btc走势分析
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全球股市恐慌性暴跌，美国经济陷衰退隐忧等多重因素，比特币市场面临短时触及4.9万美元，比特币走势将会如何？
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Btc once again "bulls back overnight", but don't let the jumping K-line lead you by the nose. Careful traders will notice that yesterday's big rise was not accompanied by trading volume.
There are two reasons for this phenomenon:
1. Leverage liquidation has led to a chain reaction of rising prices, driven by the contract side.
2. The drop on Monday was too severe, and the past few weeks have seen significant declines, creating a vacuum of sell orders above. The temporary supply exhaustion means that even a little buying volume can push the price up.
So what now? Should we go long or short?
Hold back those eager hands wanting to FOMO; it’s better not to be too aggressive at this stage.
1) If Bitcoin breaks 93880, and even pushes up to 94, it can be seen as a confirmation of a rebound. Because after reaching this price range, even if it drops by 2%, it still stands at the previous high of around 92. If Bitcoin continues to rise in a bloodsucking manner, meaning Bitcoin leads the altcoins, then it can be seen as a medium-sized rebound on the daily level. Targeting 99-100.
2) If it fails to break through the key fair value range here, I tend to expect consolidation. As everyone adjusts to the weekly charts, Bitcoin has experienced more than a month of decline. Historically, after such a prolonged one-sided trend in Bitcoin, it often gives a period of consolidation to determine the direction. At this time, it may be necessary to pay attention to some small coins that are making moves, whether they go up or down.
The market has been bad lately, and those so-called traders on Twitter haven't been making much noise, which has made my information flow very quiet, clearly feeling the market trend.
For example, today’s rise, on December 2nd, dropped to 84000, quickly recovered, forming a very obvious head and shoulders bottom. So as soon as it recovered, I closed my short position and waited to see. Including the short around 91, it also had a very clear sense of rhythm.
Do not be influenced by public opinion; everything should start from the facts on the chart, have your own book $BTC #BTC走势分析
There are two reasons for this phenomenon:
1. Leverage liquidation has led to a chain reaction of rising prices, driven by the contract side.
2. The drop on Monday was too severe, and the past few weeks have seen significant declines, creating a vacuum of sell orders above. The temporary supply exhaustion means that even a little buying volume can push the price up.
So what now? Should we go long or short?
Hold back those eager hands wanting to FOMO; it’s better not to be too aggressive at this stage.
1) If Bitcoin breaks 93880, and even pushes up to 94, it can be seen as a confirmation of a rebound. Because after reaching this price range, even if it drops by 2%, it still stands at the previous high of around 92. If Bitcoin continues to rise in a bloodsucking manner, meaning Bitcoin leads the altcoins, then it can be seen as a medium-sized rebound on the daily level. Targeting 99-100.
2) If it fails to break through the key fair value range here, I tend to expect consolidation. As everyone adjusts to the weekly charts, Bitcoin has experienced more than a month of decline. Historically, after such a prolonged one-sided trend in Bitcoin, it often gives a period of consolidation to determine the direction. At this time, it may be necessary to pay attention to some small coins that are making moves, whether they go up or down.
The market has been bad lately, and those so-called traders on Twitter haven't been making much noise, which has made my information flow very quiet, clearly feeling the market trend.
For example, today’s rise, on December 2nd, dropped to 84000, quickly recovered, forming a very obvious head and shoulders bottom. So as soon as it recovered, I closed my short position and waited to see. Including the short around 91, it also had a very clear sense of rhythm.
Do not be influenced by public opinion; everything should start from the facts on the chart, have your own book $BTC #BTC走势分析
Mellissa Hora IgpD:
牛
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The real reason for tonight's BTC surge of 1000 points:
Bitcoin experienced a rapid rise tonight, increasing by nearly a thousand dollars in the last hour. This round of market activity is not solely driven by market sentiment; there are several substantial positive factors behind it:
1. Recovery of risk sentiment in the US stock market
The three major indices opened higher collectively, with the Nasdaq hitting a new high, driving a general rebound in risk assets, and cryptocurrencies followed suit.
2. Recovery of net inflows for Bitcoin spot ETFs
Institutional funds showed a net buying position again yesterday, indicating a renewed willingness for institutional allocation.
3. Continued accumulation by listed companies
The US-listed company Hyperscale Data (AIXI) recently increased its holdings by 38.74 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 421.67 BTC, continuing the trend of allocation by listed companies.
4. Open attitude of traditional financial institutions
Bank of America recently advised wealth management clients to allocate 1%-4% of their assets to cryptocurrencies, reflecting an increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies in the traditional financial sector.
5. Advancement of enterprise-level applications
Argentina's state-owned oil company YPF announced that it will officially accept Bitcoin payments, further expanding the practical application scenarios for cryptocurrencies through the participation of a national-level energy company.
Overall, this surge is accompanied by multiple positive actions from institutions, listed companies, and real enterprises. Although short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, the medium to long-term trend remains worthy of attention.
