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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
AlphaDropster:
When BTC does this, you know smart money is active
🔥Latest News:
Peter shift, anti #bitcoiner been calling bitcoin to go to 0 since 2009.
I am going to save this and look back on in a couple years, is all good bugs this stupid?
#btc #bitcoin #gold $BTC
#USGDPUpdate
Peter shift, anti #bitcoiner been calling bitcoin to go to 0 since 2009.
I am going to save this and look back on in a couple years, is all good bugs this stupid?
#btc #bitcoin #gold $BTC
#USGDPUpdate
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ASTER
ALT
Others
99.75%
0.10%
0.15%
Why Bitcoin’s December Range May Be Ending Soon
$Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
#btc #BTC #bitcoin
$Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
#btc #BTC #bitcoin
🔥 ANALYSIS: VanEck Outlook on BTC for 2026
According to @VanEck_US, Bitcoin may be poised for a major comeback next year:
• BTC has underperformed Nasdaq by 50% this year, presenting potential upside.
• Returning liquidity and fiat currency depreciation could act as catalysts for a sharp BTC price rally.$BTC
• Gold prices might surge, possibly reaching $5,000, reflecting broader macroeconomic pressures.$SOL
The key question for investors: Will you buy in at the first signs of a rebound, or stay on the sidelines to watch how the market develops?
This scenario suggests a high-reward environment, but timing and risk management remain crucial.$ADA
If you want, I can also break down a few strategic approaches for entering BTC in this potential 2026 rally. Do you want me to do that?
#btc #BinancehodlerSOMI #USGDPUpdate
According to @VanEck_US, Bitcoin may be poised for a major comeback next year:
• BTC has underperformed Nasdaq by 50% this year, presenting potential upside.
• Returning liquidity and fiat currency depreciation could act as catalysts for a sharp BTC price rally.$BTC
• Gold prices might surge, possibly reaching $5,000, reflecting broader macroeconomic pressures.$SOL
The key question for investors: Will you buy in at the first signs of a rebound, or stay on the sidelines to watch how the market develops?
This scenario suggests a high-reward environment, but timing and risk management remain crucial.$ADA
If you want, I can also break down a few strategic approaches for entering BTC in this potential 2026 rally. Do you want me to do that?
#btc #BinancehodlerSOMI #USGDPUpdate
Here’s a short, up-to-date Bitcoin (BTC) analysis — including current price action, levels to watch, and near-term outlook, with visuals for context:
📊 Current Price & Market Context
#btc $BTC
$BTC is trading around ~$87,000–$88,000, showing subdued holiday liquidity and range-bound action. �
CoinGecko +1
Low trading volumes and tightened ranges mean small flows can move price sharply — a classic thin market holiday pattern. �
TechStock²
📈 Technical Price Levels
Key support: ~$80,000–$85,000 zone — break below could extend the slide. �
Coinpedia Fintech News
Resistance hurdles: ~$90,000–$95,000 — a clean breakout here is needed for bulls to re-assert control. �
The Economic Times
A sustained push above the $95K–$100K area often anchors bullish sentiment. �
Bitcoin Magazine
💡 Short-Term Outlook (1–2 Weeks)
Neutral to slightly bearish to sideways, until:
liquidity returns post-holidays, and
major options expiries finish — these can amplify volatility. �
Bulls need a breakout above resistance to signal renewed momentum.
TechStock²
🧠 Bullish vs. Bearish Signals
Bullish factors
Historical wake-ups after major sell-offs around support zones. �
Bitcoin Magazine
Some analysts see potential for higher levels if institutional demand returns. �
Finance Magnates
Bearish/Neutral factors
ETF outflows and holiday low liquidity compress upside. �
TechStock²
More sellers than buyers can pressure price if macro risk aversion returns. �
The Economic Times
📅 Summary View
Scenario
Key Price Reaction
Bullish breakout
Above ~$95K → higher targets revisit ~$100K+
Sideways chop
Range-bound between ~$80K–$95K
Bearish break
Below ~$80K → deeper correction risk
👉 Overall, #BTC $BTC is in a cautious, range-bound phase with possible volatility spikes, and traders are watching support/resistance closely for next directional cues.
Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading or investing.
