DXY
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ترجمة
Mr. P here.. I had shared $BTC $99k Support & $106k Resistance inside before it happened
But here's thing - Despite $106k being resistance - I'm not going to open a short for now. Momentum is strong. Volume is there.
We had our full fun shorting won WILD on Mr. P 13/13 shorting bets on our Terms making market act like our Pet Cat last week, Into wide Targets booked with limit orders.
Right now, I'll not yet force a short. Trump also posted about ceasefire I believe 102k is now a support until Next #SPX Open. 98/99 HTF support given also respected and As I have said the 93 scenario could be 2/3 weeks away maybe not yet. Or maybe not at all, just personally recommend to not yet short another.
Specially, Don't be the person who'll short only because "I missed amazing 13/13 bet Mr. P short win last week or I closed too early, now I should short"
Bro.. why should market care about that, that's not good enough reason... that bet is done, gone, booked at limit orders. That amazing trade is, done with.
Yes if you have a good rationale to short, you see something fundamental technical, good reason, then cool. Go for it.
I'll personally wait for now. Doesn't hurt being sidelined. I see volume right now, I see trump Iran Israel coming to terms, I also see #DXY is weak today so not yet a good shorting setup.
Also read what I've said about 101/105 ranging - so maybe you can scalp short 105788 but for now I'm avoid another short. We had great great shorting fun minting and milking money, do not get stuck with hangover adopt to new market. New phase.
Take time, Prepare, Study and then Execute. Then strike.
But here's thing - Despite $106k being resistance - I'm not going to open a short for now. Momentum is strong. Volume is there.
We had our full fun shorting won WILD on Mr. P 13/13 shorting bets on our Terms making market act like our Pet Cat last week, Into wide Targets booked with limit orders.
Right now, I'll not yet force a short. Trump also posted about ceasefire I believe 102k is now a support until Next #SPX Open. 98/99 HTF support given also respected and As I have said the 93 scenario could be 2/3 weeks away maybe not yet. Or maybe not at all, just personally recommend to not yet short another.
Specially, Don't be the person who'll short only because "I missed amazing 13/13 bet Mr. P short win last week or I closed too early, now I should short"
Bro.. why should market care about that, that's not good enough reason... that bet is done, gone, booked at limit orders. That amazing trade is, done with.
Yes if you have a good rationale to short, you see something fundamental technical, good reason, then cool. Go for it.
I'll personally wait for now. Doesn't hurt being sidelined. I see volume right now, I see trump Iran Israel coming to terms, I also see #DXY is weak today so not yet a good shorting setup.
Also read what I've said about 101/105 ranging - so maybe you can scalp short 105788 but for now I'm avoid another short. We had great great shorting fun minting and milking money, do not get stuck with hangover adopt to new market. New phase.
Take time, Prepare, Study and then Execute. Then strike.
ترجمة
The Escalation That Didn’t Escalate… Yet
Iran’s parliament called for the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. The market took notice. Oil pushed higher during Asia trading, Bitcoin drifted, headlines circled the story. By the time Monday arrived, nothing had actually closed. The strait remains wide open, tankers keep moving, and markets are still watching.
Oil made its move early. Brent climbed toward seventy-eight dollars, hitting levels not seen in five months. WTI followed. But as Europe stepped in, the momentum faded. Brent hovered near seventy-eight, WTI slipped back under seventy-five, and the geopolitical premium leaked out of the price. There was no follow-through, just traders adjusting to yet another headline that has not turned into action.
European stocks softened but stayed orderly. STOXX 600, which is basically the broad European index tracking the heavyweight companies across the region, dipped slightly. Nasdaq futures flattened. Bitcoin followed the same indecisive pattern early in the session, slipping to ninety-eight thousand two hundred nine. By now, it has clawed its way back to one hundred one thousand four hundred eight. Price is stuck right back inside its usual range. No breakout, no collapse, just another session grinding sideways.
The Strait of Hormuz remains the primary risk trigger, but until someone takes actual steps, the market is not going to reprice in full. Closure talk makes headlines, but supply chains keep running. The market trades on action, not political statements. And as of now, it is all talk.
