Gold Market Update

$XAU surged nearly 5% yesterday, reaching a high of 4308, but the rally is now facing a critical technical barrier. On the daily timeframe, price has reached the MA99, where sellers are stepping in and rejection candles are starting to appear.

📊 Chart Analysis

1Hr Chart : Price seems loosing MA7 and holding above MA25, but momentum is slowing after the sharp rally. RSI is cooling from overbought levels, while MACD is beginning to flatten.

Daily Chart : Price has rallied directly into the MA99 (around 4293) and is showing rejection from this dynamic resistance. RSI is near the overbought zone, increasing the chances of a healthy pullback if buyers fail to reclaim the daily MA99.

🎯 Key Levels to Watch

🔻 If the rejection continues:

4250–4240 → First reaction/support zone

4220 → Next key support

4180 → Major support level

If selling pressure accelerates and 4180 fails to hold, Gold could extend the correction toward the 4100 region or even lower.

•A strong daily close above the MA99 with increasing buying volume would invalidate the bearish setup and could open the door for another leg higher above 4308.

⚠️ Short Trade Plan

✅ Safer entry: Around 4280 after bearish confirmation or rejection.

⛔️ Stop-loss: 4310 (above the recent high/resistance).

⚠️ Before Taking a Short Position

Don't short simply because price is near resistance. Wait for:

✅ A confirmed rejection candle near the MA99/resistance zone.

✅ Rising sell volume.

✅ RSI continuing to decline from overbought levels.

✅ MACD showing sustained bearish momentum or a bearish crossover.

If buyers reclaim MA99 with strong volume, avoid fighting the trend, as the breakout could trigger another impulsive move higher.