📊 Current Price & Market Context
#btc $BTC
$BTC is trading around ~$87,000–$88,000, showing subdued holiday liquidity and range-bound action. �
CoinGecko +1
Low trading volumes and tightened ranges mean small flows can move price sharply — a classic thin market holiday pattern. �
TechStock²
📈 Technical Price Levels
Key support: ~$80,000–$85,000 zone — break below could extend the slide. �
Coinpedia Fintech News
Resistance hurdles: ~$90,000–$95,000 — a clean breakout here is needed for bulls to re-assert control. �
The Economic Times
A sustained push above the $95K–$100K area often anchors bullish sentiment. �
Bitcoin Magazine
💡 Short-Term Outlook (1–2 Weeks)
Neutral to slightly bearish to sideways, until:
liquidity returns post-holidays, and
major options expiries finish — these can amplify volatility. �
Bulls need a breakout above resistance to signal renewed momentum.
TechStock²
🧠 Bullish vs. Bearish Signals
Bullish factors
Historical wake-ups after major sell-offs around support zones. �
Bitcoin Magazine
Some analysts see potential for higher levels if institutional demand returns. �
Finance Magnates
Bearish/Neutral factors
ETF outflows and holiday low liquidity compress upside. �
TechStock²
More sellers than buyers can pressure price if macro risk aversion returns. �
The Economic Times
📅 Summary View
Scenario
Key Price Reaction
Bullish breakout
Above ~$95K → higher targets revisit ~$100K+
Sideways chop
Range-bound between ~$80K–$95K
Bearish break
Below ~$80K → deeper correction risk
👉 Overall, #BTC $BTC is in a cautious, range-bound phase with possible volatility spikes, and traders are watching support/resistance closely for next directional cues.
Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Always do your own research before trading or investing.
$BTC About to EXPLODE? 🚀
VanEck is signaling a massive Bitcoin opportunity brewing for 2026. This year, $BTC has underperformed the Nasdaq by a staggering 50% – meaning it’s currently undervalued and primed for a potential surge.
Expect returning liquidity and continued fiat currency weakness to fuel a powerful rally. Plus, VanEck predicts gold could hit $5,000, indicating serious macroeconomic shifts are underway. 💰
Don't wait for the top! Smart investors position themselves *before* the rebound. $SOL and $ADA are also worth watching as the market shifts.
#btc #crypto #altcoins #VanEck 📈
VanEck is signaling a massive Bitcoin opportunity brewing for 2026. This year, $BTC has underperformed the Nasdaq by a staggering 50% – meaning it’s currently undervalued and primed for a potential surge.
Expect returning liquidity and continued fiat currency weakness to fuel a powerful rally. Plus, VanEck predicts gold could hit $5,000, indicating serious macroeconomic shifts are underway. 💰
Don't wait for the top! Smart investors position themselves *before* the rebound. $SOL and $ADA are also worth watching as the market shifts.
#btc #crypto #altcoins #VanEck 📈
#btc Bitcoin Price Movements Could Trigger Significant Liquidations
According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass indicates that if Bitcoin surpasses $91,285, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major centralized exchanges could reach $1.878 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $83,185, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on these exchanges could amount to $1.535 billion
#BTC $BTC
According to ChainCatcher, data from Coinglass indicates that if Bitcoin surpasses $91,285, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major centralized exchanges could reach $1.878 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below $83,185, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on these exchanges could amount to $1.535 billion
#BTC $BTC
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BNB
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🟢 #BTC - EXPECTED REBOUND IN THE $100K ZONE📈
Technical Structure: [View on H4]
🔴 Global: Bearish 📉 [Forming a Bearish Flag]
🟡 Weekly: Neutral Zone (Kumo + Several Key Levels)
🟡 Monthly: Continuing Correction Phase 📉
Macroeconomic Background:
Bond yields decrease → Capital flows into risk assets → Benefit for cryptocurrencies ✅
Silver's record high ✅📈
Gold's record high ✅📈
BTC ? 📈
My opinion:
Short-term FUD is likely nearing exhaustion. BTC has entered the oversold zone on the weekly chart (Ichimoku), while maintaining critical support zones. The bond market + strong neutrality on the weekly chart suggest we are preparing for a rebound towards easing the situation.📈
Key levels for re-verification:
We have not yet re-verified the broken support zone that turned into resistance:
• 98,000 - 100,500🎯
• Or even 103,500 🔴
My scenario:
📈 Rebound towards the zone $100K (retest within the bear flag structure)
→ Then confirmation of the next downward move towards 70,000 - 71,000 📉
This zone 70,000 - 71,000 = healthy correction within a broader bullish cycle, not a trend reversal. 📉
Be patient. Structure is more important than emotions.
