$ZEC — Sellers remain in control as price fails to reclaim key moving-average resistance.
Short ZEC
Entry: 287 – 292
SL: 306
TP: 275 – 262 – 248
$ZEC sold off aggressively from the recent spike high, showing clear distribution and seller dominance.
Bounces since the drop have been weak and corrective, with price repeatedly rejected below prior support.
Momentum remains bearish, with no sustained buyer response after the downside sweep.
Structure continues to print lower highs beneath descending averages, keeping downside pressure intact.
Unless price reclaims and holds above 306, continuation toward lower liquidity zones remains favored.
Trade ZEC👇
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$TRX is lifting into supply — if sellers show up, it rolls over to TP1.
$TRX - SHORT
Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.283 – 0.283
SL: 0.284
TP1: 0.281
TP2: 0.281
TP3: 0.280
Why this setup?
4h setup is ARMED for a SHORT, and the 1D trend is bearish, reinforcing the bias.
Price is working inside (0.283-0.283), so the risk is defined and the trigger is simple.
If we get a clean rejection/failed hold here, the path opens toward TP1 at 0.281. Lower TF RSI shows no extreme oversold, leaving room for the move to develop.
Key invalidation sits at 0.291 — acceptance beyond it cancels the thesis.
Debate:
Is 0.281 the magnet next, or is 0.291 getting reclaimed to flip the bias?
Trade here 👇 and comment your bias!
$PAXG is pressing against local highs after a clean trend reversal, signaling bullish continuation strength
On the 1h chart, price has reclaimed EMA25 and EMA99 with strong impulsive candles from 4,460, forming higher highs and higher lows; consolidation below 4,973 suggests absorption before expansion.
🎯 Entry zone: LONG 4,920 - 4,975
TP1 5,020, TP2 5,100, TP3 5,200
🛑 Stop Loss 4,840
Bullish structure remains intact while price holds above 4,900; continuation toward psychological 5k+ zone is favored.
#PAXG #Gold #Bullish
Trade here👇
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🚀 BEAT — Market structure leans into continuation as buying pressure stays stable, derivatives flow starts supporting the upside, and overall psychology favors trend expansion over deep pullbacks.
📌 LONG BEAT — 🟢 Risk 5/10
🎯 Entry: 0.1940 — 0.1910
💎 TP1: 0.2060
💎 TP2: 0.2220
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.1690 🛑
BEAT — The current trend remains constructive, short-term flow favors long exposure, selling pressure fades within the structure, buyers control the rhythm, and market psychology fits disciplined positioning and risk management rather than emotional trading.
📊 Trade $BEAT here 👇
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🩸 BULLA — Selling pressure is gaining control as market structure shifts into distribution, demand weakens, derivatives flow fades from the buy side, and overall psychology favors downside continuation over deep rebounds.
📌 SHORT BULLA — 🔴 Risk 6/10
🎯 Entry: 0.0321 — 0.0314
💎 TP1: 0.0290
💎 TP2: 0.0266
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.0365 🛑
BULLA — The current trend leans bearish, flow no longer supports long exposure, structure keeps supply active, sellers control the rhythm, and market psychology fits defensive positioning and risk management rather than position expansion.
📊 Trade $BULLA here 👇
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Long ngắn $PENGU đang có setup hồi khá ổn
Entry: 0.00765 – 0.00780
• TP1: 0.00795 – 0.00800 (vùng cam/đỏ Strong High, target đầu ~2–4% profit, resistance gần).
• TP2: 0.00820 – 0.00840 (vùng xanh nhạt, ~6–9%).
• TP3: 0.00860 – 0.00880 (LuxAlgo/xanh, target stretch ~12–15% nếu pump mạnh).
• Partial: 50% tại TP1, 30% tại TP2, giữ runner nếu break 0.008+ với volume cao (memecoin dễ FOMO).
Stop Loss (SL):
• SL chặt: 0.00745 (dưới support đỏ 0.0077526, rủi ro ~1–2%).