#BTC走势分析 #BTC
Bitcoin experienced a rapid rise tonight, increasing by nearly a thousand dollars in the last hour. This round of market activity is not solely driven by market sentiment; there are several substantial positive factors behind it:
1. Recovery of risk sentiment in the US stock market
The three major indices opened higher collectively, with the Nasdaq hitting a new high, driving a general rebound in risk assets, and cryptocurrencies followed suit.
2. Recovery of net inflows for Bitcoin spot ETFs
Institutional funds showed a net buying position again yesterday, indicating a renewed willingness for institutional allocation.
3. Continued accumulation by listed companies
The US-listed company Hyperscale Data (AIXI) recently increased its holdings by 38.74 BTC, bringing its total holdings to 421.67 BTC, continuing the trend of allocation by listed companies.
4. Open attitude of traditional financial institutions
Bank of America recently advised wealth management clients to allocate 1%-4% of their assets to cryptocurrencies, reflecting an increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies in the traditional financial sector.
5. Advancement of enterprise-level applications
Argentina's state-owned oil company YPF announced that it will officially accept Bitcoin payments, further expanding the practical application scenarios for cryptocurrencies through the participation of a national-level energy company.
Overall, this surge is accompanied by multiple positive actions from institutions, listed companies, and real enterprises. Although short-term fluctuations are unavoidable, the medium to long-term trend remains worthy of attention.
#BTC走势分析 #BTC
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BTC today only experienced a daily level oversold rebound
Reminding everyone not to FOMO
The reversal signal has not yet appeared
MACD (bullish signal has not yet been released)
Currently, the bullish volume at the 2-hour level has been released
Subsequently, it still needs to break through the 12-hour level near 93400
Only after stabilizing around 934000 will it move towards 98000
The weekly and daily levels around 98000 still represent a strong resistance level #BTC #BTC走势分析
Reminding everyone not to FOMO
The reversal signal has not yet appeared
MACD (bullish signal has not yet been released)
Currently, the bullish volume at the 2-hour level has been released
Subsequently, it still needs to break through the 12-hour level near 93400
Only after stabilizing around 934000 will it move towards 98000
The weekly and daily levels around 98000 still represent a strong resistance level #BTC #BTC走势分析
Will BTC reach 100,000 in December?
It will, but it won't be so easy!
In the short term, it will surge to 95,000 but will eventually pull back to 90,000, or even continue to explore a double bottom at 80,000.
MACD:
The bullish momentum at the four-hour level has not emerged.
At the 12-hour level, once it hits 95,000, there will be double pressure here, and it will directly drop to 90,000. If we lose 90,000, we will see our double bottom!
100,000 is the daily and weekly resistance level.
Don't be too optimistic in December; remember it is still a strong bearish market, with a weak bullish market! #加密市场反弹 #btc
It will, but it won't be so easy!
In the short term, it will surge to 95,000 but will eventually pull back to 90,000, or even continue to explore a double bottom at 80,000.
MACD:
The bullish momentum at the four-hour level has not emerged.
At the 12-hour level, once it hits 95,000, there will be double pressure here, and it will directly drop to 90,000. If we lose 90,000, we will see our double bottom!
100,000 is the daily and weekly resistance level.
Don't be too optimistic in December; remember it is still a strong bearish market, with a weak bullish market! #加密市场反弹 #btc
交易员奶糕:
依旧动能理论😂
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$BTC Start easily past 89000, reaching the expected range position of 92000! Once again 92000!! Is it magical?
$SOL 140 is the largest increase among the three!!
At 8 o'clock, the market continues to choose oscillation adjustments… this is the key moment for operation…
This kind of level is very stable, the market seems extremely unstable, but if you grasp it, it is not easy to be killed by both bulls and bears…
BTC, ETH, SOL from December 27 to January 1, this ultra-short line perfectly timed, after taking profit at 9 PM on the 1st, began to wait for further confirmation signals!
By the afternoon of the 2nd, the upward trend was basically established, ultra-short repeatedly tempted short positions, trading volume decreased, 89000 looks like the resistance level is continuously suppressing, but the market changes are easy to understand!
It's 8 o'clock, at this time we need to exert force, we need to see how Bitcoin performs, continuing to oscillate around 92000 for about 15 hours still…
Then altcoins will have to perform a sharp rebound…
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察 #BinanceBlockchainWeek
$SOL 140 is the largest increase among the three!!
At 8 o'clock, the market continues to choose oscillation adjustments… this is the key moment for operation…
This kind of level is very stable, the market seems extremely unstable, but if you grasp it, it is not easy to be killed by both bulls and bears…
BTC, ETH, SOL from December 27 to January 1, this ultra-short line perfectly timed, after taking profit at 9 PM on the 1st, began to wait for further confirmation signals!
By the afternoon of the 2nd, the upward trend was basically established, ultra-short repeatedly tempted short positions, trading volume decreased, 89000 looks like the resistance level is continuously suppressing, but the market changes are easy to understand!
