是的，但交易將是長期的，並且使用更少的槓桿 | 幣安廣場上的 Hodl Queen 01

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是的，但交易將是長期的，並且使用更少的槓桿

trader_63

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Powell’s move: A symbolic nod to slowing data — but his tone hinted this could be the final cut before a long pause. Trump’s policy pipeline: New tariffs + tax cuts = inflation accelerant. If consumer prices rise again, the Fed’s “pause” could snap into a hawkish reversal. The 0.25% rate cut might look like a gift to risk assets — but the reaction says otherwise. When markets don’t rally on easing, it’s because they smell trouble. Now, they’re realizing the cut might signal weakness, not stimulus. That’s why we’re seeing the “fake calm” — low volatility masking deep anxiety. Think of it as a quiet volcano: magma is moving, but no smoke yet. $MMT 0.5405 (+2.27%) is flashing strength — likely smart money accumulation during the uncertainty. If volatility erupts (especially from macro triggers), expect liquidity to rush into alt segments with strong volume-to-float ratios like $MMT, $SOL , and $WLD . Bitcoin, meanwhile, is sitting like a sphinx — unmoved yet uncomfortably watchful.

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Privacy coins are the anti-hero arc of crypto: never truly gone, just waiting for chaos to need them again. $ZEC : Breaking above its 7-year range ceiling near $500 is monumental. If momentum sustains, the next psychological magnet is $600–650 — but the RSI screams “hot.” Watch for a cooling retrace to $480–490 for re-entry. $DASH : At $118, it’s pushing into the 2021 resistance pocket. Sustained closes above $120 could open room toward $145, but overextension risk is real.

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💰 Key support/resistance levels for $BTC #support : $95.5-97.5k $93k $84k #resistance : $105k $108-112k $117.5k

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⚖️ The Supreme Court and the Tariff Domino If the Court upholds #TRUMP ’s tariff authority, it effectively grants the president near-unilateral power to alter trade policy. That means one signature could reshape trillions in global commerce — overnight. Markets hate unpredictability, and this would be like handing the steering wheel to a driver who likes sharp turns. Expect: A surging dollar (#DXY ) as safe-haven flows pour in. Commodities and emerging-market currencies to wobble. Bitcoin, ETH, and risk assets to feel the tremor of liquidity flight. In other words: volatility on steroids. 💣 If Trump Loses the Case Then comes the opposite explosion — billions in tariff repayments, a weakened dollar, and a flood of repositioning. Short-term chaos, but mid-term relief for global trade. Crypto could benefit as a “reflation trade” takes hold: risk appetite returns, yields dip, and capital flows back into high-beta sectors. 📉 $BTC and $ETH in the Crossfire BTC is showing hesitation near major support, echoing traders’ uncertainty about policy direction. It’s acting more like a macro hedge than a growth bet. ETH, however, is slightly weaker — still correlated with tech and Nasdaq sentiment. It’s absorbing the equity-market anxiety like a sponge. If the dollar spikes post-ruling, BTC could briefly dip to the 107–108K zone, while ETH might retest $3,600–$3,700 before stabilizing. 🧭 Strategy for the Brave Watch DXY and U.S. 10-year yields — they’ll move before crypto does. Keep dry powder for post-ruling volatility; knee-jerk reactions often reverse within 48 hours. Stay alert to Trump-related soundbites — even rumors can trigger algorithmic trading cascades. This week isn’t just another trading session — it’s political theater fused with market mechanics. Every candle will carry courtroom echoes.

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Truflation’s 2.70% is a real-time inflation estimate, based on blockchain-fed data streams — not lagging government surveys. The official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) rate sits higher at 3.00%, but what matters isn’t the number — it’s the direction. If Truflation breaks above 3% in the next few weeks, markets will start pricing in a policy mistake — and that’s when volatility becomes opportunity. The Fed’s rate cuts may be delayed. Markets had priced in cuts by Q1 2026, but a heating inflation print could push that deeper into 2026. Bond yields and the dollar could spike as traders hedge against “sticky inflation.” Risk assets — like crypto and equities — might feel pressure, especially high-beta ones like SOL, AVAX, or AI-themed tokens that rely on liquidity. Next FOMC tone: If Powell sounds hawkish (“inflation not fully anchored”), expect volatility. 2. Oil and energy prices: If crude climbs above $90 again, it’ll push Truflation higher. 3. Wage data: Strong payroll numbers would fuel inflationary pressure. Ironically, mild inflation can help crypto — it weakens fiat confidence. But rising inflation + no rate cuts = liquidity crunch, and that’s when Bitcoin and alts usually bleed before rebounding. Think of it as a storm before a golden dawn — liquidity drains, weak hands sell, and then crypto shines when central banks are forced to print again.

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