🚨 Crypto Market Sentiment Tense as Bitcoin Braces for FOMC
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Bitcoin is consolidating around $94,000 as traders await the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates and Jerome Powell’s guidance. Despite a high probability of a rate hold, market volatility is expected, with analysts watching key price levels for breakout or breakdown opportunities. Powell’s tone at the FOMC press conference could trigger significant market movements, with analysts divided on the impact of his remarks.
🌟 Quick Take:
Despite the swirling fears, a breakout remains on the table. Bulls could get the green light if Jerome Powell strikes a more dovish tone or hints at cuts later this year. According to BitMEX co-founder and former CEO, Arthur Hayes, the Fed switching to quantitative easing (QE) could see Bitcoin price go parabolic. However, Bitcoin could revisit recent lows in a sharp unwind if the Fed doubles down on hawkishness. Ahead of the Wednesday FOMC meeting, the market is walking a tightrope, and all eyes are on Powell to decide which way it tips.
Data shows Bitcoin was trading for $94,474 as of this writing, down by 0.16% in the last 24 hours.
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why unchanged Interest Rate..........
Reason Here👇👇👇
Although swings in net exports have affected the data, recent indicators suggest that economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace. The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid. Inflation remains somewhat elevated.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. Uncertainty about the economic outlook has increased further. The Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate and judges that the risks of higher unemployment and higher inflation have risen.
In support of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4-1/4 to 4-1/2 percent. In considering the extent and timing of additional adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage‑backed securities. The Committee is strongly committed to supporting maximum employment and returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments
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CẬP NHẬT #FOMC THÁNG 5: FED GIỮ NGUYÊN LÃI SUẤT
Lãi suất giữ nguyên ở mức 4.25–4.50% đúng như kỳ vọng thị trường (98% theo CME FedWatch)
Lần thứ 3 liên tiếp không thay đổi lãi suất sau chuỗi 3 đợt giảm hồi cuối 2024 do lạm phát hạ nhiệt và thị trường lao động yếu
→ Lý do giữ nguyên lãi suất:
Lạm phát đang giảm (CPI tháng 3 giảm 0.1%, lạm phát hàng năm về 2.4%)
Thị trường lao động vẫn mạnh (tháng 4 tiếp tục ghi nhận số việc làm tăng ổn định)
Nền kinh tế vẫn tăng trưởng tốt, dù rủi ro từ chính sách thuế của Trump tăng cao
→ Phát biểu của Jerome Powell & Fed:
“Không cần vội” – Fed tiếp tục thận trọng
Thuế quan của Trump có thể làm: Tăng lạm phát và tăng thất nghiệp
Lạm phát có thể bị kéo dài thêm 1 năm do thuế
Khẳng định sự độc lập, không bị ảnh hưởng bởi áp lực chính trị
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Kỳ vọng cắt giảm lãi suất mùa hè giảm mạnh, dự kiến có thể bắt đầu từ tháng 7, với 2–3 đợt cắt giảm trong năm nay.
#Fed #Bitcoin $BTC
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24h High/Low: $1.5559 / $1.0180
Volume Surge: High trading volume confirms breakout strength.
Bullish Case for $KAITO
Breakout Confirmed: Price broke out from consolidation near $0.90–$1.00 with strong green candles and volume support.
Golden Crossover: MA(5) crossed above MA(10), indicating bullish momentum.
No Immediate Resistance: After breaching $1.25 and $1.50, the next resistance zone could be psychological at $1.60–$1.75.
Momentum Strength: RSI likely in overbought zone, but parabolic rallies can continue in strong trend markets.
Bullish Signal:
Buy on pullback to $1.38–$1.42 (near MA(5)), SL at $1.25, TP zones: $1.60, $1.75, and $2.00.
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Bearish Case:
Overextended Rally: RSI likely overheated; price moved up 90%+ from $0.77 without real correction.
Shooting Star Risk: If next candle closes with long wick above $1.50, possible reversal.
Volume Climax: Highest volume candle could signal short-term exhaustion.
Bearish Signal:
Short near $1.55–$1.60, SL at $1.65, TP zones: $1.38, $1.20, $1.05.
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