📅 July 24, 2025 | San Francisco, USA.
Elon Musk does again. This time its Grok generative company, integrated into X (formerly Twitter), takes an unexpected step towards the world of blockchain -based bets and regulated predictions, allying with Kalshi, the Prediction market platform authorized in the US.
As the block revealed, the plan is to combine Grok's conversational with the liquidity and regulated infrastructure of Kalshi, allowing users to interact directly with prediction markets on such explosive issues as elections, cryptocurrencies and economic events ... without leaving the app.
What does this move implies?
Kalshi is the only prediction market fully regulated by the CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) in the US
🔹 Offer conversational insights and market statistics in real time.
🔹 Generate custom recommendations according to user preferences.
🔹 Connect directly with Kalshi liquidity pools to execute bets.
In other words, Musk wants to turn X a news super app, AI, crypt and predictions, merging entertainment, speculation and conversation into a single flow.
Why now?
Elon Musk has been insinuating from 2024 that X must become a “financial platform all-in-one”-from payments with stablecoins to the integration of AI. With Grok, which already answers questions within X, the natural step is to use that AI to feed prediction markets.
Kalshi, meanwhile, gains massive exposure when integrating with X and accessing the hundreds of millions of network users.
Risks and reactions
As expected, the news already lit alarms:
⚖️ Regulators fear that the lines between entertainment and financial bets are blurred, especially with politically sensitive issues such as presidential elections or Bitcoin movements.💸 Experts warn of possible manipulations: an integrated AI could influence predictions by generating conversational biases.📈 Users celebrate: For many crypto traders, the idea of well -regulated prediction markets is a bridge between pure decentralization (such as Polymarket) and a more stable legal environment.
What comes now?
Neither Musk nor Kalshi gave specific launch dates, but The Block anticipates that integration will be activated in beta version this fall, first for policy and macroeconomics predictions in the US. UU., And then expand to sports, crypt and entertainment.
It is not ruled out that Grok Abra Apis for external developers to create tokenized prediction markets, adding even more layers of liquidity to Kalshi.
📊 Figures that import
Active users of X: +5 billion. Prediction market size: estimated at $ 25 billion by 2026. Kalshi: First CFTC license platform for real event contracts. Grok: Ia with +10 million daily interactions only in the US.
Topic Opinion:
Elon Musk once again shows that his vision of "super app" is not smoke: payments, AI, crypt and now predictions with regulatory support ... Everything fits as dominoes.
If it works, Grok + Kalshi can dethrone gray betting and prediction markets that live in legal limbo. If they pass from the line, the CFTC could put hard limits.
💬 Would you trust predictions promoted by AI of Elon Musk?
Dam your comment ...
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