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POL Technical Outlook: Is This Bounce the Real Reversal — or Just a Dead-Cat Bounce?
Polygon (POL) rebounded sharply from the $0.1000 demand zone, posting an 11% daily gain after three consecutive weeks of selling pressure that erased roughly 21% of its value. This bounce offers short-term relief, but the broader trend remains fragile.
On the daily chart, EMA 50, 100, and 200 are still sloping downward, confirming that bearish structure is intact. For bulls to regain control, POL must break and hold above the 50-day EMA at $0.1273. A successful reclaim could open upside continuation toward the 100-day EMA at $0.1422, followed by the 200-day EMA near $0.1743 — a critical long-term trend filter.
Momentum indicators are starting to stabilize. MACD is compressing toward a bullish crossover, although still below the zero line, signaling weakening bearish momentum rather than a confirmed trend reversal. Meanwhile, RSI has rebounded to around 40 from oversold levels, suggesting selling pressure is easing — but not gone.
⚠️ Bearish risk remains. If POL fails to hold above $0.1100, price could revisit the psychological $0.1000 support. A decisive breakdown there would expose $0.0691 (S1 Pivot) as the next major downside target.
📌 Long-Term Trade Scenarios (Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Long-Term Buy (DCA Style)
Entry zone: $0.1000 – $0.1050
Stop-loss: $0.0680
Take Profit targets:
TP1: $0.1420
TP2: $0.1740
TP3: $0.2200+
🔴 Long-Term Sell (If Breakdown Occurs)
Sell trigger: Daily close below $0.0980
Stop-loss: $0.1120
Take Profit: $0.0700 – $0.0650
💬 So what do you think — is POL forming a long-term bottom, or is this just a temporary relief rally before another leg down?
👉 Follow for more clean TA, on-chain context, and high-probability crypto setups.
#Polygon #CryptoAnalysis
Long ngắn $AXS kỳ họng hồi
Entry: 1.550– 1.570
Take Profit (TP) targets – partial profit (stretch vì rủi ro cao):
• TP1: 1.5944 – 1.6000 (vùng đỏ/cam, target đầu ~3–4% profit, resistance gần).
• TP2: 1.6200 – 1.6400 (vùng cam, ~5–6%).
• TP3: 1.6705 – 1.6978 (gần LuxAlgo/xanh, target stretch ~8–10% nếu rebound mạnh).
• Partial: 50% tại TP1, 30% tại TP2, giữ runner nếu break 1.60+ với volume cao.
Stop Loss (SL):
• SL chặt: 1.5200 – 1.5150 (dưới support xanh/đỏ 1.5200–1.5157, rủi ro ~2–3%).
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$BTC và câu chuyện của Micheal Saylor: Dạo gần đây nhiều người nói rằng Saylor bắt đầu bị lỗ và có thể phải bán Bitcoin, nhưng:
• Tiền Saylor vay kiểu doanh nghiệp, không phải dạng như Futures
• Dạng vay là trái phiếu chuyển đổi thành cổ phiếu ưu đãi
• Không có giá thanh lý
-> Nếu BTC về giá 1 đồng, tôi cũng sẽ chi 21.000.000 tiền túi để mua hết sạch Bitcoin trên thị trường 😂
Nhưng hiện tại Vàng, Bạc đang là bố của Bitcoin. Trước đây Bitcoin lên xuống không phải nhìn mặt thằng nào, nhưng hiện tại đang phải ngó mặt thằng Vàng 😅
Who Is Losing — and How Much?
The scale of losses across Bitcoin holders is becoming clearer as on-chain data and fund flow analysis continue to develop. According to Jim Bianco of Bianco Research, the 12 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs currently hold around 1.29 million BTC, with a combined market value exceeding $115 billion. This represents roughly 6.5% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. When combined with Bitcoin holdings from Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), this group controls close to 10% of total BTC supply, making them a major force in market structure.
However, the cost basis between these holders differs significantly.