It's 8 o'clock, at this time we need to exert force, we need to see how Bitcoin performs, continuing to oscillate around 92000 for about 15 hours still…
Then altcoins will have to perform a sharp rebound…
#BTC走势分析 #加密市场观察 #BinanceBlockchainWeek
俺也是:
真的感恩p神 不然125空单吃到102左右 后续毫无思路 这一轮多亏有您的分析 目前本金又积累了 再接再厉
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The shocking truth behind the collapse of the $GIGGLE coin! 💥
The coin $GIGGLE did not collapse due to the market… but because of the verification process itself! 🧐
The team allowed the source code to be publicly published on BscScan for review…
As for the 'donation plan'? Just a tweet, nothing more!
And when CZ came out and said:
"This is not my official coin, LOL"
the excitement collapsed immediately.
The $GIGGLE got startled, prices dropped, and a terrifying selling wave began! 🚨
The code is actually sound — what collapsed is the noise, not the project. 😅
👉 Follow us for crypto analyses that always reveal the truth… and stay one step ahead of the chaos!
#GIGGLE #BTCRebound90kNext? #BTC86kJPShock #BTC走势分析 #Megadrop
The coin $GIGGLE did not collapse due to the market… but because of the verification process itself! 🧐
The team allowed the source code to be publicly published on BscScan for review…
As for the 'donation plan'? Just a tweet, nothing more!
And when CZ came out and said:
"This is not my official coin, LOL"
the excitement collapsed immediately.
The $GIGGLE got startled, prices dropped, and a terrifying selling wave began! 🚨
The code is actually sound — what collapsed is the noise, not the project. 😅
👉 Follow us for crypto analyses that always reveal the truth… and stay one step ahead of the chaos!
#GIGGLE #BTCRebound90kNext? #BTC86kJPShock #BTC走势分析 #Megadrop
Crypto ALooSh:
سوف تصل الى 21 دولار
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Good morning, family
$BTC
I took a break for a couple of days due to some matters, but I'm back today!
Continuing today!
BTC short at 93660, second position at 94500, stop loss at 94850-95000
The big coin started rebounding from the lowest point of 80600, forming a four-hour channel. Just when everyone thought there would be a strong rebound, it broke below the four-hour channel and made a V reversal!
This indicates that there are still too many bulls at this position, leading to big institutions feeling it’s tough to pull up the price, which deeply washed out the market again. The big coin is about to touch the lower rail of the four-hour channel, having already increased by 6000 points. It’s time for a correction!
#BTC走势分析
$BTC
I took a break for a couple of days due to some matters, but I'm back today!
Continuing today!
BTC short at 93660, second position at 94500, stop loss at 94850-95000
The big coin started rebounding from the lowest point of 80600, forming a four-hour channel. Just when everyone thought there would be a strong rebound, it broke below the four-hour channel and made a V reversal!
This indicates that there are still too many bulls at this position, leading to big institutions feeling it’s tough to pull up the price, which deeply washed out the market again. The big coin is about to touch the lower rail of the four-hour channel, having already increased by 6000 points. It’s time for a correction!
#BTC走势分析
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🎢 The Biggest Problem of BTC: It Is Still Just a Speculative Asset!
According to Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, the biggest issue causing Bitcoin ($BTC $) to drop sharply (nearly $30\%$ from the recent peak) is not regulation or volatility, but:
"BTC is revealing itself to still be purely a speculative asset."
⚠️ Why BTC Has No Support
The Only Reason to Buy: Essaye argues that the only reason to own crypto is because you believe that "someone will pay more for it." If this belief wavers, the price will collapse without support.
Limited Adoption: Although ETFs have been approved, they only account for $6\%$ of the total BTC supply. Adoption into company balance sheets and actual trading is still too small to create sustainable fundamental demand.
MSTR Impact: The $6\%$ drop on Monday was partly due to comments from CEO of Strategy (MSTR) Phong Le about considering selling BTC as a "last resort" to pay dividends.
📉 Trap Door Threshold $80,000
Essaye warns about the critical psychological threshold:
If BTC falls below $80,000 – $81,000$, a "trap door" may open.
Many late ETF investors may proceed to sell off for tax benefits before the end of the year, pushing BTC down to the $70,000$ or $60,000$ range.
Conclusion: Institutional interest does not guarantee stability. If the broader market (stocks) weakens, BTC, with its high speculative nature, will continue to be the first place investors reduce leverage and withdraw capital.
Do you agree that BTC is still just a speculative asset? Are you prepared for the $70,000$ scenario? 👇
#BuyTheDip #etf #BTC走势分析
$BTC $XRP $ETH
According to Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, the biggest issue causing Bitcoin ($BTC $) to drop sharply (nearly $30\%$ from the recent peak) is not regulation or volatility, but:
"BTC is revealing itself to still be purely a speculative asset."
⚠️ Why BTC Has No Support
The Only Reason to Buy: Essaye argues that the only reason to own crypto is because you believe that "someone will pay more for it." If this belief wavers, the price will collapse without support.
Limited Adoption: Although ETFs have been approved, they only account for $6\%$ of the total BTC supply. Adoption into company balance sheets and actual trading is still too small to create sustainable fundamental demand.