If you read my previous article, you will probably remember I outlined three possible market scenarios. So far, it looks like the third one is playing out. Oil spiked, Bitcoin faked both ways, and the whole thing has turned into the usual chop fest. Markets adjusted for the headline, but without escalation, they slipped straight back into indecision.
Safe-haven flows remain muted. The dollar gained modest strength, gold edged higher, bonds barely reacted. No rush to shelter, but no appetite for aggressive risk either. What we are seeing is premium compression. The geopolitical bid fades when escalation stalls.
For traders, it means the same thing as always. No confirmed escalation, no real trend. Oil retraces, Bitcoin chops, equities hesitate. Even the BTC bounce looks good on paper, but without clear risk flow, it stays reactive. No new structure, no clean breakout, just price filling space until the next catalyst lands.
The Strait remains open. The gun stays loaded. And the market keeps waiting.
#OilPrice #StraitOfHormuz #DXY $BTC
Oil made its move early. Brent climbed toward seventy-eight dollars, hitting levels not seen in five months. WTI followed. But as Europe stepped in, the momentum faded. Brent hovered near seventy-eight, WTI slipped back under seventy-five, and the geopolitical premium leaked out of the price. There was no follow-through, just traders adjusting to yet another headline that has not turned into action.
European stocks softened but stayed orderly. STOXX 600, which is basically the broad European index tracking the heavyweight companies across the region, dipped slightly. Nasdaq futures flattened. Bitcoin followed the same indecisive pattern early in the session, slipping to ninety-eight thousand two hundred nine. By now, it has clawed its way back to one hundred one thousand four hundred eight. Price is stuck right back inside its usual range. No breakout, no collapse, just another session grinding sideways.
The Strait of Hormuz remains the primary risk trigger, but until someone takes actual steps, the market is not going to reprice in full. Closure talk makes headlines, but supply chains keep running. The market trades on action, not political statements. And as of now, it is all talk.
If you read my previous article, you will probably remember I outlined three possible market scenarios. So far, it looks like the third one is playing out. Oil spiked, Bitcoin faked both ways, and the whole thing has turned into the usual chop fest. Markets adjusted for the headline, but without escalation, they slipped straight back into indecision.
Safe-haven flows remain muted. The dollar gained modest strength, gold edged higher, bonds barely reacted. No rush to shelter, but no appetite for aggressive risk either. What we are seeing is premium compression. The geopolitical bid fades when escalation stalls.
For traders, it means the same thing as always. No confirmed escalation, no real trend. Oil retraces, Bitcoin chops, equities hesitate. Even the BTC bounce looks good on paper, but without clear risk flow, it stays reactive. No new structure, no clean breakout, just price filling space until the next catalyst lands.
The Strait remains open. The gun stays loaded. And the market keeps waiting.
#OilPrice #StraitOfHormuz #DXY $BTC
ترجمة
#PowellRemarks 🎙 Powell Speaks, Markets Listen
Every word from Fed Chair Jerome Powell can shake the charts.
From interest rates to inflation outlook, his tone sets the market mood.
📊 Volatility isn’t coming — it’s already here.
How are you positioning after the latest #PowellRemarks?
📌 Stay sharp. Stay informed.
#FedWatch #MacroMoves #CryptoTrading. #StockMarket #DXY #Inflation #TradersLeague #BTC #PowellSpeech
$PEPE
$XRP
$BNB
Every word from Fed Chair Jerome Powell can shake the charts.
From interest rates to inflation outlook, his tone sets the market mood.
📊 Volatility isn’t coming — it’s already here.
How are you positioning after the latest #PowellRemarks?
📌 Stay sharp. Stay informed.
#FedWatch #MacroMoves #CryptoTrading. #StockMarket #DXY #Inflation #TradersLeague #BTC #PowellSpeech
$PEPE
$XRP
$BNB
ترجمة
🇺🇸 U.S. DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) DROPS BELOW 99!
$DXY is flashing red at 98.687 🔻, sliding -0.14% and testing key support!
📉 Bearish Pressure Building!
Buyers losing control as DXY struggles below 99.57 — a deeper dip could target 96.43 next!
