fomc

During the press conference following the recent FOMC meeting, U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted that the cycle of interest rate cuts could be paused. His statements caused a sharp shift in market expectations — and Bitcoin, which had surged to $94,000, began to decline.

🔹 Signals of a Pause

Powell stated that policy adjustments made since September have brought the Fed “within a range of plausible estimates of neutral,” meaning the central bank is now well-positioned to assess future rate changes based on incoming data, forecasts, and risks. This is being interpreted by analysts as a sign that no further rate cuts are planned for the near term — at least not until the January 2026 FOMC meeting.
While Powell emphasized that the risks to the labor market have increased and inflation remains “somewhat elevated,” he also stated that no one currently expects a rate hike. At most, another minor cut might occur in 2026, following three reductions in the current year.

🔹 Trump’s Tariffs and One-Off Inflation

Powell also attributed part of the inflationary pressure to Trump-era tariffs, noting they are more likely to cause a one-time increase in prices than a long-term inflation trend. He added that if no further tariffs are introduced, inflation could peak as early as Q1 2026.

🔹 Markets Shift Their Bets – Only 24% Expect a January Cut

According to CME FedWatch, only 24% of the market now expects a 25 bps cut in January — a significant drop. Meanwhile, 76% believe rates will remain unchanged. Powell mentioned the Fed will have more data by then, including the PPI inflation report on January 14 and CPI on January 13, both critical for shaping the FOMC decision.

🔹 Will Trump Change the Fed’s Direction?

Bloomberg’s Chief Economist Anna Wong still predicts that the Fed could end up cutting rates by a full 100 basis points next year, due to weak job growth and no signs of inflation picking back up.

However, Powell’s term ends in May — and Donald Trump, if re-elected, is expected to appoint a more dovish chair. Kevin Hassett, a current frontrunner, has already stated that “there is plenty of room to cut.”

🔹 Bitcoin Reacts to Powell’s Comments

Bitcoin, which had briefly touched $94,000, dropped to around $92,000 following Powell’s speech. This pattern has repeated several times in 2025, where FOMC meetings and Powell’s cautious tone trigger short-term corrections in crypto markets.

#bitcoin , #fomc , #Fed , #TRUMP , #Powell

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

The market is setting up perfectly ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision. If you’ve been following my analysis, you already know the 88K–89K Confluence Zone is the critical Line in the Sand for bulls.
4H Chart Check:
89K Trendline Defended: Bulls successfully protected the blue trendline. Higher Lows remain intact.
Current Price (~91.9K): We are sitting in No Man’s Land between support (89K) and resistance (94K).
Entering a trade here is not strategy… it’s gambling. My Veteran FOMC Playbook
FOMC nights are famous for liquidity sweeps violent wicks designed to punish early traders. Here’s how I’m approaching it:

Scenario A: The Shakeout (Most Likely)
A panic-wick sends BTC back down to 89,000–89,500 for one final trendline retest.
My Move: Heavy bids in this zone.
Target: 98,000+
Scenario B: The Breakout
If Powell delivers a dovish tone and BTC breaks 94,000 with real volume…
My Move: Buy the retest of 94K.
Target: 100,000 (Blue Sky Breakout)
Invalidation
Bullish structure breaks only if we close a 4H candle below 87,000.
Until then: Trend = Bullish.
Don’t chase the middle of the range. Let price come to your levels. Pros wait. Retail forces trades.
Rate Cut or No Cut tonight? Drop your vote below 👇
#fomc #USJobsData #BTC $BTC $ETH

The latest FOMC meeting came with major surprises for the markets. Here’s a simple breakdown in clean language for every crypto and finance user 👇

📉 25bps Rate Cut
The Federal Reserve finally cut interest rates by 0.25%, giving markets a small boost.
This move was expected, but not everyone agreed on it.
⚖️ Most Divided Fed Vote Since 2019
The decision came with a 9-3 split, showing big disagreements inside the Fed.
Interestingly, Trump-appointed member Miran pushed for a 50bps cut instead of 25bps.
💵 Fed Buying $40B Treasury Bills
Over the next 30 days, the Fed will buy $40 billion worth of Treasury bills.
This increases liquidity and usually supports risk assets.
📊 Dot-Plot: Only 1 Cut Expected in 2026
The Fed’s dot-plot is signaling just one rate cut next year.
This means the Fed wants to stay cautious and avoid over-cutting too fast.
🧮 Powell on Jobs Data
Powell said job numbers were overstated by nearly 60,000,
and future payroll data may even turn negative.
That’s a warning sign for the economy.
🔥 Inflation Still High, But Cooling
Powell admitted inflation is “elevated but trending down.”
This is why the Fed feels safe enough to start cutting rates slowly.
🎯 Rates Now in ‘Neutral Range’
According to Powell, interest rates have moved into a neutral zone,
meaning they are no longer restricting the economy too much.
🇺🇸 Trump’s Reaction
Trump quickly reacted and said:
“The rate cut should’ve been bigger, and markets should go UP more.”