In such complex and neutral areas, experience matters.
⚠️ This is not financial advice - DYOR.
#btc
Technical Structure: [View on H4]
🔴 Global: Bearish 📉 [Forming a Bearish Flag]
🟡 Weekly: Neutral Zone (Kumo + Several Key Levels)
🟡 Monthly: Continuing Correction Phase 📉
Macroeconomic Background:
Bond yields decrease → Capital flows into risk assets → Benefit for cryptocurrencies ✅
Silver's record high ✅📈
Gold's record high ✅📈
BTC ? 📈
My opinion:
Short-term FUD is likely nearing exhaustion. BTC has entered the oversold zone on the weekly chart (Ichimoku), while maintaining critical support zones. The bond market + strong neutrality on the weekly chart suggest we are preparing for a rebound towards easing the situation.📈
Key levels for re-verification:
We have not yet re-verified the broken support zone that turned into resistance:
• 98,000 - 100,500🎯
• Or even 103,500 🔴
My scenario:
📈 Rebound towards the zone $100K (retest within the bear flag structure)
→ Then confirmation of the next downward move towards 70,000 - 71,000 📉
This zone 70,000 - 71,000 = healthy correction within a broader bullish cycle, not a trend reversal. 📉
Be patient. Structure is more important than emotions.
In such complex and neutral areas, experience matters.
⚠️ This is not financial advice - DYOR.
#btc
🇨🇳 China is adding ¥1T in liquidity every week.
🇺🇸 The Fed just added $30B.
🇯🇵 Japan approved a $114B stimulus.
🇮🇳 India injected $32B.
Put it together and global liquidity just hit an all time high.
With this much money entering the system, it’s hard to see why anyone is bearish on Bitcoin. 🤔
#liquidity #btc #binance
🇺🇸 The Fed just added $30B.
🇯🇵 Japan approved a $114B stimulus.
🇮🇳 India injected $32B.
Put it together and global liquidity just hit an all time high.
With this much money entering the system, it’s hard to see why anyone is bearish on Bitcoin. 🤔
#liquidity #btc #binance
Something Big Is Brewing In The Market ⚠️
1, Global Liquidity Is Rising Across Major Economies 💧
2, The Fed Is Injecting Billions Into The System 🏦
3, China And Japan Are Adding Fresh Stimulus 🇨🇳🇯🇵
4, Inflation Is Cooling Faster Than Expected 📉
5, Rate Cuts Are Back On The Table For 2026 ✂️
6, Institutions Are Quietly Accumulating Bitcoin 🐋
7, Crypto Market Structure Bill Is Near Approval 🇺🇸
8, Whales Are Active On Both Sides Of The Market 👀
9, Leverage Keeps Getting Flushed ⚡
10, Volatility Is Rising Without Price Expansion 📊
Yet The Market Is Not Pumping.
This Suggests A Bigger Setup Phase — Liquidity Grabs And Positioning.
History Shows When Everything Looks Bullish But Price Stalls,
A Major Move Usually Follows 🚀
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #btc #eth
1, Global Liquidity Is Rising Across Major Economies 💧
2, The Fed Is Injecting Billions Into The System 🏦
3, China And Japan Are Adding Fresh Stimulus 🇨🇳🇯🇵
4, Inflation Is Cooling Faster Than Expected 📉
5, Rate Cuts Are Back On The Table For 2026 ✂️
6, Institutions Are Quietly Accumulating Bitcoin 🐋
7, Crypto Market Structure Bill Is Near Approval 🇺🇸
8, Whales Are Active On Both Sides Of The Market 👀
9, Leverage Keeps Getting Flushed ⚡
10, Volatility Is Rising Without Price Expansion 📊
Yet The Market Is Not Pumping.