MSTR Impact: The $6\%$ drop on Monday was partly due to comments from CEO of Strategy (MSTR) Phong Le about considering selling BTC as a "last resort" to pay dividends.
📉 Trap Door Threshold $80,000
Essaye warns about the critical psychological threshold:
If BTC falls below $80,000 – $81,000$, a "trap door" may open.
Many late ETF investors may proceed to sell off for tax benefits before the end of the year, pushing BTC down to the $70,000$ or $60,000$ range.
Conclusion: Institutional interest does not guarantee stability. If the broader market (stocks) weakens, BTC, with its high speculative nature, will continue to be the first place investors reduce leverage and withdraw capital.
Do you agree that BTC is still just a speculative asset? Are you prepared for the $70,000$ scenario? 👇
#BuyTheDip #etf #BTC走势分析
$BTC $XRP $ETH
🇯🇵 Japan’s Secret Weapon Just Attacked Bitcoin — The Real Reason Behind the Market Crash!
Oh people of crypto, if you think this drop is a “normal correction,” wake up — this was a financial assassination in broad daylight!
The weapon wasn’t CPI… wasn’t unemployment… it was Japanese Government Bonds — the silent killer.
💣 The End of the Free-Money Era
For 30 years, the world lived on a cheat code called Yen Carry Trade:
Borrow money from Japan at almost zero interest, buy U.S. tech, bonds, and of course… Bitcoin.
Cheap debt → Expensive assets.
But suddenly… Japanese yields spiked.
The bomb exploded.
📉 Why the Crash Was Brutal
Rising yields → Strong Yen → Borrowers panicked → DEBT became expensive → Forced to SELL!
Homes, stocks, ETFs, Bitcoin — everything.
💥 In one day: $19 BILLION liquidated.
This wasn’t a dip… it was a historic purge.
🧠 Surprise Twist: Whales Are BUYING
While institutions dumped billions to repay debt, whales quietly scooped up hundreds of thousands of BTC.
Miners also slowed down selling.
Smart Money sees opportunity.
Always.
🔥 All Eyes on December 18 — BOJ Decision Day
Scenario 1: BOJ Tightens
BTC may retest $75,000, then bounce hard.
Scenario 2: BOJ Pauses or Softens
A brutal short squeeze could slam Bitcoin back toward $100,000 instantly.
🎯 Bottom Line:
This isn’t about crypto anymore.
It’s about the cost of capital… and Japan just changed the rules.
Stay calm. Accumulate smart.
Those who buy in blood will celebrate in the next bull run.
#bitcoin #CrashMarket #CryptoNews #BTC走势分析
Oh people of crypto, if you think this drop is a “normal correction,” wake up — this was a financial assassination in broad daylight!
The weapon wasn’t CPI… wasn’t unemployment… it was Japanese Government Bonds — the silent killer.
💣 The End of the Free-Money Era
For 30 years, the world lived on a cheat code called Yen Carry Trade:
Borrow money from Japan at almost zero interest, buy U.S. tech, bonds, and of course… Bitcoin.
Cheap debt → Expensive assets.
But suddenly… Japanese yields spiked.
The bomb exploded.
📉 Why the Crash Was Brutal
Rising yields → Strong Yen → Borrowers panicked → DEBT became expensive → Forced to SELL!
Homes, stocks, ETFs, Bitcoin — everything.
💥 In one day: $19 BILLION liquidated.
This wasn’t a dip… it was a historic purge.
🧠 Surprise Twist: Whales Are BUYING
While institutions dumped billions to repay debt, whales quietly scooped up hundreds of thousands of BTC.
Miners also slowed down selling.
Smart Money sees opportunity.
Always.
🔥 All Eyes on December 18 — BOJ Decision Day
Scenario 1: BOJ Tightens
BTC may retest $75,000, then bounce hard.
Scenario 2: BOJ Pauses or Softens
A brutal short squeeze could slam Bitcoin back toward $100,000 instantly.
🎯 Bottom Line:
This isn’t about crypto anymore.
It’s about the cost of capital… and Japan just changed the rules.
Stay calm. Accumulate smart.
Those who buy in blood will celebrate in the next bull run.
#bitcoin #CrashMarket #CryptoNews #BTC走势分析
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[They say the bull market is over, so has the bull market ended?]
In the past of Bitcoin,
On its over ten years evolution history trend,
Bitcoin monthly line 7-month moving average,
Plays a key role in trend direction.
……………………………………
Figure 1:
For 'Current Stage · Bitcoin · Monthly Chart'.
The 'blue line' in the figure,
For its '7-month moving average'.
Monthly closing line of last month.
Closed with a -17.5% medium bearish line, initially broken down,
However, it cannot be considered that its bull market trend has ended.
The 'effective breakdown' cannot stand back.
To confirm this point.
Monthly large-scale MACD,
This month is also in a preliminary death cross state,
So has its bull market ended?
On its over ten years evolution history trend,
Bitcoin monthly line 7-month moving average,
Plays a key role in trend direction.