📌 Final Thoughts
A small cut, a divided Fed, and mixed signals for 2026.
Markets may stay volatile but liquidity injection and a rate cut usually support risk-on assets like crypto.
@Monitor Ali
#fomc #PowellSpeech #RateCut #Market_Update

Why Crypto Market Is Down After FOMC: Volatility Rises, Rebound Near?
Why crypto market is down today? This is the biggest question across the crypto world as the global market cap slipped to $3.16 trillion, marking a 3% decline in the last 24 hours. Total trading volume remains high at $151 billion, yet major assets including Bitcoin, Ethereum, $XRP and Solana are all trading in red. Surprisingly, the sell-off began right after the US Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut — the third rate cut of 2025.

Source: X
Why Crypto Market is Down: Fed Rate Cut Sparks Volatility?
Instead of lifting the market, the Fed news created doubt. It was expected to have a strong bullish reaction, but the result of the FOMC meeting was signaled with a cautious tone. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the Fed might hold back again on rate cuts, and two members, Schmid and Goolsbee, also voted against the rate cut, preferring no change. In addition, the Fed also announced that they will start buying $40 billion worth of US Treasury bills starting December 12. These mixed signals caused a loss of market confidence and served as the first trigger in answering why is crypto crashing today.
Bitcoin Price Crash After FOMC Meeting: History Repeats Again
The Bitcoin price crash started almost immediately after the result of the FOMC meeting. The $BTC price fell below the $90,000 mark within hours. More than $250 million worth of levered long positions were liquidated in just four hours as volatility intensified. This pattern is not new. Bitcoin has crashed after every major FOMC announcement throughout the year, and this time again the trend held perfectly. Within a single day, Bitcoin slipped another 2.70%, reaching $89,998.63 with a market cap of $1.79 trillion.

Source: CoinMarketCap
Analyst Ali highlighted that Bitcoin’s open interest has dropped drastically from $47.5 billion to $27.5 billion over the past two months, nearly cutting in half. This sharp decline shows that traders are reducing leverage and taking a more cautious approach, adding another layer of pressure to the ongoing price cycle. As expected, Ethereum, XRP and most altcoins followed Bitcoin’s downward trend, deepening the overall red sentiment.
Liquidations Surge, Fear Rises: The Core Reason Why Crypto Is Crashing
The liquidation data paints a clearer picture of why crypto market is down today. Glassnode reported that 154,228 traders were liquidated in the past 24 hours, wiping out a total of $512.53 million. The single largest liquidation was recorded on Hyperliquid, where a BTC-USD position worth $23.18 million was forcefully closed. Meanwhile, total crypto inflows have fallen to just $6.2 billion — the lowest level since April, as per Ali.

Source: X 
The Fear and Greed Index also remains in deep fear territory at 29, marking yet another week of suppressed sentiment. This combination of aggressive long liquidations, falling inflows and rising fear has created the perfect storm for a broad correction.
Will the Market Bounce Back? Signals Suggest a Reversal Later
Despite the widespread panic, several strong signals show that the downturn may not last long. Analyst Ali noted that some of the best historical buying opportunities appear when Bitcoin’s on-chain realized losses fall below –37%. At present, this metric is at –18%, meaning deeper dips may still come, but the road to a powerful rebound is being prepared. Large players are also quietly accumulating. 
Tom Lee’s Bitmine purchased 33,504 $ETH worth $112 million in just six hours, increasing its total position to 120,094 ETH valued at $392.5 million. Similarly, Machi Big Brother added more USDC on Hyperliquid to expand his 11,100 ETH long position. Such whale behaviour often hints that it may soon turn green.
Conclusion
The crypto market is down due to the Fed’s cautious messaging, heavy Bitcoin liquidations, falling open interest and weak inflows. Yet whale accumulation and improving on-chain trends suggest that the dip may transform into the next major buying opportunity. For now, the message remains simple: stay calm, understand the reasons, and HODL through the fear.

