HỘI SĂN KÈO CRYPTO

IS BTC REPEATING THE PATTERN OF PREVIOUS CYCLES?

If we look back at the entire history of Bitcoin, there’s something quite interesting:

Before each prolonged bull cycle lasting 2–3 years, the market usually doesn’t go up immediately after the first crash. Instead, BTC often performs at least two liquidity sweeps on the previous week’s timeframe before officially entering a Bull Market.

That’s also why many people call it the “final shakeout.”

2014 cycle

1. BTC fell from $1,163 to $275, forming the first bottom.
2. After a few months of recovery, the market was pushed down again to $152 to complete the second liquidity sweep.
3. From then on, a strong growth cycle lasting for many years began.

2018 cycle

1. BTC plunged from $12k to $6k and traded sideways for nearly 9 months, leading many to believe the bottom had already formed.
2. In late 2018, the market was unexpectedly driven down one more time to around $3.5k.
3. That final drop became the starting point for the next Bull Run.

2022 cycle

1. The Luna event drove BTC from $48k down to about $17.5k.
2. Just as the market was showing hope of recovering back to the $25k area, FTX collapsed, causing BTC to continue falling to around $15.6k.
3. After this liquidity sweep, the new uptrend was truly confirmed.

What about the current cycle?

Assuming the previous cycle’s peak was around $127k.

1. BTC has dropped sharply to the $60k region, which could be considered the first bottom.
2. Then it rebounded to around $83k.
3. If history continues to repeat, the market is very likely to see one more final sweep to the $50k–$55k area before entering a major up-swing.

Right now, BTC has already touched around $58k and then bounced back quite well.

Is that the final bottom yet, or not?

Looking long-term, the upcoming trend will see strong growth $ARB

Looking straight at the current market structure $XAU $XAUT on the 1D timeframe, the DOWN trend is still completely dominant.
The rise around the $4,110.28 mark is only a short-term technical rebound to retest selling pressure. Bears will continue to push prices down unless this lower-high/lower-low structure is broken.

The general psychology of the community is that they don’t like legal interference in crypto. However, take a straight look at the structure of charts like this to see the true nature of the problem: without a legal framework, retail traders are very easily turned into "liquidity" at the end of the line for the MM’s game. Their operating process has never changed: pump the price wildly by a few thousand percent, do net distribution relentlessly over many months, and end with a brutal crash to the ground. The latest case studies like $LAB , $RIVER , $RAVE , $SIREN, $PIPPIN are the most vivid proof of this classic pump-and-dump formula.

The appropriate time for $THE

There was a brother who once shared with me a saying that I found very thought-provoking: “If you want to earn 1,000,000 USD, don’t just think about making money—think about building a system that can generate money continuously.” I think this is not only a good quote, but also a mindset that creates a difference between people who earn income and those who build wealth.

#GRAM /USDT
Price is consolidating right on the rising trendline. Just break above 1.80 with good volume and the path to 1.95 looks quite promising. This is a setup worth keeping an eye on.

$AAVE still maintaining an uptrend structure with higher lows than the previous one. After the shakeout, price is returning to the lower edge of the rising channel and beginning to show signs of regaining momentum. This is a fairly good area to consider a Long entry.

I expect AAVE to move upward to re-test the 92–93 USD zone. If it breaks and holds above this area, the next target will be 96–97 USD.

The trade only looks good if price holds above the 84.5–85 USD zone. If this zone is lost, the short-term bullish structure will be broken—then you should cut the loss and wait for a new setup.

This is my profit from $UB

Perhaps the longer I stay in the market, the more I realize that investing is not a race to see who can make the most money in the shortest time.

I know many fellow investors who are just like me.
During the day, we still go to work, still worry about earning a living, and at night we only then open charts, read news, and research projects. There are times when the account grows very strongly, and there are also periods when the account drops and we can’t sleep all night.

After many years going through every kind of emotion, I’ve chosen a fairly simple way of investing for myself.