……………………………………
Figure 1:
For 'Current Stage · Bitcoin · Monthly Chart'.
The 'blue line' in the figure,
For its '7-month moving average'.
Monthly closing line of last month.
Closed with a -17.5% medium bearish line, initially broken down,
However, it cannot be considered that its bull market trend has ended.
The 'effective breakdown' cannot stand back.
To confirm this point.
Monthly large-scale MACD,
This month is also in a preliminary death cross state,
So has its bull market ended?
See original
Is MicroStrategy's "faith" collapsing? Behind the plunge is a sickle mutual cutting, or is it the end for the retail investors?
When the "number one believer" in Bitcoin has their own stock cut in half in three months, I realize that the director of this dramatic drop may not be the market, but the institutional players wielding the sickle.
"Never sell Bitcoin," this famous quote from Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, has been a hallmark that attracted global attention. This company, which holds about 650,000 Bitcoins and is known as the "Bitcoin ETF proxy," has seen its stock price plummet by 50% in the past three months.
It, which is highly correlated with Bitcoin prices, has become the center of this storm. From the peak in July, its decline has even reached 65%.
"Never sell Bitcoin," this famous quote from Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, has been a hallmark that attracted global attention. This company, which holds about 650,000 Bitcoins and is known as the "Bitcoin ETF proxy," has seen its stock price plummet by 50% in the past three months.
It, which is highly correlated with Bitcoin prices, has become the center of this storm. From the peak in July, its decline has even reached 65%.
Translate
9.2万拉锯战打响！之钥紧急提醒：BTC这波反弹是“真牛”还是“假冲”？被套空单的解药来了！
现在，盯着盘面，手有点抖的举起来我看看——是不是又兴奋又害怕？
比特币一小时线，正踩着油门往94000冲，但MACD那两根线，明明在零轴上“秀恩爱”，我却闻到了一丝“金叉变死叉”的血腥味……
消息面是“暖风”还是“烟雾弹”？
昨夜利好扎堆：先锋领航开放比特币ETF交易、特朗普暗示换美联储主席、量化紧缩结束……
市场一片欢呼。但之钥问你：利好出尽是什么？
是利好已经被价格消化了！
纳斯达克涨了，日债稳了，资金看似宽松，但RSI和MFI早已进入超买区——
涨得越快，摔得越狠。
行情走到哪了？
眼下比特币报价92810，像一只蓄力的豹子，前方两个关键山头：94000压力位和97000高压区。
但记住，压力位不是用来突破的，而是用来“测试”的。
如果量能跟不上，黄白线一扭头，死叉杀下来，那就是一波猛砸。
下方呢？89500是第一个支撑，86000才是这轮下跌的“老巢”。
你们是不是在87000附近空了被套？别慌，之钥给你拆解。
被套空单怎么解？
87032空进去的，我知道你现在睡不着。
之钥给你两条路：
如果反弹到94000-97000区间，加仓空，拉均价，止损放在98000上方。这是“以攻为守”。如果直接跌下去，在89500先减仓，反弹到92000再空回来。
记住，仓位是活的，不是死的。别扛单，扛单等于送钱。
之钥观点：
短期看，94000-92000区间可以吃个反弹，快进快出，赚了就跑。
但大方向，之钥依然看跌——绿柱拉高往往是“最后一冲”，黄白线死叉一旦形成，86000见。
玩币，不是赌方向，是玩节奏。
我知道很多人爆仓了，套牢了，心累了。但这就是市场，专治各种不服。
如果你还在迷茫，关注之钥，找到之钥，策略我都准备好了，就等你来。我是之钥，一个在K线里爬了七年的老手。如果你不想再被套、再踏空，点个关注，找到之钥，天同一时间，继续拆盘。#BTC走势分析 $BTC
比特币一小时线，正踩着油门往94000冲，但MACD那两根线，明明在零轴上“秀恩爱”，我却闻到了一丝“金叉变死叉”的血腥味……
消息面是“暖风”还是“烟雾弹”？
昨夜利好扎堆：先锋领航开放比特币ETF交易、特朗普暗示换美联储主席、量化紧缩结束……
市场一片欢呼。但之钥问你：利好出尽是什么？
是利好已经被价格消化了！
纳斯达克涨了，日债稳了，资金看似宽松，但RSI和MFI早已进入超买区——
涨得越快，摔得越狠。
行情走到哪了？
眼下比特币报价92810，像一只蓄力的豹子，前方两个关键山头：94000压力位和97000高压区。
但记住，压力位不是用来突破的，而是用来“测试”的。
如果量能跟不上，黄白线一扭头，死叉杀下来，那就是一波猛砸。
下方呢？89500是第一个支撑，86000才是这轮下跌的“老巢”。
你们是不是在87000附近空了被套？别慌，之钥给你拆解。
被套空单怎么解？
87032空进去的，我知道你现在睡不着。
之钥给你两条路：
如果反弹到94000-97000区间，加仓空，拉均价，止损放在98000上方。这是“以攻为守”。如果直接跌下去，在89500先减仓，反弹到92000再空回来。
记住，仓位是活的，不是死的。别扛单，扛单等于送钱。
之钥观点：
短期看，94000-92000区间可以吃个反弹，快进快出，赚了就跑。
但大方向，之钥依然看跌——绿柱拉高往往是“最后一冲”，黄白线死叉一旦形成，86000见。
玩币，不是赌方向，是玩节奏。
我知道很多人爆仓了，套牢了，心累了。但这就是市场，专治各种不服。
如果你还在迷茫，关注之钥，找到之钥，策略我都准备好了，就等你来。我是之钥，一个在K线里爬了七年的老手。如果你不想再被套、再踏空，点个关注，找到之钥，天同一时间，继续拆盘。#BTC走势分析 $BTC
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MicroStrategy (MSTR) risk analysis of explosion (as of 2025.12.2) Position: approximately 650,000 BTC, cost approximately $50 billion, current value $55-56 billion (BTC≈85-86k).