Visit: CoinGabbar

#BTC #ETH #fomc #CryptoMarket #Xrp🔥🔥

All eyes locked. Fingers sweating. Charts vibrating.
This is the moment.
FOMC Decision TODAY
Rate Cut Announcement
2:00 PM ET
12:00 AM PKT (Pakistan)
12:30 AM IST (India)
19:00 UTC
Powell Press Conference
2:30 PM ET
12:30 AM PKT
1:00 AM IST
19:30 UTC
Markets already pricing 88% odds of a 25bps cut, but the REAL fireworks start if Jerome drops any magic words like
Additional easing ahead
Liquidity support if needed
Balance sheet flexibility (that quiet QE-coded line)
One sentence from Powell… and the market can flip from calm to FULL THROTTLE VOLATILITY.
#fomc #Powell #RateCut #CryptoNews #MarketWatch

BTC is stuck below $94,000, with support at $86,000–$88,000 and $84,000 as the near-term danger zone. All focus now shifts to the FOMC. One cut could spark a surge… one misstep could send BTC tumbling. This week could rewrite 2026 before it begins.
Context in a Nutshell
Bitcoin is trading on the edge, stuck below $94,000, while support around $86,000–$88,000 is under pressure as markets brace for the upcoming FOMC decision. Rate‑cut expectations have revived hopes, but BTC's recent inability to rally suggests this rebound may lack conviction.
What You Should Know
$BTC is trading in a tight range heading into the FOMC decision: price recently bumped into resistance around $93,000–$94,000 but has repeatedly failed to break above it.Support sits in the $86,000–$88,000 range; a breach below could trigger a fallback to $84,000 or lower.Markets are pricing in a 25 bps rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting, a major macro catalyst that many traders hope could fuel the next leg up.But Bitcoin's performance around prior FOMC events this year warns against over‑optimism: only one out of seven sessions produced a 15 %+ gain for BTC; historically, the rest ended in losses or weak moves.
Why Does This Matter?
Macro moves from the Fed still cast the longest shadow over crypto. If the rate cut fuels risk‑on sentiment, BTC could break out, but given weak spot demand and institutional caution, a slip below support might trigger a sharper downturn. What happens next could shape crypto's year‑end narrative.
In the next 48 hours, Bitcoin may no longer be just a coin; it could become a macro bet. Buckle up: the Fed's call may decide whether BTC climbs or falls into 2026.
#bitcoin #crypto #fomc

🔹 Markets anticipate a 25 bps Fed rate cut

🔹 Investors focus on Powell’s long-term vision

🔹 Liquidity management and policy path into 2026 are in the spotlight

The U.S. central bank is preparing for one of the most closely watched decisions of the year. At the upcoming FOMC meeting on December 10, most analysts expect an interest rate cut of 25 basis points. While this may provide short-term relief, the real impact will depend on how Fed Chair Jerome Powell outlines the path ahead toward 2026.

Economy Slows While Inflation Persists
The September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report showed year-on-year inflation at 2.8% — the fastest pace since spring 2024. Despite inflation remaining above the target, the combination of economic slowdown and rising costs is pushing for policy easing.

What the Experts Say
Jonathan Pink of UBS notes that there appears to be broad consensus within the committee:
“There’s strong support for a 25-bps rate cut. But the real focus will be on how Powell communicates the risks and maps out future policy for 2026.”
According to Pink, major changes to the dot plot are unlikely, but Fed balance sheet activity and liquidity management are gaining traction. The central bank is expected to begin buying $40–60 billion in Treasury bills per month to stabilize the repo market.

A Rate Cut Doesn’t Guarantee a Market Boost
Crypto analyst LA𝕏MAN warns that the rate cut alone won’t be enough:
“If the daily market structure doesn’t turn bullish, easing won’t reverse the bearish trend. QE could shift things, but the timing is uncertain, so I’m sticking to charts for now.”

Inflation and Policy — A Double-Edged Sword
Ed Ardenni of Denny Research believes that current inflation pressures are temporary. While tariffs briefly pushed prices up, he expects inflation to ease in the medium term.
“Markets expect cuts — and that expectation alone is enough to make the Fed respond,” Ardenni warns.
He also cautions that easing could cause volatility in equities, even if economic growth is maintained. He emphasized that Bitcoin is highly influenced by Fed policy and regulatory developments, rather than being a pure store of value.

Crypto and Liquidity Trends Into 2026
Lower interest rates typically benefit risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum by improving liquidity and reducing opportunity costs. However, stablecoin yields and on-chain dollar values may drop over time as TradFi yields decline.
Leon Waidmann adds:
“Lower rates push investors further out on the risk curve — crypto benefits from that. But falling TradFi yields will drag down stablecoin APYs, especially by 2026.”
He highlights that beyond rate cuts, the real catalysts will be tokenized assets, growing stablecoin adoption, and regulatory breakthroughs, such as the proposed Clarity Act.

#Fed , #fomc , #bitcoin , #Ethereum , #Powell

Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“