Strategy began accumulating Bitcoin as early as 2020, achieving an average purchase price of approximately $76,020 per BTC. Despite the recent market drawdown, Strategy is still sitting on around $1.17 billion in unrealized gains, though this is sharply down from over $30 billion in unrealized profits recorded in October last year.
In contrast, ETF investors entered much later, largely during higher price levels. Bianco estimates the average purchase price across the 12 spot Bitcoin ETFs at roughly $90,200 per BTC. With Bitcoin trading about $13,000 below that level, ETF investors are currently facing an average unrealized loss of around 16%.
This growing divergence highlights how entry timing, not just conviction, is now defining winners and losers in the Bitcoin market.
⚠️ This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
👉 Follow for more ETF flow data, on-chain insights, and Bitcoin market structure analysis.
#BTC #CryptoNews
I’m closing my $BTC , $ETH and $SOL shorts at current price to reassess the market.
These positions have already delivered solid moves, and with price approaching key areas, the risk–reward from here is no longer as clean. Locking profits now allows me to step aside, reduce exposure, and watch how the market behaves next before taking any new positions.
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#PreciousMetalsTurbulence
thị trường crypto điều chỉnh hồi áp lực giảm chung trong tuần trước, với BTC giảm 8,7% và ETH giảm mạnh tới 19,4%. Dòng vốn vào ETF suy yếu đáng kể, với các quỹ ETF BTC và ETH ghi nhận dòng vốn ròng chảy ra lần lượt khoảng 1,49 tỷ USD và 327 triệu USD. Giá trị vốn hóa thị trường thị trường của tài sản crypto giảm 11,3% trong tuần. Tỷ giá ETH/BTC giảm xuống dưới mức quan trọng 0,03, làm xấu thêm tâm lý thị trường và bước vào vùng "sợ hãi tột độ". Sự biến động gia tăng dẫn đến áp lực đòn bẩy và vị thế giữ tăng cao. Về các hoạt động Chuỗi và ngành, bất chấp áp lực thị trường, vốn đầu tư mạo hiểm và đổi mới vẫn tiếp tục thúc đẩy tăng trưởng. Một số phát triển xoay quanh cơ sở hạ tầng thanh toán, dịch vụ trên Chuỗi thủ và kiến trúc DeFi thích ứng. Về đầu tư và tài chính, 11 thương vụ tài chính đã được hoàn tất trong tuần trước, với tổng số tiền tài trợ được công bố lên tới khoảng 188,5 triệu USD, tăng khoảng 52% so với tuần trước. Các quỹ chủ yếu tập trung vào DeFi và các lĩnh vực liên quan đến cơ sở hạ tầng. Những động thái này cho thấy rằng, trong bối cảnh tâm lý thận trọng, việc phân bổ vốn vẫn mang tính chọn lọc về mặt cấu trúc và tiếp tục hỗ trợ các phát triển liên quan đến tiện ích dài hạn trên Chuỗi.
$BTC
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$CHESS
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$ZIL
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$MERL Phân tích kỹ thuật MERL – Ngắn hạn
MERL đang cho thấy tín hiệu hồi phục tích cực sau giai đoạn biến động mạnh. Giá hiện duy trì vững trên vùng hỗ trợ then chốt 0,050 USD, xác nhận lực cầu hấp thụ tốt sau đợt thanh lý trước đó. Cấu trúc thị trường ghi nhận sự đảo chiều xu hướng ngắn hạn, khi áp lực bán suy yếu rõ rệt và phe mua dần lấy lại quyền kiểm soát.
Về mặt kỹ thuật, EMA ngắn hạn cắt lên EMA dài hạn kết hợp với Bollinger Band mở rộng và khối lượng giao dịch gia tăng cho thấy đà tăng đang được củng cố. Ngoài ra, yếu tố dòng tiền từ cuộc thi giao dịch trên BNB Chain với quy mô thưởng lớn đang góp phần thu hút sự chú ý và cải thiện thanh khoản cho MERL trong ngắn hạn.
