1. 🎯 Bull Trap Alert

This could be a sly bull trap, meant to suck in those long positions before violently reversing.

Technical indicators, like chart fractals and “soft reversal” patterns, show this is classic bull-trap terrain

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We’ve seen similar setups around the $100K mark, where leveraged long positions get flushed out hard .

2. 🌍 War-Driven Rally?

Geopolitical tremors, especially from Iran–Israel tensions, have triggered sharp dips and recoveries—often short-lived

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Bitcoin historically trends higher post-crisis, but usually after the dust settles and with clearer macro signals in play

.Overall Outlook: 🤔

The bull trap scenario has stronger momentum right now, given the chart patterns and heavy leveraged exposure near $100K.

A legit breakout remains plausible, but odds favor another dip first.

Ongoing war headlines could whip things around again—and possibly spark a real rally once clarity arrives.

🧠 Strategy Tips

Use small position sizes—this is a range-bound, volatile phase—precisely when manipulation thrives.

Keep your eyes on key triggers: new geopolitical escalations or calming developments could decide the next move.

Prefer spot accumulation at $100K-ish levels—but don’t chase the pump.

✅ “Buy the dip, don’t chase the pump!” ✅