Debt $8.2 billion, cash only $1.4 billion, annual interest + preferred stock dividends $700 million.
The stock price has fallen below the net asset value of BTC (mNAV 0.9x), institutions sold off $5.38 billion in the past month. Core trigger point for explosion: BTC falls below 74k (average cost), deterioration of the balance sheet; debt maturity in 2027-2029, if the market closes and cannot extend, may be forced to sell coins. Stock price continues to trade at a negative premium → removed from MSCI/S&P → passive sell-off of $2.8-11.6 billion → death spiral. Current conclusion:
Short term (before 2026) explosion probability <10%, no margin call, Saylor can continue to issue shares/bonds for survival;
Medium term (2027-2028) if BTC falls to 40-50k and refinancing window closes, explosion probability rises to 30-50%. Impact on the cryptocurrency market:
If MSTR is forced to sell 650,000 BTC (accounting for 3% of total supply), it will trigger a flash crash of 20-40%, causing panic in the entire market, massive ETF redemptions, a wave of leveraged liquidations, and the total cryptocurrency market cap may evaporate by 15-25% in the short term.
If it survives this round, it will strengthen the belief in "corporate hoarding of coins," which could turn into a super bullish sentiment. Recommendation: closely monitor the BTC 74k support level and MSTR's January MSCI review results. Personally, I still prefer holding spot BTC rather than MSTR stock. @加密黄哥 #BTC走势分析
Debt $8.2 billion, cash only $1.4 billion, annual interest + preferred stock dividends $700 million.
The stock price has fallen below the net asset value of BTC (mNAV 0.9x), institutions sold off $5.38 billion in the past month. Core trigger point for explosion: BTC falls below 74k (average cost), deterioration of the balance sheet; debt maturity in 2027-2029, if the market closes and cannot extend, may be forced to sell coins. Stock price continues to trade at a negative premium → removed from MSCI/S&P → passive sell-off of $2.8-11.6 billion → death spiral. Current conclusion:
Short term (before 2026) explosion probability <10%, no margin call, Saylor can continue to issue shares/bonds for survival;
Medium term (2027-2028) if BTC falls to 40-50k and refinancing window closes, explosion probability rises to 30-50%. Impact on the cryptocurrency market:
If MSTR is forced to sell 650,000 BTC (accounting for 3% of total supply), it will trigger a flash crash of 20-40%, causing panic in the entire market, massive ETF redemptions, a wave of leveraged liquidations, and the total cryptocurrency market cap may evaporate by 15-25% in the short term.
If it survives this round, it will strengthen the belief in "corporate hoarding of coins," which could turn into a super bullish sentiment. Recommendation: closely monitor the BTC 74k support level and MSTR's January MSCI review results. Personally, I still prefer holding spot BTC rather than MSTR stock. @加密黄哥 #BTC走势分析
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Evening fluctuations continue to exert pressure, do not take risks easily
Bitcoin 88000～88500 in batches, watch👀87000～86500
Ethereum 2880～2930 in batches, watch 2830～2800
Observe the intensity of the statements late at night; if Bitcoin does not break 85000, Ethereum should not fall below 2750
You can place an orange option; the market is expected to consolidate below the shock level #ETH走势分析 #BTC走势分析
Bitcoin 88000～88500 in batches, watch👀87000～86500
Ethereum 2880～2930 in batches, watch 2830～2800
Observe the intensity of the statements late at night; if Bitcoin does not break 85000, Ethereum should not fall below 2750
You can place an orange option; the market is expected to consolidate below the shock level #ETH走势分析 #BTC走势分析
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Something big has happened! BTC plummets, the 14 trillion crisis is coming!
Family, today BTC directly free fell, breaking the 86000 mark! At first, I thought this was just a little market manipulation, nothing to worry about. But when I saw that 76% data and spent a few hours studying it crazily, I was really shaken — this could very likely be the terrifying prelude to a massive crash worth 14 trillion dollars.