📌 Key Zones:
Resistance 🔼: 100.00 | 101.00 | 102.00
Support 🔽: 98.00 | 97.00 | 96.43
⏳ Watch closely — a sharp move coming if 98.00 breaks! Dollar weakness could shake up global markets 🌍
Stay sharp, traders! 📉💵 #Binance #DXY #Forex #MarketWatch
#SparkBinanceHODLerAirdrop
$DXY is flashing red at 98.687 🔻, sliding -0.14% and testing key support!
📉 Bearish Pressure Building!
Buyers losing control as DXY struggles below 99.57 — a deeper dip could target 96.43 next!
📌 Key Zones:
Resistance 🔼: 100.00 | 101.00 | 102.00
Support 🔽: 98.00 | 97.00 | 96.43
⏳ Watch closely — a sharp move coming if 98.00 breaks! Dollar weakness could shake up global markets 🌍
Stay sharp, traders! 📉💵 #Binance #DXY #Forex #MarketWatch
#SparkBinanceHODLerAirdrop
ترجمة
📊 BREAKING: U.S. Jobless Claims Slightly Improve 🇺🇸
🔹 Initial Jobless Claims:
Dropped by 5,000 to 245,000
📉 (Better than forecast: 246,000)
🔹 Continuing Claims (as of June 7):
Fell by 6,000 to 1,945,000
🔹 Revised Data:
Last week's initial claims were revised upward by 2,000 → 250,000
🧠 Market Takeaway:
Job market remains resilient, but revisions suggest caution.
👀 Eyes now on upcoming Fed data & inflation trends.
#JobsReport
#MacroEconomics
#USData
#DXY
#GENIUSActPass
🔹 Initial Jobless Claims:
Dropped by 5,000 to 245,000
📉 (Better than forecast: 246,000)
🔹 Continuing Claims (as of June 7):
Fell by 6,000 to 1,945,000
🔹 Revised Data:
Last week's initial claims were revised upward by 2,000 → 250,000
🧠 Market Takeaway:
Job market remains resilient, but revisions suggest caution.
👀 Eyes now on upcoming Fed data & inflation trends.
#JobsReport
#MacroEconomics
#USData
#DXY
#GENIUSActPass
ترجمة
#DXY UPDATE :
#DXY gave a perfect drop as per the analysis towards the major support. Index exactly reacted from the support and now holding above it. Its new range now, we can move towards the major resistance and can print a new lower low again.
#SaylorBTCPurchase #TrumpBTCTreasury #MarketRebound
#DXY gave a perfect drop as per the analysis towards the major support. Index exactly reacted from the support and now holding above it. Its new range now, we can move towards the major resistance and can print a new lower low again.
#SaylorBTCPurchase #TrumpBTCTreasury #MarketRebound
ترجمة
#dxy Dollar Index DXY Weekly TA Update📉
The dollar index has broken down from an expanding triangle pattern, which has a measured move same as the wedge's body size.
From the breakout point measured down to the pole target, this gives a projection of 91 for the DXY.
A drop of this size could lead to massive upwards momentum for Bitcoin and the whole crypto industry, potentially triggering Altseason in the next couple of months.
The dollar index has broken down from an expanding triangle pattern, which has a measured move same as the wedge's body size.
From the breakout point measured down to the pole target, this gives a projection of 91 for the DXY.
A drop of this size could lead to massive upwards momentum for Bitcoin and the whole crypto industry, potentially triggering Altseason in the next couple of months.
ترجمة
The increasing uncertainty in global markets following Israel's airstrike on Iran led to sharp fluctuations in the crypto market. #bitcoin briefly fell to $103,800, while leveraged positions totaling $1.1 billion were liquidated. On the BTC/USDT trading pair alone, the largest liquidation on #Binance was worth $201 million.
Analysts emphasize that geopolitical tensions may trigger short-term price movements, but the main directional determinant is the weakening in the US dollar index (#DXY ). According to commentators who remain optimistic about the long-term outlook, macroeconomic indicators rather than geopolitical tensions may be the main thing to watch.
#IsraelIranConflict
Analysts emphasize that geopolitical tensions may trigger short-term price movements, but the main directional determinant is the weakening in the US dollar index (#DXY ). According to commentators who remain optimistic about the long-term outlook, macroeconomic indicators rather than geopolitical tensions may be the main thing to watch.
