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7toraka
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👀🤔👉6周前
$BTC
ATH $126,199.63，现在下降了24%，大约$95,000。我有些不明白，恐惧与贪婪指数为18，极度恐惧，真的吗？-24%极度恐惧？？是因为短期持有者吗？
#MarketPullback
免责声明：含第三方意见，不构成财务建议，并且可能包含赞助内容。
详见《条款和条件》。
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👀👀👉Retail Wins Big, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Macy's Beat Expectations 👉Dollar General (DG) Dollar General reported strong Q3 2025 earnings on December 3, 2025, with net sales rising 4.6% year-over-year to $10.6 billion and same-store sales up 2.5%. Net income reached $282.7 million, or $1.28 per share, marking a 43.8% increase from the prior year. The company raised its full-year 2025 outlook due to this performance. 👉Dollar Tree (DLTR) Dollar Tree announced Q3 fiscal 2025 results (quarter ended November 1, 2025) on December 3, 2025, beating expectations with adjusted EPS of $1.21, up 12% year-over-year and above the $1.08 consensus. Net sales grew 9.4% to approximately $4.7 billion, driven by 4.2% same-store sales growth from higher average tickets, while gross margin expanded to 35.8%. Guidance was raised, with full-year adjusted EPS now at $5.60-$5.80 and Q4 sales projected at $5.4-$5.5 billion. 👉Macy's (M) Macy's delivered positive Q3 2025 results with revenues of $4.7 billion, edging out Wall Street estimates of $4.6 billion. Earnings per share came in at $0.09, outperforming expectations of a $0.14 loss. The company also increased its full-year 2025 sales forecast following the beat. #USmarket
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👀👀👉Low Jobless Claims Amid Mixed Signals: Fed Holds Steady The recent drop in initial unemployment claims to 191,000 for the week ending November 29—the lowest in over three years— signals a resilient labor market with fewer layoffs, but the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) weighs this against mixed signals like manufacturing contraction and private job losses before adjusting rates. Initial claims fell sharply from the prior week's revised 218,000, with continuing claims dipping to about 1.94 million, pointing to stability and reduced extended unemployment. Yet, ADP reported a 32,000 decline in private sector jobs for November, highlighting sluggish hiring amid a "low-hire, low-fire" environment. ISM data shows manufacturing contraction, reflecting supply chain strains, inflation, and trade uncertainties that challenge growth despite low layoffs. The Fed considers these alongside robust claims (four-week average at 214,750) and overall activity to balance its dual mandate on employment and inflation. While strong claims reduce urgency for rate cuts, countervailing factors like ADP losses and ISM weakness give the Fed pause, likely favoring a hold or cautious stance at the next meeting to monitor holistic data. This multifaceted view supports resilience but tempers aggressive easing expectations. #USJobsData
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👀👀👉US Department of Labor Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims The advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims dropped to 191,000, down 27,000 from the prior week's revised 218,000, marking the lowest since September 24, 2022. The 4-week moving average fell to 214,750, a decrease of 9,500. The seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate held steady at 1.3% for the week ending November 22, with insured unemployment at 1,939,000, down 4,000. Unadjusted initial claims totaled 197,221, a sharp decline of 49,419 (-20.0%) from the previous week. The unadjusted insured unemployment rate dropped to 1.1%, with 1,698,312 people, down 81,054 (-4.6%). Compared to the prior year, unadjusted initial claims exceeded 2024's 211,226 for the same week. Initial claims by former federal civilian employees were 1,125 (down 599), and by newly discharged veterans 290 (down 30) for the week ending November 22. Total continued weeks claimed across all programs reached 1,822,491 for the week ending November 15, up 56,776 from the prior week but above 2024's 1,751,491. No states triggered Extended Benefits. States with the highest insured unemployment rates (week ending November 15) included New Jersey and Washington at 2.3%, California and Massachusetts at 2.0%. Largest initial claims increases (week ending November 22) were in California (+7,897), Illinois (+2,845), and Pennsylvania (+2,472); decreases led by Kentucky (-1,107). #USJobsData
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🚨🚨U.S. Treasury Buys Back $12.5 Billion of its own Debt 🚨🚨 The U.S. Treasury recently executed its largest-ever debt buyback, repurchasing $12.5 billion of its own debt. This operation is part of an ongoing effort to manage the federal debt more actively through buybacks of outstanding securities, which helps control liquidity and adjust the debt profile. The buyback program has been expanding, with increased frequency and size of buybacks during 2025, reflecting more aggressive debt management amid a high national debt exceeding $35 trillion. #TreasuryDepartment
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👀👀👉November ISM Data and ADP Job Losses Tilts Fed Toward Cut Amid High Expectations The recent data from ISM and ADP released this week show mixed signals for the U.S. economy, which will likely influence the Federal Reserve's decision at next week's FOMC meeting amid high expectations for a rate cut. Key points are: 👉ISM Manufacturing PMI contracted further to 48.2 in November 2025, marking nine straight months of contraction in manufacturing activity. New orders and employment in manufacturing declined, though production expanded slightly, and prices rose amid tariff concerns. 👉ISM Services PMI showed continued expansion at 52.6, slightly improved from October, signaling modest growth in the services sector. Employment in services contracted for the sixth month, but business activity and new orders remained in expansion. 👉ADP reported a decline of 32,000 private sector jobs in November, showing weakness in the labor market. Annual pay rose 4.4% year-over-year, but the employment contraction contrasts with prior months of job growth, indicating caution about labor market health. How this influences the Fed FOMC decision: 👉The persistent contraction in manufacturing and the overall decline in private sector employment highlight slowing economic momentum and weak labor market conditions. 👉The modest expansion in services and steady price pressures show some underlying resilience but also ongoing challenges like tariffs and supply disruptions. 👉Given these mixed signals and the recent labor market weakness, the Federal Reserve is likely to consider this data as supportive of a cautious stance with potential for a rate cut to stimulate growth and employment. This data aligns with market expectations of a possible Fed rate cut next week, aiming to support economic expansion amid manufacturing contraction and weakening job growth. #USJobsData
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