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Kirill Gaitan l Trading
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Kirill Gaitan l Trading
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🪙 One of the largest liquidations in the crypto market in history. Bitcoin -15%, altcoins -75% on average. Many were liquidated, and one of my accounts was partially affected. What do I expect next? I can't bring myself to recommend buying anything now; it's not the most reliable idea, as the market is completely seller-driven, and they could continue to apply pressure. After such a drop, the price could still return and take away the liquidity that remained below 108,000, all the way down to 100,000. There's a lot of liquidity in the order book at the top, all the way up to 120,000, with a large stack at 117,000, while at the bottom, it's 108,000,000, and 104,000. Therefore, buying only on spot, without margin, with a long-term view will yield a good return. Somewhere in this range, the price will stabilize, and the picture will become clearer by Monday. #BTC $BTC
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💡After last week's 10% rally, Bitcoin reached $126,000. It corrected by 4% yesterday and is currently trading around $123,000. 🔍 The risk of a further decline remains towards $116,000, with pressure from LTH position fixing balanced by renewed inflows into ETFs. For the uptrend to continue, the price must return above $123,000. In that case, we can expect a new ATH. 💰 I've been buying $70 over the past week as part of my DCA portfolio. 🖋️ As a reminder, I allocate $10 daily to investing in cryptocurrency and make a purchase once a week. The results and portfolio are publicly available. #DCA #BTC $BTC
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Yesterday, Bitcoin corrected by 4%—a significant move considering its cap. Recent growth has been largely supported by inflows into ETFs, which have recently resumed but have been offset by selling from long-term holders. Currently, approximately 95% of holders are in the black, increasing profit-taking pressure on the price. If ETF inflows weaken, this will be a factor for further declines. Futures contract activity is also worth considering—their volumes are at historical highs, and they are used with high leverage, making the market vulnerable to sharp movements. On the chart, the key zones remain: — resistance at 123K–123.5K, where a large number of orders and liquidations are concentrated; — the next level is 126K; — support at 121K and 120.2K, where large orders and liquidations are concentrated. The main selling pressure came from 123K. If the price consolidates below 123.5K and remains below this resistance, a further decline to the 116,000-115,000 range is likely. A return above 123.5K will indicate that buyers have regained the initiative and could lead to a test of the local high. How to trade this: it's important to wait for confirmation of the direction. For a confident entry, the price needs to consolidate either above 123,500, with an eye on continued growth, or below 121K, with a target of 116,000-115,000. Also, a false breakout would be an excellent setup. Without confirmation, the price will continue to trade within the range. $BTC #BTC
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@Litecoin which used to be called digital silver but now has no name; everyone has forgotten about it. On-chain analysis of long-term holders' sentiment, which shows price peaks when long-term investors begin to lock in their positions. Currently, long-term investors are still holding on to their coins and not dumping them into the market, indicating expectations for price growth. On the weekly chart, the price has been trading sideways since 2022, ranging from $50 to $150. Since last year, a squeeze with a local uptrend has begun to form, and is now approaching the upper boundary of the sideways trend. A breakout of 120% is likely to push the price to the $300 region. A similar potential is also seen with a breakout of the local triangle that formed on the daily chart. On the 4-hour chart, the price has now approached the distribution zone it reached last summer, when it reached $135. The price is currently testing this zone as well, so buying at this resistance level is inadvisable because the upside is limited to 15-20%. However, if the market corrects, the price could revert to the lower boundary of this triangle in the $80-$90 region, where buying opportunities could be considered. Key support is below $75. Where could this breakout of the consolidation occur? This could be related to the adoption of a Litecoin ETF. Three applications have been submitted (Canary, CoinShares, Grayscale, converting the existing LTC Trust into an ETF). Due to the shutdown in the US, the SEC will only begin work after the settlement, and the ETF adoption could begin before the end of the year, or the deadline is Q1 2026. Therefore, to summarize, it's safe to say that some medium-term Litecoin positions make sense. I believe that if the $140-$145 zone is broken, there's an increased likelihood of a move to the $200 zone and possibly further if the trend accelerates, or to catch the market from the lower boundary in the $80-$90 zone to the upper boundary. $LTC #LTC $LTC
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The coin has been moving sideways for over six months. Open interest has recently increased, indicating a position buildup. An important zone to watch is 0.28-0.3, as a breakout could trigger a move the full width of the sideways range (60%) and the $0.44 zone. The next zone the price could reach is $0.8. Key support that shouldn't be broken is $0.18. The coin has a wide range of applications, from staking to RWA, and is already used by major funds such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Spiko, totaling over $1 billion. DYOR. #Polygon @Polygon $POL
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