#IsraelIranConflict
بعد الضربة على إيران حركة الاسواق وتوجهات المستثمرين، اليك تحليل لحركة الاسواق📈📉
بعد التصعيد الجيوسياسي بين إسرائيل وإيران، توجهات "الحيتان" (المستثمرين الكبار والمؤسسات) تُظهر استراتيجيات واضحة عبر الأسواق الرئيسية:
🪙 الذهب 🟨
- التكتيك السائد: الشراء الهجومي
- الحيتان تزيد المراكز الطويلة (Long) عبر:
- عقود الذهب الآجلة (COMEX).
- صناديق الـ ETFs (مثل GLD).
- الدافع: تحوط ضد التضخم وانهيار العملات.
- مؤشر رئيسي:
ارتفاع حجم العقود الكبيرة (> 250 عقدًا آجلًا) بنسبة 30-50% خلال الأزمات الجيوسياسية.
🛢️ النفط 🛢️
- استراتيجية الحيتان: اللعب على التقلب
- شراء العقود الآجلة عند اختراق مستويات رئيسية (مثل 90$ لبرنت).
- بيع مغطى (Covered Calls) للمنتجين عند ارتفاعات قصوى لتأمين الأرباح.
⚠️تحذير:
بعض الحيتان يتخذون مراكز قصيرة إذا ظهرت مؤشرات حل دبلوماسي.
₿العملات المشفرة ₿
- توجهات الحيتان:
- التركيز على البيتكوين:
- شراء عند مستويات 60,000-62,000$ (دعم قوي).
- استخدام العقود الدائمة (Perpetual Swaps) برافعة منخفضة (3-5x).
- التهرب من Altcoins:
تقليل التعرض للعملات الصغيرة (إلا الذهب الرقمي مثل PAXG).
- مؤشر مهم:
ارتفاع تداولات OTC (Over-The-Counter) للبيتكوين بنسبة 40% خلال الأزمات.
💸العملات التقليدية 💸💶
- ستراتيجيات الحيتان:
- شراء الدولار الأمريكي (#USDT🔥🔥🔥 ) والفرنك السويسري (#CHF ):
ملاذات آمنة تقليدية.
- يع العملات المعرضة للخطر:
- الليرة التركية (TRY).
- العملات الإفريقية المرتبطة بالبترول (مثل النايرا النيجيرية).
,🐋أدوات الحيتان للتحوط من المخاطر 🛡️
1. خيارات الذهب/#NASDAQ :
- شراء خيارات "Call" للذهب.
- بيع خيارات "Put" على مؤشر Nasdaq (تحوط من هبوط الأسهم).
2. عقود النفط الآجلة:
- مراكز طويلة مع أوامر Stop-Loss تحت 85$ لبرنت.
3. عقود #BTC المقومة بالدولار:
- لتفادي انهيار العملات المحلية.
🔴🤑كيف تتتبع تحركات الحيتان؟
- الذهب/النفط:
تقارير COT (Commitments of Traders) من بورصة NYMEX.
- العملات المشفرة:
- منصات مثل Glassnode (مراقبة محافظ > 10,000 BTC).
- تدفقات البورصات المركزية (Coinbase Pro Binance# Whale Alert).
- العملات التقليدية:
بيانات البنوك المركزية (مشتريات الذهب الرسمية) + مؤشر #DXY .
🔴 📊 الخلاصة:
> - الحيتان🐋 يستعدون لموجة صعود في الذهب والنفط مع تحوط قوي ضد التصعيد.
> - العملات المشفرة: تُستخدم كملاذ ثانوي بعد الذهب.
> - المخاطر الرئيسية: انسحاب مفاجئ للحيتان إذا هدأت الأزمة (تسارع في جني الأرباح).
> ⚠️ ⚠️⚠️⚠️نصيحة التداول:
> - تتبع حجم العقود الكبيرة (Block Trades) عبر منصة Bloomberg Terminal.
> - تجنب المراكز المعاكسة للحيتان في الذهب والنفط حتى استقرار الوضع الجيوسياسي.
