Binance Whale to Exchange Flow reveals a significant decline in Exchange Retail Inflow (30D Sum), which has fallen below the $12 billion mark—a level last seen in early April 2025. Historically, such a drop in retail participation has often preceded sharp price movements.
Notably, this decline was followed by a rapid Bitcoin price surge to $112,000, suggesting that reduced selling pressure from retail traders may have allowed whales and institutional players to drive the market upward.
This pattern suggests that declining retail exchange inflows — which reflect a reduction in BTC deposits by smaller investors.
When fewer coins are sent to exchanges, there is typically less immediate selling pressure, which can set the stage for a supply-demand imbalance favoring price increases.
Binance Spot Volume Share Surpasses 49% Before Bitcoin's Breakout:
* One key development preceding Bitcoin’s rally was Binance’s rising share of global spot BTC volume.
* Just before the breakout above $112,000, Binance's spot market dominance climbed above 49%, reinforcing its position as the leading venue for immediate BTC transactions.
This surge in dominance reflects multiple contributing factors:
* Superior Liquidity Infrastructure: Binance's deep order books and advanced matching engine provide the ideal environment for large-volume execution with minimal slippage.
* Aggressive Retail and Institutional Participation: Traders—both institutional desks and retail investors—favor Binance due to its fee incentives, liquidity depth, and expansive product offerings.
* This outsized share of spot volume suggests that a substantial portion of the demand fueling Bitcoin’s breakout was executed through Binance.
Conclusion:
The combination of declining retail inflows and increasing trading activity on Binance paints a compelling picture.
As speculative retail cooled off, more strategic capital concentrated in high-liquidity venues like Binance, ultimately driving sharp price movements
Written by Amr Taha
