMACD is also reversing right before a test of its multi-year Lower Highs trend-line. That line priced all previous Cycle Tops.
Is this a Cycle Top? Best-worst case scenarios
Back to he Bearish Cross, it has always been formed around Cycle Tops as well. More specifically, the one that was formed after January 2014, was already on the 3rd month after the Cycle Top. The one that was formed after February 2018, was on the 4th month of the Bear Cycle. More recently, the one that was formed on August 2021 was 3 months before the Cycle Top. Interestingly enough, that was a peculiar Cycle with an (almost) Double Top, which was no surprise that the LMACD got rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line much earlier on the April 2021 Top.
As a result, the best case scenario based on this model for BTC is to have another 3 months of Bull, especially if it gets aided by favorable news (Trade deal, rate cuts, adoption). The more likely however historically, especially if October closes in red in 10 days, is that Bitcoin has entered a new Bear Cycle and this MACD Bearish Cross comes to confirm it.
How low can it go??
What's even worse is that, if we've already seen the Top, the market tends to decline on average by more than -80% historically, with the last Bear Cycle suffering losses of almost -78% (the softest Cycle of all). It was also the only one that closed a month (numerous 1M candles actually) below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) unlike the first two, which used that as a Support/ Cycle Bottom. As a result, the best case scenario if a new Bear Cycle has already started is to place a bottom on its 1M MA50 around $60000 - 65000 and the worst to decline by -78% around $30000 (or a little worse).
Again, not the kind of technical analysis most want to be seeing right now..
The positive look
For conclusion, we should always keep in mind that the fundamental scenery/ environment changes with every Cycle in a more favorable way, e.g this Cycle we had much stronger institutional adoption, even national treasuries and more importantly we saw the introduction of the Bitcoin ETF by Blackrock which was a game changer in capital inflows. You don't see often such investment bank giants 'allowing' one of their products to tank by -80%.
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🇮🇷 The general situation in Iran in terms of living





Iran is a country with a rich history and culture, but contemporary economic and political conditions make life there not easy, especially for foreigners or investors in sensitive areas like cryptocurrencies.


⚡ Electricity and Bitcoin mining





It is true that the cost of electricity is very low in Iran — among the cheapest in the world — and that is why the cost of mining Bitcoin (about 1300 dollars) seems very attractive compared to European countries like Italy (more than 300 thousand dollars).