$XRP
$ETH
$BTC
🪙 الذهب 🟨
- التكتيك السائد: الشراء الهجومي
- الحيتان تزيد المراكز الطويلة (Long) عبر:
- عقود الذهب الآجلة (COMEX).
- صناديق الـ ETFs (مثل GLD).
- الدافع: تحوط ضد التضخم وانهيار العملات.
- مؤشر رئيسي:
ارتفاع حجم العقود الكبيرة (> 250 عقدًا آجلًا) بنسبة 30-50% خلال الأزمات الجيوسياسية.
🛢️ النفط 🛢️
- استراتيجية الحيتان: اللعب على التقلب
- شراء العقود الآجلة عند اختراق مستويات رئيسية (مثل 90$ لبرنت).
- بيع مغطى (Covered Calls) للمنتجين عند ارتفاعات قصوى لتأمين الأرباح.
⚠️تحذير:
بعض الحيتان يتخذون مراكز قصيرة إذا ظهرت مؤشرات حل دبلوماسي.
₿العملات المشفرة ₿
- توجهات الحيتان:
- التركيز على البيتكوين:
- شراء عند مستويات 60,000-62,000$ (دعم قوي).
- استخدام العقود الدائمة (Perpetual Swaps) برافعة منخفضة (3-5x).
- التهرب من Altcoins:
تقليل التعرض للعملات الصغيرة (إلا الذهب الرقمي مثل PAXG).
- مؤشر مهم:
ارتفاع تداولات OTC (Over-The-Counter) للبيتكوين بنسبة 40% خلال الأزمات.
💸العملات التقليدية 💸💶
- ستراتيجيات الحيتان:
- شراء الدولار الأمريكي (#USDT🔥🔥🔥 ) والفرنك السويسري (#CHF ):
ملاذات آمنة تقليدية.
- يع العملات المعرضة للخطر:
- الليرة التركية (TRY).
- العملات الإفريقية المرتبطة بالبترول (مثل النايرا النيجيرية).
,🐋أدوات الحيتان للتحوط من المخاطر 🛡️
1. خيارات الذهب/#NASDAQ :
- شراء خيارات "Call" للذهب.
- بيع خيارات "Put" على مؤشر Nasdaq (تحوط من هبوط الأسهم).
2. عقود النفط الآجلة:
- مراكز طويلة مع أوامر Stop-Loss تحت 85$ لبرنت.
3. عقود #BTC المقومة بالدولار:
- لتفادي انهيار العملات المحلية.
🔴🤑كيف تتتبع تحركات الحيتان؟
- الذهب/النفط:
تقارير COT (Commitments of Traders) من بورصة NYMEX.
- العملات المشفرة:
- منصات مثل Glassnode (مراقبة محافظ > 10,000 BTC).
- تدفقات البورصات المركزية (Coinbase Pro Binance# Whale Alert).
- العملات التقليدية:
بيانات البنوك المركزية (مشتريات الذهب الرسمية) + مؤشر #DXY .
🔴 📊 الخلاصة:
> - الحيتان🐋 يستعدون لموجة صعود في الذهب والنفط مع تحوط قوي ضد التصعيد.
> - العملات المشفرة: تُستخدم كملاذ ثانوي بعد الذهب.
> - المخاطر الرئيسية: انسحاب مفاجئ للحيتان إذا هدأت الأزمة (تسارع في جني الأرباح).
> ⚠️ ⚠️⚠️⚠️نصيحة التداول:
> - تتبع حجم العقود الكبيرة (Block Trades) عبر منصة Bloomberg Terminal.
> - تجنب المراكز المعاكسة للحيتان في الذهب والنفط حتى استقرار الوضع الجيوسياسي.
$XRP
$ETH
$BTC
ترجمة
ABD Dolar Endeksi (#DXY ), son üç yılın en düşük seviyesine gerileyerek döviz piyasalarında önemli bir değişime işaret etti.
Bu gelişme, ABD ekonomisindeki mevcut zorlukları ve yatırımcıların doların gelecekteki performansına dair artan endişelerini yansıtıyor.
Küresel finansal ortam hızla değişirken, piyasa katılımcıları bu düşüşün etkilerini dikkatle izliyor.
