The growth rate of my assets over 90 days is 100.93%, which is higher than 99.6% of Binance users! ❤️
How did I achieve this?
Easily! Disciplined trend trading. Using simple entry criteria! Moreover, I only trade a few assets - $BTC $ETH $SUI and do not spread myself thin on other coins.
Right now, the Bitcoin price is moving within a range/channel. After a liquidity sweep, the bulls are trying to take control and reverse the price. Do you think they’ll manage it? Will there be an upside reversal?
In this analysis, I utilized Candle Range Theory (CRT) + ICT + wave analysis. We traded both long and short. It turned out to be an interesting experience!
We're seeing a bullish 4-hour trend developing inside a bearish weekly trend. How high can the price pump?
At the 0.5 Fibonacci level, we're entering a reversal zone, where we need to keep an eye out for signs of a reversal - divergences, overbought conditions, etc.
The Point of Interest is located between the 0.618-0.702 Fibonacci levels. Around 74,100, there's also an unfilled FVG. Overall, the assumption that this local pump could take liquidity from the top of the red candlestick at 74,070 is a solid one.
My goal is to trade this pump through longs on the 4-hour TF and then flip to shorts.
The weekly candlestick is closing with an Inside Bar pattern! This is a pause in the downtrend, effectively signaling a potential reversal of the 4-hour trend to bullish!
Inside Bar is a candlestick pattern consisting of two or more candles that indicates a pause or consolidation in the market. An "Inside" bar is one whose high and low are completely contained within the range of the previous "mother" bar.
What do you think, could this Inside Bar trigger another liquidity sweep from the top of the previous weekly candle? 🤔
✔️📉 My top 3 swing shorts for $BTC with different entry options and stop losses:
- aggressive short without confirmation with R/R=6.7
- short on the 3rd peak divergence with R/R=7.9
- short on the first red candlestick with R/R=8.2
In all cases, I've used ICT logic - price moves from one liquidity zone to another liquidity zone. "Magnetic" levels are the key levels with liquidity.
Knowing this logic, we can assume that after "smart money" has taken liquidity above 79,000 and closed long positions at the order block, they will take all the liquidity down to 59,800 on the falling structure.
The only thing we can't know is whether all three levels will be taken out at once or sequentially with a slight rise in between.
For example, in the last cycle, they were taken out one by one - one level → rise → second level → rise, etc.
📉 The drop of $BTC resulted in a 15% decline in just 10 days!
✔️ Most of the reasoning behind this drop, which I shared since the second half of May, has played out!
The price has approached the first "magnetic" level of 65,000 with long liquidity! There are still many untested levels and zones above. The same goes for the broken daily MA100! The price often retests it before continuing the downward trend!
In short, I'm gearing up for new shorts! We need to make the most of this "falling" June!
🧐 So, what does the stats say about June $BTC ? Is it bullish or bearish?
After the May flip, June has been predominantly bearish. The cycle hasn't changed, and there's no reason to think otherwise! We should keep shorting Bitcoin and look for new opportunities to open short positions!
📊 Recently, I came across some interesting trading stats that I want to share with you:
- Traders with less than 1 year of experience have a deposit loss risk of about 95-97% - About 80% of traders throw in the towel after 2 years - After 5 years, only about 5-7% of the original traders are still actively trading - Approximately 97% of traders who have been trading for over 300 days are in the red, with only 1-3% consistently profitable in the long term - The chances of losing a significant portion of your deposit over 5 years are around 90%
This is why trading is considered one of the toughest ways to earn money!
✅ But there’s a silver lining! Those who survive and become profitable (after 5 years) often say it’s one of the best ways to earn: freedom, flexible hours, and high income potential. The key is not to chase quick cash!
Both trends - the 1D and 4H are bearish! Overbought conditions are always a bad state for shorts. So we trade with the trend - waiting for a price recovery for new shorts!
✔️📉 We opened 3 short positions at $BTC from the zone of 77.250 - 2 got hit by a short squeeze. Had to re-enter from 76.000. TP is set at 73.000! Waiting for a pullback for a new short!
The reversal puzzle is complete! The daily trend has turned bearish, and now both trends - the 1D and the 4H - are aligned. It's a perfect time to short! 📉
The reversal of the daily trend is a story that unfolds over a couple of months. During this drop, we'll be targeting levels 65,000, 62,400, and 59,800. Let's try to trade this all from the shorts!