currency

XRP’s long-term price structure is once again drawing attention as market analysts reassess its position within the broader crypto cycle. According to well-known crypto analyst ChartNerd, XRP has yet to experience a true blow-off top — a key phase that typically signals the final surge of a mature market cycle.
In his latest commentary, ChartNerd explained that the absence of this explosive rally suggests XRP’s market structure is not exhausted, but rather unfinished. Instead of marking the end of a cycle, current price behavior indicates that XRP may still be progressing through its broader structural framework.
📈 Wyckoff Theory and XRP’s Market Structure
The analysis is based on a multi-year chart that highlights recurring patterns of accumulation and distribution, interpreted through the lens of Wyckoff Market Theory. This framework outlines how assets move through stages of demand absorption, price expansion (markup), and eventual supply-driven distribution.
ChartNerd believes XRP remains within this sequence and has not yet entered the final distribution phase commonly associated with market tops.
🔄 Second Wyckoff Accumulation in Play
ChartNerd previously shared similar insights on December 10, stating that XRP was trading inside its second Wyckoff accumulation range. At that time, he pointed out that price action was consolidating within a clearly defined macro demand zone — a setup that often precedes a continuation rally.
According to his outlook, this accumulation phase is likely setting the foundation for one final upward move, potentially ending with a blow-off top before a broader distribution phase begins.
The chart structure shows multiple periods of sideways price action followed by sharp impulsive rallies, contrasted with projected distribution zones where volatility rises and price struggles to hold higher levels.

⏳ Short-Term Noise vs. Long-Term Structure
A key takeaway from ChartNerd’s analysis is the importance of separating short-term volatility from long-term structural positioning. While temporary pullbacks or irregular price movements may occur, he argues these should be viewed as part of the accumulation process rather than signs of structural weakness.
As long as XRP remains within its macro demand zone, short-term fluctuations do not invalidate the broader bullish setup.
🔍 What This Means for XRP Going Forward
Overall, ChartNerd’s assessment positions XRP as an asset still operating within an accumulation-to-expansion narrative. The repeated formation of accumulation zones points to ongoing supply absorption and sustained market interest at current levels.
The absence of a blow-off top reinforces the idea that XRP’s cycle is not yet complete, with at least one major phase potentially still ahead before a prolonged distribution period begins.
While no specific timeline is provided, the analysis highlights the importance of focusing on macro structure and demand zones, rather than reacting solely to short-term price movements.
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The proposed BRICS currency, or "Unit," faces significant challenges before a global launch, primarily due to vast economic disparities among members, geopolitical tensions, and a lack of unified political will and institutional framework. The initiative is currently a digital settlement tool prototype and not a full sovereign currency.

Key Insights
Economic Divergence: BRICS nations have vastly different economic structures, inflation rates, growth trajectories, and debt levels, making a single, unified monetary policy difficult to implement successfully.
Political Will: Achieving consensus among diverse political systems (democracies like India and autocracies like China and Russia) with often conflicting national interests and foreign policy goals is a major hurdle. India, for example, has explicitly stated it has no policy to replace the dollar.
Institutional Weakness: Unlike the Eurozone, BRICS lacks the strong institutional framework, central bank, and fiscal integration required to manage a common currency, which would take years of preparation to establish.
Geopolitical Risks: Some members are cautious about completely alienating the US and EU by joining an explicitly anti-dollar bloc, which could expose them to tariffs or other economic countermeasures, as threatened by President Trump.
Lack of Trust/Credibility: The US dollar's dominance is built on decades of stability and deep, liquid financial markets. A new BRICS currency would need to build similar trust and credibility to gain widespread international acceptance, a long-term process.
Technical/Logistical Hurdles: Developing the necessary technological infrastructure (like the existing BRICS Pay and mBridge platforms), ensuring security, and harmonizing financial systems across member nations is a complex and costly undertaking.
The current approach focuses more on promoting trade settlements in local currencies and developing alternative payment systems like the BRICS Unit prototype and BRICS Pay rather than an immediate, full-fledged common currency.

#BRICS #currency #dollar #Geopolitics #globaleconomy