1️⃣ Market Structure TA (CHoCH, BOS, HL, HH, LL, LH)

Daily (1D)

  • Structure: Bullish

  • Recent BOS → Near $100K (break of prior LH)

  • CHoCH → Occurred in early April with strong bullish BOS > 86K.

  • Recent HL → ~$96K

  • Recent HH → ~$112K

  • Currently pulling back, holding above previous HL → Structure remains intact.

4H

  • Micro-CHoCH → Printed on June 6th post-drop + rebound from ~$100K zone.

  • Recent HL → ~$102K

  • Recent HH → ~$112K

  • Market moving sideways → Potential accumulation just under key resistance.

30M (Intraday)

  • V-shaped recovery post-sharp dip → Strong demand reaction around $100K–$102K.

  • Micro-HL and HH → Building bullish micro-structure.

  • Recent LL → $99.8K (clean liquidity sweep).

  • Momentum higher but resistance ~ $105.5K zone active.

2️⃣ Supply / Demand Zones + OB + FVG

Daily Supply:

  • $111K–$113K zone → Untested Supply OB from May top.

Daily Demand:

  • $96K–$99K zone → Recent strong demand reaction + OB + FVG fill.

4H Key Zones:

  • Supply OB → $107K–$109K → Heavy rejection on last attempt.

  • Demand OB → $100K–$102.5K → Proven reaction + liquidity sweep.

30M FVG:

  • Small FVG (imbalance) → $103.8K–$104.6K → potential retrace target.

  • Small upside FVG → $105.8K–$106.5K → may attract short-term price action.

3️⃣ Full Trade Setup — with R:R

Bullish Scenario:

  • Entry Zone: $104.2K–$104.8K pullback (FVG fill)

  • Stop Loss (SL): $102.4K → Below 4H Demand OB + local structure.

  • Take Profit (TP1): $107.8K → Near 4H Supply.

  • TP2 (Extended): $110.5K–$112K → Daily Supply/OB test.

R:R ≈ 2.5–3.2

📉 Bearish Scenario:

  • Short Entry: $107K–$108.5K (4H Supply tap)

  • SL: $110.8K → Above prior HH wick.

  • TP1: $104.5K → FVG fill.

  • TP2: $102.5K → Demand retest.

R:R ≈ 2.8–3.5

4️⃣ Volume & Momentum Insights

  • Daily → Decreasing volume on the recent pullback → Suggesting lack of seller commitment.

  • 4H → Spike in volume during $100K recovery → Strong demand confirmed.

  • 30M → Healthy rising volume on the recent rally from $102K to $105K.

Momentum:

  • Short-term momentum turning bullish after liquidity sweep.

  • Higher timeframe momentum remains strong while above $96K–$99K.

5️⃣ Overall Bias

➡️ Bullish Bias — with caution at $107K–$109K Supply zone.
➡️ Reasoning:

  • Strong higher-timeframe bullish structure intact.

  • Recent liquidity sweep + V-shaped recovery.

  • Momentum + Demand zones validated.

  • However, lower timeframes show potential distribution under Supply → watch reaction at $107K–$109K.

6️⃣ Pro Tips

✅ Tip 1: Don’t chase breakouts above $106K–$107K without pullback confirmation. Supply zone is stacked.
✅ Tip 2: Watch $104.5K–$105K intraday → Ideal area for low-risk long re-entries.

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