I focus on doing well in my main job so I always have a steady cash flow. Because I understand that the market can take away my profits, but no one can take my skills and my work away.

I set aside part of my income to buy assets that I truly believe in. When the market goes up, I still buy; when the market goes down, I buy too. Not because I’m good at catching the bottom or chasing the top, but because I believe in the long-term value of that investment.

When I reach the profit target I set beforehand, I’ll take profits. Not because I’ve lost faith, but because I want to keep the promise I made to myself. We enter the market to make money—not to prove that we’re right.

And most importantly, I always try to transfer a portion of my profits into other assets that can generate passive cash flow. Because the ultimate goal isn’t to win a single bet of 10x, but to build a more stable financial life over time.

Maybe my way of investing won’t make me rich quickly.
But it helps me sleep better, reduces my FOMO, and—most importantly—I still have capital to continue accompanying the market.

$SKYAI đ has been divided by more than 5 times from the nearest peak, and this is showing us a very costly lesson from the market.

♨️ #KITE/USDT ♨️

🟢 LONG : 10X - 20X
🧭 ENTRY : $0.1080 - $0.1105
🧿 TARGET :$0.1140
$0.1180
$0.1200
⛔️ STOPLOSS : $0.1039

Note: This is a breakout trade; everyone should manage risk and capital strictly. If the H1 candle closes below 0.104, the short-term bullish structure will be invalidated.

♨️ #UB/USDT ♨️

🟢 LONG : 10X - 20X

🧭 ENTRY : $0.0930 - $0.0960
🧿 TARGET :
$0.1060
$0.1180
$0.1260
⛔️ STOPLOSS : $0.0790

The structure of $LA runs so smoothly, guys

ETF CASH FLOWS HAVE RETURNED: OVER 263 MILLION USD FLOWING INTO CRYPTO IN JUST ONE DAY!

PLAN $RE

Brothers, look at the volume and the structure—what can you feel is happening with $LA

After a period of consolidation in a triangle, cash flow has started to show up with a breakout candle accompanied by a sharp increase in volume. This is often the first signal that the buyers are returning.

If the following candles hold above the breakout zone, then chances are $LA will still have room to continue moving upward.

#Alts - Market Cap Analysis

Altcoin market capitalization is moving back to test a very important support zone, which is also the lower edge of a descending triangle pattern. At present, the capital flow is still not showing a clear signal, as the top is being restrained by a declining trendline and the Ichimoku cloud is creating resistance pressure.

I think there’s no need to be in a hurry during this phase. If Altcoin market cap rebounds and breaks the trendline, it’s likely to open up a new uptrend for many altcoins. Conversely, if the current support zone is lost, the market may still have another corrective wave before finding a bottom.

This is the deciding zone for altcoins. Guys, just be patient and wait for the market to confirm before going all-in. When capital flow returns, opportunities won’t be limited to just a few coins, but across the entire altcoin market. 🚀

#NIL – Spot stock worth watching

$NIL is moving back to a strong support zone after a fairly deep pullback. At the moment, the price shows signs of forming a double bottom—this is a setup I quite like for a spot trade because the profit-to-risk ratio is relatively good. If this zone holds, it’s very possible that a rebound leg will open up.

This is a trade I prioritize accumulating spot positions in parts; there’s no need to rush to go all-in. Keep splitting your capital to buy around the support area. If that zone is broken through decisively, accept the cut and wait for a new setup. Be patient with spot trades—often it’s much more comfortable than chasing after green candles. 🚀

$XAUT $XAU

The next trend that you guys can clearly spot is that gold is moving into a decisive zone.

Price has just touched the long-term descending trendline and is also reacting right at an important support area.

If it breaks upward and holds above the trendline, there’s a high chance it will open a rebound move to 4.330, and further out to 4.750.

If, however, it gets rejected again from here, then you should prepare for a scenario where price pulls back to fill the GAP around 3.430 before finding new buying momentum.