* Doların zayıflaması, altın, kripto varlıklar ve gelişmekte olan ülke para birimleri gibi alternatif yatırım araçlarına olan ilgiyi artırabilir.
#Write2Earn!
Bu gelişme, ABD ekonomisindeki mevcut zorlukları ve yatırımcıların doların gelecekteki performansına dair artan endişelerini yansıtıyor.
Küresel finansal ortam hızla değişirken, piyasa katılımcıları bu düşüşün etkilerini dikkatle izliyor.
* Doların zayıflaması, altın, kripto varlıklar ve gelişmekte olan ülke para birimleri gibi alternatif yatırım araçlarına olan ilgiyi artırabilir.
#Write2Earn!
ترجمة
加密货币晚间整理
1.据路透社新闻,加州阿卡迪亚发生火灾后,洛杉矶人团结起来为野火受害者提供食物和衣物以及情感支持
2. 中国表示准备加强与美国的关系,而中国贸易顺差创下近1万亿美元的年度纪录,国务院建议发放旅游消费券,这是在刺激消费呀!
3.奥巴马总统最近对比特币 $BTC 表示担忧,因为政府无法控制它
4.FDIC向20多家银行发出暂停信函,迫使它们放弃加密货币客户
5.根据1月份密歇根大学情绪更新,预计明年失业率上升的消费者百分比大幅上升(图1)
6.这个礼拜需要关注的事件
周2的PPI通胀,周三消费者物价指数CPI通胀数据,周四美国12月零售销售数据,周五美国12月工业生产数据
7.因强劲的就业数据抑制了降息押注,而美元 #DXY 触及两年高点110,美国10年期债券收益率升到4.8%
有观点称,由于美国经济数据保持强劲,而世界其他地区经济数据低迷,因此美元再次上涨也就不足为奇
8.高盛仍增持中国股票,汇丰控股公司也同样乐观,他们上周表示鉴于中国大陆的有利政策言论和更好的经济增长前景,它看好在香港上市的中国股票
9.洪灏表示:年轻人不要担心亏损,年轻人有更多的时间和机会去试错,没有人天生下来就会投资,没有经历过亏损就永远学不会对于亏损的态度,亏损本身并不可怕,而亏损完了什么都没学到,下次还继续犯同样的错,这才是最可怕的
10.43%的投资者认为未来6个月内发生股市崩盘的可能性低于10%
11.美国经济目前表现良好,但德国法国和英国以及加拿大和中国等已经陷入衰退,有个问题是 #标普500 41%的收入来自海外,如果海外国家陷入更严重的衰退,那么标普500指数公司的利润将受到重大影响
12.据悉,Sam Altman的世界币 $WLD 因要用户缴出虹膜数据而在西班牙遭受阻止,主要是隐私问题,德国也在牵头调查此事,看来世界币去中心化反乌托邦解决方案的理想可不好使呀!
13.MicroStrategy $MSTR 已以每枚95972美元的价格购买了2530个比特币 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC 一共持有45万个比特币
14.全球 #GOLD ETF新的一年开局温和,今年迄今为止的资金流入总额为6.69亿美元(约6吨),其中西方资金领先
15.说说以太坊吧 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH 的价格一直被市场诟病,但事实上在2024年的表现已经超过了大多数传统资产,或许我们需要更多的时间等待 @VitalikButerin 一定会再次硬起来!(图2)
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2. 中国表示准备加强与美国的关系,而中国贸易顺差创下近1万亿美元的年度纪录,国务院建议发放旅游消费券,这是在刺激消费呀!
