美联储何时降息？

Next Thursday (October 30) the big boss and the second boss of Earth will hold negotiations, and it's highly likely they will continue to make peace, which is undoubtedly great news for the cryptocurrency circle.

At 2 AM on October 30, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and it basically looks certain that there will be a rate cut; the only question is how much. Both major events are happening on the same day, which is quite subtle to think about.

Currently, the market price is still relatively cheap, so you can lay out a small position, 30$ETH %, 30$BTC %, 30$SOL %, 10% Musk concept little dog, small funds aiming for a big result (the above strategies are for reference only).
#美国政府停摆 #加密市场回调 #中文Meme币热潮 #美联储何时降息？ #币安Alpha上新

10.26 Early Morning Ethereum Analysis

Yesterday, Ethereum showed an overall trend of volatility and upward movement, with only a pullback adjustment occurring during the evening phase; the support near the 3800 level remains strong and has not been effectively broken. Observing the four-hour chart, BOLL maintains an upward opening shape, and the current bullish trend has not changed.

Long positions near 3900-3920, target 3970
$ETH $COAI $APR #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #美联储支付创新大会 #美联储何时降息？

10.26 Midday DOGE Analysis

After a round of adjustments, DOGE has now entered a consolidation phase. Technical indicators have just shown a golden cross signal, and the trend of pullback is gradually becoming apparent.

The key level of 0.2 must be closely monitored. Once successfully broken, the subsequent upward momentum can be further released.

Buy around 0.190-0.196, target 0.22
$COAI $AIA $币安人生 #美国政府停摆 #美联储何时降息？ #比特币ETF恢复净流入 #加密市场反弹

That day at the close, I stared at the account number for half a day—netting 300,000 in a day. The lights outside, the noise downstairs, and the messages on my phone that I hadn't replied to had nothing to do with me.

At 32 this year, I am from Guangdong and have been drifting in Shanghai for ten years. Five years ago, I entered the market with 40,000 U, and I didn't even recognize all the K-lines; now my account has 62,000,000 U lying in it. I didn't rely on insider information, nor did I hit a bull market, but I stuck to one dead principle: treat trading like leveling up in a game, practice it to the extreme, execute mechanically, and get through those hurdles that almost dragged me down.

How hard is this road? I have experienced sleepless nights from liquidation, gripping my fists tightly while cutting losses, and thinking “forget it” while staring at a zero balance account—these are all things I have gone through. After six years of stumbling, I finally grasped the true essence of “surviving.”

I have summarized six iron rules:
1️⃣ Volume is a directional marker—don’t panic with slow rises and falls; large bearish volume is a harvesting signal.
2️⃣ Flash crashes are traps—weak rebounds mean the main force is offloading, don’t rush in.
3️⃣ Quietness at high positions is the most frightening—no volume consolidation is the calm before the storm.
4️⃣ Wait for confirmation at the bottom—low oscillation, volume contraction, and then expansion is the opportunity to build positions.
5️⃣ K-lines are results, volume is the truth—volume expansion means follow, volume contraction means wait.
6️⃣ Achieve a mindset of “nothing”—dare to hold cash, don’t be greedy, don’t fear, stability is more important than speed.

Opportunities in the cryptocurrency market are always there; the key is to have a stable mindset and execute properly. Most people are not slow to react; they just lack methodology, and their capital gets tossed around in waves.

I have stumbled into too many pitfalls; now, sharing my experiences is like holding a lamp to light the way—if you are willing to follow the rules, you can steadily reach the shore.
#美联储何时降息？ #币安HODLer空投TURTLE $ETH $BNB $SOL

10.26 Early Morning Bitcoin Analysis

The CPI data released on Friday provided a favorable signal, further solidifying the market's expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, offering short-term support for the coin price; however, due to the pressure from earlier profit-taking, it is difficult for the coin price to form a one-sided upward trend. It is expected to likely present a high-level fluctuation pattern, or after a brief correction, continue to rise further.

The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows a strong trend, with prices fluctuating upward between the upper and middle bands of the Bollinger Bands, currently in a state waiting for a breakthrough, with bullish momentum continuing to accumulate; although there was a rebound followed by a pullback in the afternoon, the overall situation is still in a phase of consolidation, with the long-term trend remaining upward.

