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THT CRYPTO
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详见《条款和条件》。
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What will happen to altcoins? Here’s how I see it: From 2017–2020 we experienced the altcoin mania. ICOs, DeFi, and L2 projects all exploded, while BTCs market cap was still relatively small, around $20–30B. Because Bitcoins market cap was so small, altcoins were able to launch with inflated valuations, pulling BTC dominance (BTC.D) down to ~35%. However, that dynamic has shifted completely. Bitcoin is the only asset that truly matters, especially as adoption accelerates. With ETFs, corporations & governments buying, $BTC's market cap will continue to grow. Meanwhile, altcoins will lose even more traction because they cannot keep pace. New coins flood the market every day, diluting liquidity and making sustainable growth impossible. As $BTC strengthens, capital flows consolidate into it, leaving altcoins with smaller caps, lower dominance, and increasingly illiquid markets. This is why BTC.D will gradually rise toward 70–80% over the next 5–15 years. Bitcoin becomes the safe, regulated, institutional-grade asset, while altcoins all end up as slow rugs. Crucially, this also means Bitcoin won’t experience the same kinds of catastrophic drawdowns we saw in the past. As regulations mature and adoption deepens, downside volatility will shrink. The era of extreme BTC crashes will decrease. Many still think the current cycle isn’t over because altcoins have underperformed. In reality, that underperformance is a feature of this transition. It’s not that the cycle is lagging, it’s that altcoins are being left behind. Over time, most will effectively become slow-motion rugs as liquidity dries up. This isn’t a popular view, but it’s the truth. And it’s how the BTC.D will ultimately play out in the long run.
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When’s the top? When’s the top? Who really cares what Bitcoin’s price will be an hour from now? Two days from now. Two weeks from now. Or on Friday the 13th. Absolutely nobody cares. Because under the most conservative, logical, and mathematical calculations, Bitcoin will be worth 1M/coin. Triple guarandamnteed. And even that won’t be the top. Because there is no top. Get rich for fun. Stop complicating matters.
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From Crypto Burnout to Simple Wins! For 8 years in crypto, I was a classic “leek”, the naive trader getting fleeced. I drew endless trend lines, stacked dozens of indicators, and fired off trades by the hour. It wrecked my health and drained my account. Then, after swapping war stories with two friends who’d crashed too, we uncovered the real edge: “anti-smart” basics. No complexity. Just two moving averages. 20 minutes a day. Win rate holding steady above 95%. I’d chased safety in indicator overload—MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands stacked like a fortress. But in wild markets, it was chaos. Whipsaws everywhere. Lesson learned: ditch the superstition. Two EMAs cut through the noise like a clear dashboard. Golden cross (short over long)? Go long. Death cross? Go short. Extra gauges just blind you. Daily charts are a trap-casino noise, 90% fakeouts. Stick to 4-hour candles. They filter 80% of junk, showing the real trend. Rules are dead simple: • Entry: On 4H chart, EMA21 crosses above EMA55 with a bullish candle? Buy. Crosses below with bearish? Sell. • Stop-loss: Lock in at the prior 4H low (long) or high (short). Cap any loss at 5% of capital. It’s non-negotiable, cut losers fast. • Position size: Start with 5% of funds. Hit +5% profit? Add another 5%. Keep rolling until the cross reverses. Profits compound quietly. I once nursed a 20% gain into a 30% loss, gripping hope. Now, stops are instinct. And forget moonshots. Build slow. Let winners ride. It’s smarter than endless flips and way less exhausting.
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Binance’s Founder CZ predicts $ASTER will reach between $30 and $50 this cycle!
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ROBERT KIYOSAKI: “I focus on how many Bitcoin I own... In 2030 the probability is Bitcoin will be $1 million a coin.”
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