3.奥巴马总统最近对比特币 $BTC 表示担忧,因为政府无法控制它
4.FDIC向20多家银行发出暂停信函,迫使它们放弃加密货币客户
5.根据1月份密歇根大学情绪更新,预计明年失业率上升的消费者百分比大幅上升(图1)
6.这个礼拜需要关注的事件
周2的PPI通胀,周三消费者物价指数CPI通胀数据,周四美国12月零售销售数据,周五美国12月工业生产数据
7.因强劲的就业数据抑制了降息押注,而美元 #DXY 触及两年高点110,美国10年期债券收益率升到4.8%
有观点称,由于美国经济数据保持强劲,而世界其他地区经济数据低迷,因此美元再次上涨也就不足为奇
8.高盛仍增持中国股票,汇丰控股公司也同样乐观,他们上周表示鉴于中国大陆的有利政策言论和更好的经济增长前景,它看好在香港上市的中国股票
9.洪灏表示:年轻人不要担心亏损,年轻人有更多的时间和机会去试错,没有人天生下来就会投资,没有经历过亏损就永远学不会对于亏损的态度,亏损本身并不可怕,而亏损完了什么都没学到,下次还继续犯同样的错,这才是最可怕的
10.43%的投资者认为未来6个月内发生股市崩盘的可能性低于10%
11.美国经济目前表现良好,但德国法国和英国以及加拿大和中国等已经陷入衰退,有个问题是 #标普500 41%的收入来自海外,如果海外国家陷入更严重的衰退,那么标普500指数公司的利润将受到重大影响
12.据悉,Sam Altman的世界币 $WLD 因要用户缴出虹膜数据而在西班牙遭受阻止,主要是隐私问题,德国也在牵头调查此事,看来世界币去中心化反乌托邦解决方案的理想可不好使呀!
13.MicroStrategy $MSTR 已以每枚95972美元的价格购买了2530个比特币 #BTC🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $BTC 一共持有45万个比特币
14.全球 #GOLD ETF新的一年开局温和,今年迄今为止的资金流入总额为6.69亿美元(约6吨),其中西方资金领先
15.说说以太坊吧 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 $ETH 的价格一直被市场诟病,但事实上在2024年的表现已经超过了大多数传统资产,或许我们需要更多的时间等待 @VitalikButerin 一定会再次硬起来!(图2)
如果你觉得内容有用,请关注本推特,对发表内容有任何疑问,可评论区交流!
ترجمة
#USD US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Tariff concerns re-emerged.
The US Dollar Index tumbled to three-week troughs near 99.00.President Trump’s reignited trade concerns hurt the Greenback.Trump threatened to hit the EU with 50% tariffs.
The US Dollar (USD) halted a four-week winning streak, coming under renewed and significant selling pressure to hit fresh three-week lows. The downturn in the Greenback followed a brief rally earlier in the month, when it climbed to within a few pips of the key 102.00 level when measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY).
#DXY Going down.
$BTC Decline.
The US Dollar Index tumbled to three-week troughs near 99.00.President Trump’s reignited trade concerns hurt the Greenback.Trump threatened to hit the EU with 50% tariffs.
The US Dollar (USD) halted a four-week winning streak, coming under renewed and significant selling pressure to hit fresh three-week lows. The downturn in the Greenback followed a brief rally earlier in the month, when it climbed to within a few pips of the key 102.00 level when measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY).
#DXY Going down.
$BTC Decline.
ترجمة
The #DXY is in free fall.
Bitcoin dominance has topped out.
What comes next is obvious!$BTC #MyCOSTrade #BinanceAlphaAlert
Bitcoin dominance has topped out.
What comes next is obvious!$BTC #MyCOSTrade #BinanceAlphaAlert
ترجمة
🟡 Доллар слабеет, евро крепчает: что это значит для крипты?
📉 Индекс доллара (DXY) упал ниже 100 пунктов — такого не было с 2022 года. Причины:
• Обострение торговой напряжёнки США–Китай
• Ожидания снижения ставки ФРС в ближайшие месяцы
На этом фоне евро укрепился:
• Текущий курс EUR/USD — 1,1386
• Еврозона показывает стабильность, инфляция падает
• ЕЦБ может перейти к мягкой денежной политике
💥 Что это значит для крипты?
— Ослабление доллара часто подталкивает инвесторов в рискованные активы, включая крипту
— Усиление евро добавляет давления на USD-пары, включая $BTC и $ETH
Следим за глобалкой, потому что макро тоже влияет на графики 🟡
#bitcoin #crypto #DXY #EURUSD #macro $BTC $ETH $SOL
📉 Индекс доллара (DXY) упал ниже 100 пунктов — такого не было с 2022 года. Причины:
• Обострение торговой напряжёнки США–Китай
• Ожидания снижения ставки ФРС в ближайшие месяцы
На этом фоне евро укрепился:
• Текущий курс EUR/USD — 1,1386
• Еврозона показывает стабильность, инфляция падает
• ЕЦБ может перейти к мягкой денежной политике
💥 Что это значит для крипты?