Buy near 119500-111000, target 113000
$COAI $APR $CLO #美联储何时降息？ #xrp #美国政府停摆 #加密市场反弹

Brother Ji said that COAI will form an M-top trend in the future, and the subsequent trend is also as Brother Ji said, the space at 10 o'clock will make those who doubt shut their mouths
$COAI $GIGGLE $APR #巨鲸动向 #加密市场反弹 #美国政府停摆 #美联储何时降息？

Written before the U.S. September inflation data (CPI) at 8:30 tonight:

Overall CPI: Expected 3.1% (lower than last month), Cleveland Fed 3.0%, Nick also 3.1%.

It has increased, but the market thinks the new tariffs in August are a "one-time deal," a one-off impact, posing no significant threat to Federal Reserve policy.

Core CPI: Expected 3.1% (same as last month), basically all guessed correctly.

Not exceeding expectations = Market remains calm; both at 3.0% = Market gets excited.

Rate cut: CME shows a 98.9% chance of a rate cut in October, labor data likely to disappoint (government shutdown not issued), even if tonight's CPI is bad it won't affect the October rate cut.

But December? If inflation continues to soar, the Federal Reserve may pull back.

Summary: CPI should not explode, rate cut in October is stable, the market will at most just yawn.

#美联储何时降息？

Facing Meme Correctly
We are not speculators
But a group of builders with a high level of consensus and faith
A community spontaneously united from all over the world
Selflessly working hard for the future we all dream of
We have experienced passion and also encountered lows
But we have remained steadfast on our journey
We possess an 'iron' will
Or perhaps a 'sticky' will
Continuously burning ourselves, for the sake of letting this world
See that this world still has a different brilliance
To become a new lighthouse leading others forward
We continue to grow
Continuing to evolve through timely changes and learning
Until we are strong enough

$4 $修仙 $币安人生
#加密市场反弹 #美联储降息预期 #巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #美联储何时降息？

BNB long position in the early morning, more than 1100, highest 1118, also the 18:00 space
$BNB $COAI $APR #加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向 #美国政府停摆 #美联储何时降息？

The Federal Reserve suddenly "hits the brakes," will 6.6 trillion in liquidity return to the market? Retail investors in the crypto space, take note! #美联储何时降息？

Brothers, big news is coming! JPMorgan and Bank of America have just issued a joint warning——the Federal Reserve may halt tapering this month! The "liquidity withdrawal" that has lasted for more than two years is about to end early.

This move will have a significant impact on our crypto market!
In simple terms, the Federal Reserve has been tightening market liquidity, and now it may suddenly "hit the brakes," which means the cost of dollar financing will rise, and liquidity will loosen. Historical experience shows that once liquidity warms up, assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum tend to rebound first! For example, before and after the end of tapering in 2019, BTC shot up directly from over $3,000 to $14,000!

What should retail investors do?
Don't panic! Keep a close eye on the Federal Reserve's movements; if they really stop tapering, market sentiment could quickly turn; allocate your mainstream coins in batches, don’t go all in at once; save some bullets and wait for clear signals before increasing your positions. Remember, changes in news are opportunities, not risks!

Do you think this wave of liquidity will drive the bull market? Let's discuss your strategies in the comments!

If you are feeling confused about trading recently, you can find Zhiya Village, where specific entry points and timing will be announced.

#美国政府停摆 This grand performance has immediately triggered a chain reaction in the financial circle—on one side, the expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut has reached its peak, while on the other side, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing roller-coaster-like fluctuations, with market sentiment alternating between extremes.

First, looking at the Federal Reserve, #降息 has almost become a certainty. The government shutdown has directly cut off the release of key economic data such as non-farm payrolls and CPI, effectively removing the 'compass' for the Federal Reserve to assess the economy. Coupled with the already weak labor market, market expectations have surged: the probability of a rate cut in October has soared to 100%, with 99% of that probability pointing to a 25 basis point cut. Many analysts believe that if the shutdown stalemate continues, to counter economic downturn risks, #美联储何时降息？ the Federal Reserve's rate cut actions could even be more aggressive.