This Suggests A Bigger Setup Phase — Liquidity Grabs And Positioning.
History Shows When Everything Looks Bullish But Price Stalls,
A Major Move Usually Follows 🚀
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #btc #eth
🇺🇸📉 What is happening with Trump's economic decisions and how do they relate to Bitcoin?
Donald Trump has resumed a protectionist strategy, pushing tariffs on imports (especially from China and other key markets) with the aim of strengthening the local industry in the U.S.
The immediate effect: greater economic uncertainty, higher costs, and tension in the financial markets.
💥 And here comes Bitcoin? #btc
When governments:
• increase tariffs
• create trade friction
• abruptly alter economic rules
the investors look for alternatives outside the traditional system.
💡 That's where Bitcoin appears:
✔️ Decentralized
✔️ Does not depend on political decisions
✔️ Limited supply
✔️ Works 24/7, without banks or governments
📊 That is why, in times of economic or political tension, BTC is often seen as a tool for diversification or hedging, similar to digital gold. $TRUMP
📌 Important:
Trump does not legislate directly on Bitcoin, but his macroeconomic decisions influence how people protect their money.
When the traditional economy shakes...
many turn to look at Bitcoin. $BTC
Donald Trump has resumed a protectionist strategy, pushing tariffs on imports (especially from China and other key markets) with the aim of strengthening the local industry in the U.S.
The immediate effect: greater economic uncertainty, higher costs, and tension in the financial markets.
💥 And here comes Bitcoin? #btc
When governments:
• increase tariffs
• create trade friction
• abruptly alter economic rules
the investors look for alternatives outside the traditional system.
💡 That's where Bitcoin appears:
✔️ Decentralized
✔️ Does not depend on political decisions
✔️ Limited supply
✔️ Works 24/7, without banks or governments
📊 That is why, in times of economic or political tension, BTC is often seen as a tool for diversification or hedging, similar to digital gold. $TRUMP
📌 Important:
Trump does not legislate directly on Bitcoin, but his macroeconomic decisions influence how people protect their money.
When the traditional economy shakes...
many turn to look at Bitcoin. $BTC
Bitcoin’s price history on Christmas 🎄
2013 – $680
2014 – $320
2015 – $456
2016 – $890
2017 – $13,910
2018 – $3,780
2019 – $7,196
2020 – $24,705
2021 – $50,442
2022 – $16,828
2023 – $43,590
2024 – $99,374
2025 – $87,420
#btc
2013 – $680
2014 – $320
2015 – $456
2016 – $890
2017 – $13,910
2018 – $3,780
2019 – $7,196
2020 – $24,705
2021 – $50,442
2022 – $16,828
2023 – $43,590
2024 – $99,374
2025 – $87,420
#btc
Bitcoin’s price history on Christmas 🎄
2013 – $680
2014 – $320
2015 – $456
2016 – $890
2017 – $13,910
2018 – $3,780
2019 – $7,196
2020 – $24,705
2021 – $50,442
2022 – $16,828
2023 – $43,590
2024 – $99,374
2025 – $87,420
#btc
2013 – $680
2014 – $320
2015 – $456
2016 – $890
2017 – $13,910
2018 – $3,780
2019 – $7,196
2020 – $24,705
2021 – $50,442
2022 – $16,828
2023 – $43,590
2024 – $99,374
2025 – $87,420
#btc
Crypto Market Latest Update
#btc $ETH $BTC $BNB The cryptocurrency market is showing renewed activity as Bitcoin and major altcoins attract investor attention. Bitcoin remains stable after recent fluctuations, reflecting strong market confidence. Analysts believe that growing institutional interest and increasing adoption of crypto-related financial products are supporting the market.
Ethereum and other leading altcoins are also moving alongside Bitcoin, signaling a balanced market trend. Experts suggest that if global economic conditions remain stable, the crypto market could see further growth in the coming days. Traders are advised to stay alert and manage risk carefully.
Ethereum and other leading altcoins are also moving alongside Bitcoin, signaling a balanced market trend. Experts suggest that if global economic conditions remain stable, the crypto market could see further growth in the coming days. Traders are advised to stay alert and manage risk carefully.
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