#MarketSentimentToday $ETH The market remains short-term bearish with fading momentum to the downside, and bullish pressure is building from oversold conditions. However, no full confirmation of reversal yet. We are in a low-probability neutral-to-bearish zone — waiting for the next power move. --- 🧠 Technical Overview: 🔻 Bearish Factors: RSI(6, 14, 24) on both 1H & 4H remain below midline – short-term strength still weak (1H RSI(14): ~37, 4H RSI(14): ~36) MACD histogram still red across all timeframes, with weak or shallow cross attempts (MACD < Signal on 4H & 1H) StochRSI on 4H is still in oversold zone (~12), with 1H barely recovering – indicates no full bullish momentum flip yet Funding rate remains negative (~ -0.0058) – suggesting majority are shorting, but no liquidation wave yet Order book still shows heavier ask wall above $2500-$2600, suggesting continued short pressure overhead OBV declining – volume flow not supporting sustainable bounce --- 🟢 Bullish Reversal Signs Building: Wm%R(14) at extreme oversold on both 1H and 4H: -68 to -72 → historically bounce-prone StochRSI divergence between 1H and 4H → early signal of potential short-term bottoming MACD histogram flattening on 1H with attempt to cross zero → needs confirmation Retail long dominance (L/S Ratio > 3) and OI increase → retail is buying dips, but likely to be trap-prone without whale validation OI at 2.05M with growing L.S. Accumulation – suggests buildup for next move (trap/reversal) --- ⚠️ Tactical Signal Status: Tier 1 Entry: ❌ Not Available (No multi-timeframe + indicator confluence yet) Tier 2 Entry: ⚠️ On Watch (Emerging bullish divergence forming on 1H) Tier 3/4 Short Bounce Possible, but dangerous without reversal confirmation Market Bias: Bearish-Neutral Risk Profile: Medium (Trap Likelihood High) --- 🧪 Tactical Conclusion: The ETH/USDT market is cooling off after a harsh drop. Funding, indicators, and order books show bearish-to-neutral control, but whales are not yet re-entering long. Retail may be buying too early, which could result in another stop run. However, short-term relief bounce is forming — but only sustainable if MACD confirms reversal and OBV shifts up. --- 🔐 Signal Decision: No fresh entry yet.
⏰ Signal Time June 22, 2025 – 09:30 PKT 🔽 Entry Zone $2278–$2283 ❌ Stop Loss $2326 ✅ Take Profit 1 $2242 ✅ Take Profit 2 $2210 ✅ Take Profit 3 $2170 ⏳ Expected Duration 2–4 hours
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⚠️ Invalidation Zone:
> If price closes above $2326 on 1H candle, exit the position.
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📦 Leverage + Margin Suggestion:
Leverage: 10x–15x Max (due to prior volatility spike) 📊 Technical Justification Summary:
🔻 Trend Bias (1H + 4H):
MA(7) < MA(25) < MA(99) on both timeframes
No EMA slope recovery — confirms bear bias
Price under VWAP and below 1H+4H mid-volume node
📉 RSI Divergence:
RSI(6) = 29.18, RSI(14) = 26.50 — oversold but not diverging upward
Wm%R(14) = -82.15 confirming downside momentum
No bullish divergence = no reversal expected yet
📉 MACD Momentum:
MACD = -19.86 (deep negative) with no positive crossover pending