Based on the 4-hour $BTC /USDT
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🔎 Technical Analysis
1. Trend Overview:
Price is trading sideways after a recent decline from the $111,980 high.
Currently consolidating around the EMA(25) and EMA(99), indicating indecision in market direction.
2. Key Moving Averages:
EMA(7) ≈ 105,340 and EMA(25) ≈ 105,850 are very close, hinting at a potential breakout.
EMA(99) ≈ 106,088 is acting as a dynamic resistance.
3. MACD:
Histogram turning green, with MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum is starting to build.
4. RSI (6) = 52.53:
Neutral zone — room to move up or down, leaning slightly bullish.
5. Support and Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: $106,100–$106,500 (EMA99 and recent highs)
Support Zone: $104,300 (24h low), $103,200 (local structure)
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📊 Intraday Trading Signal
🔹 Bullish Scenario: Long Setup
Entry Point: $105,600 – $105,800 (on confirmation candle above EMA(25))
Stop-Loss: $104,200 (below key support zone)
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $106,800 (near EMA(99) resistance)
TP2: $107,700
TP3: $109,200 (if strong breakout occurs)
🔹 Bearish Scenario: Short Setup (if rejection at resistance)
Entry Point: $106,000 – $106,300 (if price gets rejected below EMA(99) with bearish confirmation)
Stop-Loss: $107,100
Take-Profit Targets:
TP1: $104,800
TP2: $103,200
TP3: $101,800 (extended move)
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✅ Summary
Market is neutral to slightly bullish on the 4H.
Best approach: Wait for confirmation of breakout or rejection near $106K area.
Watch for volume spikes to confirm breakout/breakdown.