Bitcoin ($BTC $ ) Short Analysis - November 21, 2025
Bitcoin has faced a sharp correction in recent weeks, dropping over 26% from its October all-time high above $126,000 to hover around $91,000–$92,000 as of today. This pullback is driven by a “self-fulfilling prophecy” tied to the four-year cycle, fading hopes for immediate US rate cuts, and broader tech bubble fears that have erased more than $1 trillion from the crypto market cap since early November. Technically, BTC is approaching a “death cross” (50-day MA crossing below the 200-day MA), a bearish signal, but historical patterns suggest it often marks local bottoms rather than prolonged bears—previous instances in 2023–2025 aligned with support zones around $25K, $49K, and $75K.
On-chain metrics show resilience: Institutional ETF inflows remain strong (net assets at $150B+), corporate holdings have doubled to 869K BTC YTD, and the RSI at 29 indicates oversold conditions ripe for a rebound. Lunar cycle analysis and technical supports near $98K–$100K point to mid-November as a potential reversal window, with analysts forecasting a consolidation or bounce toward $97K–$112K by month-end if macro stability returns. Long-term, the 2025 outlook stays bullish, targeting $100K–$150K amid ETF adoption and halving afterglow, though volatility persists—DYOR and consider risk management.
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