Now the market is going crazy, it's highly likely that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates on December 18-19, with traders giving a 76% probability for a rate hike in December and skyrocketing to 90% in January. The Governor of the Bank of Japan has also subtly hinted at signals for a rate hike, and the two-year government bond yield has risen to the highest level since 2008. It seems that Japan is really cornered by inflation and can't hold on any longer!
Now the market is going crazy, it's highly likely that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates on December 18-19, with traders giving a 76% probability for a rate hike in December and skyrocketing to 90% in January. The Governor of the Bank of Japan has also subtly hinted at signals for a rate hike, and the two-year government bond yield has risen to the highest level since 2008. It seems that Japan is really cornered by inflation and can't hold on any longer!
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12.2 Tuesday BTC/ETH Market Analysis & Intraday Strategy
The market is like a battlefield; do not fight battles you are not confident in.
Hello everyone, I am trader Master Hua.
After waiting a week for the ETH airdrop mid-line strategy opportunity, I finally precisely targeted a wave of short profits this Monday. In Saturday's article, it was mentioned that after waiting for the large bearish candle to break below 2980, the price rebounded to 3030, and upon the emergence of a bearish structure, the take-profit could be set at 2920, with 2805 for partial take-profit. Congratulations to friends who followed Master Hua's short strategy.
[BTC Market Analysis]
On the weekly level, according to the 123 rule, the big coin has broken the trend line at point A. Therefore, the current weekly level increase is no longer within the short-term foreseeable range. Next, we wait and observe whether points B and C will form. If point B breaks below the previous low of 74400, and point C's rebound does not create a new high, we can expect an overall bearish sentiment in a small bear market within 1-3 months. (As shown in the figure)
Hello everyone, I am trader Master Hua.
After waiting a week for the ETH airdrop mid-line strategy opportunity, I finally precisely targeted a wave of short profits this Monday. In Saturday's article, it was mentioned that after waiting for the large bearish candle to break below 2980, the price rebounded to 3030, and upon the emergence of a bearish structure, the take-profit could be set at 2920, with 2805 for partial take-profit. Congratulations to friends who followed Master Hua's short strategy.
[BTC Market Analysis]
On the weekly level, according to the 123 rule, the big coin has broken the trend line at point A. Therefore, the current weekly level increase is no longer within the short-term foreseeable range. Next, we wait and observe whether points B and C will form. If point B breaks below the previous low of 74400, and point C's rebound does not create a new high, we can expect an overall bearish sentiment in a small bear market within 1-3 months. (As shown in the figure)
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How to earn from $9 to $64 daily on Binance without any investment! 🔥🚨🚧
⭐ Can you imagine earning daily on Binance without paying a single dollar? 🚧
The topic is real! The platform offers free ways to earn cryptocurrencies that can lead to profits of $500 to $700 per month. Let me explain
Whether you're a beginner or a professional, these are the most important ways 👇
Join my account and earn from $0.1 to $50
1️⃣ Binance Learn and Earn - Learn and Earn 📚
Watch short videos + answer tests.
2-3 tests per week = $50 - $100 monthly.
💡 Tip: The offers are limited, participate quickly before they end.
The topic is real! The platform offers free ways to earn cryptocurrencies that can lead to profits of $500 to $700 per month. Let me explain
Whether you're a beginner or a professional, these are the most important ways 👇
Join my account and earn from $0.1 to $50
1️⃣ Binance Learn and Earn - Learn and Earn 📚
Watch short videos + answer tests.
2-3 tests per week = $50 - $100 monthly.
💡 Tip: The offers are limited, participate quickly before they end.
📰 BTC at a Critical Juncture: Fighting to Break 88,963 USDT Analysis Date: December 2, 2025
The crypto market is currently focusing its attention on Bitcoin (BTC), which has successfully staged a strong rebound from a support zone and now sits at a decisive point for its short-term trend.
🎯 Price Consolidation Following the Rebound
After registering a low in the area of 83,763.9 USDT, Bitcoin has shown significant recovery. The current price of BTC is 88,429.0 USDT, up by +2.63% over the last 24 hours. This recovery suggests that buyers are actively defending the daily support levels.
🚧 Immediate Challenge: The Daily EMA 7 Resistance
The primary immediate challenge facing BTC is breaking through the closest Daily (1D) Exponential Moving Average (EMA) resistance: the EMA(7) at 88,963.3 USDT.
Significance of This Level: If BTC successfully breaks and closes above 88,963 at the end of the daily candle, it will send a strong bullish signal to the market, indicating that the short-term bearish pressure has eased and buying momentum is returning. Failure to break this level could lead to prolonged consolidation or further decline.
🔭 Macro Horizon: The Key to Altcoin Season
While breaking 88,963 would be good news, the journey toward a true bull market is still long. The biggest macro hurdle for BTC, which determines the movement of altcoins like SEI, is the EMA(99) at 103,924.3 USDT.
Implication: A price breach above 103,924 would technically confirm a long-term bull trend, which in turn would trigger a surge in altcoin prices. As long as BTC remains below this level, the overall market sentiment is still under macro bearish pressure.