In contrast, the cryptocurrency market has a much more exciting narrative. At the beginning of the shutdown, some risk-averse funds tentatively entered the market, temporarily pushing $BTC Bitcoin to a high of $125,000. However, the good times didn't last long, as panic selling quickly swept the market, causing Bitcoin to plummet nearly 15%, and $ETH saw a decline of over 20%, with 1.62 million people liquidated in a single day, resulting in liquidation amounts exceeding $19 billion. Adding to the woes, regulatory agencies were also affected by the shutdown, with many SEC employees furloughed, leaving only a few to handle urgent matters, resulting in a complete halt in the review process for multiple cryptocurrency ETFs. As uncertainty increased, funds flocked to safer assets like gold and stablecoins, leading to heightened volatility in the cryptocurrency market; although there were calls for bottom fishing, most people remained cautious. $SOL

However, amidst the turmoil, #特朗普狗狗币 Co nan# has emerged with an independent trend. As a cryptocurrency known as 'Trump's only exclusive dog,' its community consensus is particularly robust, and even in a sluggish market, it did not lie flat at the bottom; instead, it has risen against the trend, becoming a prominent presence in the counter-trend market. @美国总统trump @CZ @万斯

Tonight, the US September unadjusted CPI data is about to be released.

This wave of data can basically be confirmed to trigger a significant market movement.

The most concerning question for everyone is: this time, is it good news or bad news?

Don't rush to conclusions; first, clarify two key concepts, which are actually not difficult at all.

Ordinary CPI is what we commonly refer to as the "price index," which includes daily expenses like food, gasoline, and rent.

Core CPI, on the other hand, is a bit "cleaner," excluding items with large price fluctuations, such as food and energy, and can more accurately reflect long-term price trends.

So how do we determine if it's good news or bad news?

In a nutshell—look at whether the actual data is higher or lower than expected.

Whether it's ordinary CPI or core CPI,

as long as the data is below expectations, the market tends to interpret it as good news;

on the contrary, if it is above expectations, then it's bad news.

If it’s about the same as expected, the market impact usually won't be too significant.


Some might ask:

"So if ordinary CPI is low and core CPI is high, whose opinion should we listen to?"

The focus is on—core CPI is more important.

Because it can reflect the true inflation pressure and has a greater impact on the central bank's policy decisions.

So in this "one good and one bad" situation, we should prioritize the direction of core CPI.

If core CPI is higher than expected, the overall outlook is bearish;

if lower than expected, then it’s bullish.


Tonight's market will key in on the comparison between core CPI and market expectations.

In simple terms:

If it's lower than expected, the market is optimistic; if it's higher than expected, the market is cautious.
#美联储何时降息？ #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH $SOL $XRP

The expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is high. Can Bitcoin replicate the "interest rate cut rally" and set a new historical high?

With only 7 days left until the Federal Reserve's next interest rate meeting, data shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut this month is as high as 96.7%, making it almost certain that another 25 basis point rate cut will occur.

Looking back at last month's rate cut, Bitcoin started a consecutive 2-week rally in about 10 days, even setting a historical high. So this time, will history repeat itself? #美联储何时降息？ $BTC

10.24 Summary

Big pancake Ethereum had a total of 6 orders, 5 orders profitable, 1 order with a small loss, totaling a profit of 38289 oil

Without experiencing the bone-chilling cold, how can one obtain the fragrant plum blossoms? Climbing to the peak, I am the summit. When you pass through wind and rain, the obstacles of the past have long been left behind.
$COAI $APR $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美国政府停摆 #美联储何时降息？

10.24 Evening Analysis

From the hourly trend of Bitcoin, the current bullish rhythm is very clear. After confirming effective support with a second pullback to the middle track of BOLL, the market has once again started a continuous upward trend. The price is currently stably operating below the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, overall within a strong rebound channel.

From a technical perspective, the KDJ indicator's three lines continue to maintain an accelerated upward divergence state, and no top divergence signal has yet appeared. In the MACD indicator, the red energy bars continue to expand, and bullish momentum is gradually accumulating. The Bollinger Bands are slowly expanding upward, further opening up space for price increases.

Bitcoin: Buy near 109200-111000, target 113000
Ethereum: Buy near 3900-3930, target 4150
$BNB $COAI $ARPA #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #美联储何时降息？

Another day of both bulls and bears in the market
​
​Bitcoin market at seven thousand oil
$COAI $APR $BNB #加密市场反弹 #美国政府停摆 #美联储何时降息？ #BNB创新高 #xrp

No after-the-fact analysis, all analysis is provided in advance, Bitcoin 1500 points space, Ethereum 100 points space
$COAI $APR $BNB #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 #美联储何时降息？