Kịch bản giao dịch đề xuất:
• Điểm vào lệnh (Buy): 0,050 – 0,052 USD (ưu tiên mua khi giá giữ trên hỗ trợ)
• Chốt lời (TP):
• TP1: 0,058 USD
• TP2: 0,065 USD
• TP3: 0,072 USD
• Cắt lỗ (SL): Dưới 0,046 USD (đóng nến)
Lưu ý: MERL có biên độ biến động lớn, phù hợp với chiến lược quản trị vốn chặt chẽ. Nên chốt lời từng phần khi giá tiếp cận các vùng kháng cự để bảo toàn lợi nhuận. Phân tích mang tính tham khảo, không phải khuyến nghị đầu tư.
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$CHESS
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$ZIL
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#TrumpProCrypto #GoldSilverRebound #VitalikSells #StrategyBTCPurchase #AISocialNetworkMoltbook
📊 Bitcoin ETF Investors Are Deep in the Red — On-Chain Data Reveals the Pressure
According to aggregated data from Checkonchain, the average cost basis of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs currently sits around $85,360 per BTC. With Bitcoin trading well below that level, this implies an average unrealized loss of roughly $8,000 per BTC, translating into an estimated $7 billion in total unrealized losses across ETF holdings.
In simple terms, the majority of Bitcoin ETF investors are now “underwater.”
James Check, lead analyst at Checkonchain, adds more context: when measuring ETF cost basis based on actual capital inflows at the time of purchase, approximately 62% of all ETF inflows are currently in a losing position. This highlights how much capital entered the market during higher price levels, particularly during periods of strong bullish sentiment.
Despite these losses, ETF outflows remain relatively controlled so far, suggesting that many institutional and long-term investors may still be holding through volatility rather than capitulating. Historically, similar conditions — where a large share of investors sits at a loss — have often marked late-stage corrections or consolidation phases in Bitcoin market cycles.
Whether this becomes a long-term accumulation zone or a prolonged period of pressure will likely depend on macro conditions, ETF flows, and broader risk sentiment in the months ahead.
⚠️ This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
👉 Follow for more on-chain insights, ETF data, and market structure analysis.
#BTC #CryptoNews
$PAXG Strong recovery momentum suggests a bullish continuation toward previous highs.
Trading signal: $PAXG : LONG
• Entry: $4,900 - $4,953
• Stop Loss: $4,680
• Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: $5,175
• TP2: $5,430
• TP3: $5,600
Confidence Statement:
The alignment of rising RSI momentum and a clear bullish engulfing structure on the 4h timeframe confirms that bulls have seized control from the local bottom. Risk-reward is highly favorable for a trend-following long position.
Click below to trade 👇👇👇
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🚨 BREAKING — BUT LET’S BE REAL FOR A MOMENT
Federal Reserve is injecting $8.3B into the market tomorrow around 9:00 AM ET.
I know what people want to hear:
“QE is back.”
“Money printer on.”
“Bull market saved.”
But take a breath.
This isn’t some bold pivot or grand restart of QE.
This looks like basic plumbing work — short-term liquidity to keep things from jamming up.
Here’s the human version of what’s happening:
Something in the system is uncomfortable.
Funding is tight.
Someone somewhere doesn’t want to hold risk overnight.
When the Fed does this, it’s usually not because everything is fine.
It’s because they’re trying to prevent something from snapping.
Yes, it can help markets temporarily.
Yes, prices might bounce.
But no — this is not a green light that “everything’s bullish again.”
Real QE is loud and obvious:
Balance sheet expansion
Sustained support
Clear policy shift
This is quieter.
More like: “Let’s stabilize things so we can make it to tomorrow.”
Late in cycles, these injections often show up before volatility, not after it’s gone.
So don’t switch your brain off because of one headline.
Watch how markets react after the cash hits.
That reaction will tell you whether this is relief…
or just another patch on a stressed system.
Stay grounded.
This is a thinking market, not a cheering one.