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Bluechip
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短期可能會波動,仍然需要清理太多多頭。但整體結構看起來健康。耐心在這裏會有回報
Mustafa Hussain 72
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那麼接下來市場是上漲還是下跌?
免責聲明:包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。
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In this ARTICLE I will explain "Market Structure"
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The entire bull market hinges on whether this lline holds for $BTC
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🚨 An Early Black Friday (in October) the leverage died so price can live • BTC tagged $126.1k, then a $19B futures flush nuked OI (≈ –$10B/day, cycle-scale). • ETF bid faded (–2.3k BTC wk) while LTHs kept distributing (~0.3M BTC since July). • Funding smashed to 2022-FTX lows, E/L reset; spot was orderly (Binance sell pressure, Coinbase absorption). • Options IV spiked to ~76%, 1-wk skew to +17% put-rich, then cooled — classic vol shock. • Regime = reset: leverage flushed, sentiment cautious; recovery needs renewed ETF creations + on-chain accumulation above $114–117k cost cluster. Playbook (not advice): fade panic puts, sell rich front-end vol, stagger bids $108–117k, re-risk only if ETF inflows re-accelerate. Not ‘the top’ .. it was Thanksgiving-level de-risking in October. If the structural bid returns, the next leg launches from a cleaner base.
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Before Friday’s Dump Before the Friday dump, the correlation between Altcoins and Bitcoin was dropping — and that’s always a warning sign! The Correlation Heatmap is an excellent chart to use as a kind of market thermometer. Every time Altcoins start moving in the opposite direction of BTC, it usually means one thing: big volatility is coming. And the last signal was no different — Altcoins outperformed BTC for a short period, and then the entire market dropped. In short: when Altcoins start to drift away from Bitcoin, get ready… volatility is imminent!
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An Early Black Friday Bitcoin’s rally to $126k reversed amid macro stress and a $19B futures wipeout. ETF inflows slowing and volatility spiking, the market enters a reset phase marked by a historic leverage flush. Read the full Week On-Chain below Source: Glassnode
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