🚀 Bull Run Status: Is It Happening Right Now?
As of late Q2–early Q3 2025:
Bitcoin (BTC) has surged past $118K–$122K, supported by enormous institutional inflows via spot ETFs—totaling over $50B in 2025 alone.
Ethereum (ETH) is strengthening too, buoyed by newly approved spot ETH ETFs and growing corporate demand.
Total crypto market capitalization has climbed above $3.8 trillion, signaling broad-based momentum.
Many analysts now view this phase as the early/mid-stage of a multi-month bull cycle.
Projected Timeline & Duration
Several forecasts expect the bull run to continue into 2026, with potential extensions as long as March–June–even November 2026, depending on macro conditions and institutional momentum.
However, analyst Rekt Capital warns that if the cycle mirrors the 2020 model, a market peak could arrive as early as October 2025, roughly 550 days post-April 2024 halving.
🔑 Key Drivers Fueling This Cycle
✅ 1. Institutional & ETF Adoption
Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs continue drawing massive capital, with inflows acting as the main near-term price engine—not speculative narratives.
✅ 2. U.S. Regulatory & Policy Tailwinds
Under the Trump administration:
Creation of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and inclusion of ETH, SOL, ADA, XRP as official reserve assets.
Crypto regulation reforms, including the Genius Act and memecoin deregulation by the SEC.
A crypto summit and the appointment of a crypto/AI Czar have further strengthened confidence.
✅ 3. Macro & Economic Context
Global interest rates are expected to decline later in the year, favoring risk assets.
A weakening U.S. dollar and growing liquidity supercycle may further boost crypto demand.
✅ 4. On‑Chain Health & Horizon Demand
Signals such as rising active addresses, long-term accumulation, and elevated chain activity suggest supply tightening and expanding usage.
✅ 5. Growth in Altcoin Momentum
Early resistance for "altseason" may fracture as major altcoins like ADA, SOL, SUI, TRX and even emerging hyped tokens (e.g. Little Pepe, Remittix) gain traction.
📉 Potential Risks & Warning Signs
If BTC follows historical halving cycles closely, the peak may arrive around October 2025, per Rekt Capital’s account.
Overbought technical conditions or sudden macro turbulence could trigger corrections.
Crowded trades and retail FOMO might lead to sharp pullbacks—watch for rising exchange inflows or increasing margin liquidation risk.
Regulations in other regions or geopolitical events may dampen enthusiasm.
💰 Targets & Market Cap Outlook
Bitcoin could rally to $140K–$150K+, if breaking key resistance zones like $114K and continuing ETF inflows.
Ethereum is projected to test $6K–$7K+ by Q4 2025 if institutional interest and ETF momentum stay strong.
Overall crypto market cap may expand to $8–14 trillion by mid to late 2026 under bullish scenarios.
📋 Quick Reference Summary
Category Key Points
Bull Run Phase Active since early 2025; likely in early/mid-cycle
BTC Trajectory $118K–$122K now; potential move to ~$150K+
ETH Outlook ETF-driven interest; targeting $6K–7K+
Altcoins to Watch ADA, SOL, SUI, TRX, LILPEPE, RTX
Cycle Duration Likely through 2025 into 2026; possible peak as early as Oct 2025
Market Cap Goal $8–14T depending on “moon case” or base/bear scenarios
Risks Macro shocks, regulation changes, overbought technicals, retail mania
🧠 How to Participate Strategically
1. Use on‑chain analytics and ETF flow trackers to identify sunny days and accumulation opportunities.
2. Layer positions over time, starting with core assets (BTC, ETH), then selectively exploring altcoins as momentum builds.
3. Apply strong risk controls — set stop‑losses, take profits near resistance levels, and avoid chasing frothy hype zones.
4. Stay policy‑aware, especially around potential U.S. or global regulations that could shift sentiment.
✅ Final Take
The 2025 crypto bull run is well underway, powered by heavy institutional adoption and supportive U.S. policy. Bitcoin and Ethereum are still climbing, with broader alt markets gearing up for breakout phases. While October 2025 is a potential cycle peak under traditional halving models, many projections extend upside into mid and late 2026. Your edge lies in timely positioning, disciplined risk management, and staying informed on regulatory and macro drivers.
#BullRunAhead #BullishMomentum #FOMCMeeting