A Polymarket account with nearly $420,000 in total profits bought $497,000 worth of contracts on JD Vance not winning the 2028 U.S. presidential election at an average price of 50 cents, according to PPP market monitoring. According to Odaily, the position totaled 648,781 shares.

The market is set to settle after the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the same winner in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, which is scheduled for November 7, 2028. If the three outlets have not agreed by January 20, 2029, settlement will be based on the person who is ultimately sworn in as U.S. president. J.D. Vance currently has a 23.3% chance of winning, the highest among all candidates.