— Ослабление доллара часто подталкивает инвесторов в рискованные активы, включая крипту
— Усиление евро добавляет давления на USD-пары, включая $BTC и $ETH
Следим за глобалкой, потому что макро тоже влияет на графики 🟡
#bitcoin #crypto #DXY #EURUSD #macro $BTC $ETH $SOL
ترجمة
#DXY 1W update 📉👇
#AICrashOrComeback $BTC
#AICrashOrComeback $BTC
ترجمة
Bitcoin’s Bull Run? Historic DXY Drop Signals Major Upside
The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced one of its steepest three-day declines this week, dropping 5.4% from 109.881 to 103.967 since Monday. This sharp downturn has caught the attention of market analysts, who see it as a potential bullish catalyst for Bitcoin.
Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, pointed to historical data suggesting that similar DXY collapses have coincided with key Bitcoin price cycles. On X, Coutts highlighted that significant DXY declines have historically aligned with Bitcoin bear market bottoms or mid-cycle bull runs.
In his first backtest, Coutts analyzed eight instances since 2013 where the DXY fell more than -2.5% over three days. In each case, Bitcoin surged over the following 90 days, delivering a 100% win rate with an average return of +37%, potentially pushing BTC to $123,000. A one-standard-deviation move above this could send Bitcoin as high as $146,000, while even the worst-case scenario showed a 14% gain, reaching $102,000.
His second backtest examined DXY drops of over -2.0% and found that Bitcoin posted gains in 17 out of 18 instances (94% success rate). The average 90-day return was +31.6% ($118,000 BTC), while a one-standard-deviation move could see Bitcoin at $141,000. The lowest recorded return in this setup was -14.6% ($76,500 BTC).
Coutts also emphasized the broader market implications of this DXY move, stating:
> "People don’t realize the significance of this DXY drop. It’s the 4th largest 3-day decline ever, creating a liquidity-positive environment. Yet, Bitcoin just had its worst February in a decade, and the Top 200 altcoin index took another hit. The data suggests a major bull cycle reset."
With historical patterns favoring Bitcoin in response to sharp DXY drops, all eyes are now on whether this latest plunge fuels another major rally.
#DXY $BTC
The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced one of its steepest three-day declines this week, dropping 5.4% from 109.881 to 103.967 since Monday. This sharp downturn has caught the attention of market analysts, who see it as a potential bullish catalyst for Bitcoin.
Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, pointed to historical data suggesting that similar DXY collapses have coincided with key Bitcoin price cycles. On X, Coutts highlighted that significant DXY declines have historically aligned with Bitcoin bear market bottoms or mid-cycle bull runs.
In his first backtest, Coutts analyzed eight instances since 2013 where the DXY fell more than -2.5% over three days. In each case, Bitcoin surged over the following 90 days, delivering a 100% win rate with an average return of +37%, potentially pushing BTC to $123,000. A one-standard-deviation move above this could send Bitcoin as high as $146,000, while even the worst-case scenario showed a 14% gain, reaching $102,000.
His second backtest examined DXY drops of over -2.0% and found that Bitcoin posted gains in 17 out of 18 instances (94% success rate). The average 90-day return was +31.6% ($118,000 BTC), while a one-standard-deviation move could see Bitcoin at $141,000. The lowest recorded return in this setup was -14.6% ($76,500 BTC).
Coutts also emphasized the broader market implications of this DXY move, stating:
> "People don’t realize the significance of this DXY drop. It’s the 4th largest 3-day decline ever, creating a liquidity-positive environment. Yet, Bitcoin just had its worst February in a decade, and the Top 200 altcoin index took another hit. The data suggests a major bull cycle reset."
With historical patterns favoring Bitcoin in response to sharp DXY drops, all eyes are now on whether this latest plunge fuels another major rally.
#DXY $BTC
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