Conclusion:
BTC is currently at a crossroad. Successfully conquering the 88,963 resistance is the crucial first step. Traders holding Altcoins (such as SEI with an ambitious 0.44 target) should monitor this level closely, all while securing their positions with a Stop Loss below critical support
#BTC #BTCRebound90kNext? #BTC走势分析
🎯 Price Consolidation Following the Rebound
After registering a low in the area of 83,763.9 USDT, Bitcoin has shown significant recovery. The current price of BTC is 88,429.0 USDT, up by +2.63% over the last 24 hours. This recovery suggests that buyers are actively defending the daily support levels.
🚧 Immediate Challenge: The Daily EMA 7 Resistance
The primary immediate challenge facing BTC is breaking through the closest Daily (1D) Exponential Moving Average (EMA) resistance: the EMA(7) at 88,963.3 USDT.
Significance of This Level: If BTC successfully breaks and closes above 88,963 at the end of the daily candle, it will send a strong bullish signal to the market, indicating that the short-term bearish pressure has eased and buying momentum is returning. Failure to break this level could lead to prolonged consolidation or further decline.
🔭 Macro Horizon: The Key to Altcoin Season
While breaking 88,963 would be good news, the journey toward a true bull market is still long. The biggest macro hurdle for BTC, which determines the movement of altcoins like SEI, is the EMA(99) at 103,924.3 USDT.
Implication: A price breach above 103,924 would technically confirm a long-term bull trend, which in turn would trigger a surge in altcoin prices. As long as BTC remains below this level, the overall market sentiment is still under macro bearish pressure.
Conclusion:
BTC is currently at a crossroad. Successfully conquering the 88,963 resistance is the crucial first step. Traders holding Altcoins (such as SEI with an ambitious 0.44 target) should monitor this level closely, all while securing their positions with a Stop Loss below critical support
#BTC #BTCRebound90kNext? #BTC走势分析
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Emergency Warning: 76% Probability of Rate Hike by Bank of Japan, $BTC Faces 14 Trillion 'Bomb' Impact!
The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December has surged to 76%, and global markets are facing a potential crisis: approximately $14 trillion worth of yen carry trade funds may be forced to return, putting the cryptocurrency market at the forefront.
📉 Current Market Conditions
· BTC Down: Price Drops Below $86,000.
· Capital Outflow: Spot ETF has seen a net outflow of approximately $2.8 billion over the past month.
· Panic Sentiment: Market sentiment index shows extreme panic, and negative funding rates indicate an overheated market correction.
💥 Trigger Point: Yen Carry Trade Reversal
If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, global investors may sell dollar assets to concentrate on repaying yen, which could lead to severe volatility in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
🔍 Key Observations
1. Bank of Japan's December Meeting: Whether to raise rates will determine short-term market trends.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Meeting: The key issue is whether the interest rate cuts shown in the dot plot will be delayed.
📌 Investor Strategies
· Strictly control positions to avoid leverage.
· Monitor market capital flows and sentiment indicators.
· Remain cautious before important policy decisions are announced.
#BTC走势分析
The current market environment is complex; what is your position status?
The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates in December has surged to 76%, and global markets are facing a potential crisis: approximately $14 trillion worth of yen carry trade funds may be forced to return, putting the cryptocurrency market at the forefront.
📉 Current Market Conditions
· BTC Down: Price Drops Below $86,000.
· Capital Outflow: Spot ETF has seen a net outflow of approximately $2.8 billion over the past month.
· Panic Sentiment: Market sentiment index shows extreme panic, and negative funding rates indicate an overheated market correction.
💥 Trigger Point: Yen Carry Trade Reversal
If the Bank of Japan raises interest rates, global investors may sell dollar assets to concentrate on repaying yen, which could lead to severe volatility in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
🔍 Key Observations
1. Bank of Japan's December Meeting: Whether to raise rates will determine short-term market trends.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Meeting: The key issue is whether the interest rate cuts shown in the dot plot will be delayed.
📌 Investor Strategies
· Strictly control positions to avoid leverage.
· Monitor market capital flows and sentiment indicators.
· Remain cautious before important policy decisions are announced.
#BTC走势分析
The current market environment is complex; what is your position status?
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🚨 Urgent Update: A Major Shock Shakes the American Markets!
President Trump announces that he will appoint a new Chairman of the Federal Reserve at the beginning of 2026 to replace Jerome Powell.
This move could change the course of interest rates, the shape of the American economy, and investor confidence completely.
No one knows yet who will take this massive position — tensions are at their highest and the financial world is holding its breath!
$PIPPIN
$SOL $XRP
#BTCRebound90kNext? #Megadrop #Write2Earn #BTC走势分析
President Trump announces that he will appoint a new Chairman of the Federal Reserve at the beginning of 2026 to replace Jerome Powell.
This move could change the course of interest rates, the shape of the American economy, and investor confidence completely.
No one knows yet who will take this massive position — tensions are at their highest and the financial world is holding its breath!
$PIPPIN
$SOL $XRP
#BTCRebound90kNext? #Megadrop #Write2Earn #BTC走势分析
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