剛剛：在過去的12小時內，超過$110,000,000,000已被添加到加密市場$BTC | 幣安廣場上的 Bluechip

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剛剛：在過去的12小時內，超過$110,000,000,000已被添加到加密市場$BTC 

免責聲明：包含來自第三方的見解。非財務建議。可能包含贊助內容。請參閱條款。

BTC

121,822.6

-2.47%

ETH

4,483.54

-4.49%

1.8k

0

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⚡️ 🇺🇸SEC plans to formalize "innovation exemption" for crypto companies by the end of this year.

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In 2021, Bitcoin’s top happened exactly when everyone was expecting $100K, and I was largely ignored because I didn’t believe BTC would surpass $70K due to the persistent Cycle Fractal. Currently, X and other social media platforms are full of people sharing charts, like the 4chan screenshot claiming October 6th as $BTC ’s top. Be careful not to get distracted! The main point I want to leave here is that Bitcoin’s top is unpredictable, usually occurring in moments of euphoria, fueled by bullish news and altcoins soaring high. Our metrics might not always give a clear warning, but I’ll stick to my analysis and follow the Alpha! This is not financial advice, but I hope it brings some comfort — I’ve been through many cycles when few were talking about BTC online.

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Where’s Bitcoin at right now? Bitcoin has formed a very clean and clear megaphone (broadening wedge) pattern, with three touches at the top and four touches of the bottom. We also have a recent trend shift to bullish, with higher lows and higher highs. Notice that the bottom of the megaphone did not get tapped again. Thus, it’s my base case that BTC drops to the white support level, or higher, before rebounding and then breaking up out of the broadening wedge. #BTCBreaksATH

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CRYPTO SENTIMENT CHECK There has been no euphoric bitcoin bull run top. Just look at these two sentiment charts showing social media crypto traction on X and YouTube views. Sentiment is scraping along at lows. Thus, it’s still my base case that the bull run needs until *at least* December to peak. LOGIC: Mechanically, it will take at least that much time for sentiment to move up to high ranges from where it is right now.

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Update: $ETH has now made a deviation of the channel, back into the bull flag. Additionally, it has dropped back below the H&S neck line. Both are *short term* bearish. Long term, it’s still looking good and I fully expect new ATHs.

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