- 18 year real estate cycle
- 200 year old farmer chart
- History patters
I researched all the data and found smth shocking
Here is what’s happening and when peak will take place
1/ Across every market, from housing and commodities to equities and crypto, cycles are aligning again
The 18-year real estate loop, the 150-year Benner chart, and even Bitcoin’s halving rhythm point to one moment
History suggests the next global peak will arrive in 2026
2/ Let’s start with the 18-year real estate cycle
It shows how credit and speculation expand for over a decade before collapsing
The last major crash was in 2008–2009, followed by 14 years of recovery and euphoria
Do the math – that places the next peak right around 2027
3/ This pattern isn’t random
It’s been visible since the 1800s – land, credit, speculation, collapse, repeat
The property bubble drives the wider business cycle, and when it bursts, everything follows
Crypto won’t escape – it rides the same liquidity waves
4/ Then there’s the Benner cycle – a 150-year-old “farmer’s chart” from the 1870s
Samuel Benner mapped booms and busts in commodities
His chart marked peaks in 2007 and 2016... and the next boom in 2026
It’s eerie how accurate this relic still is
5/ The farmer’s chart says: “Buy in despair, sell in euphoria”
2023 was the accumulation phase – quiet and hated
2026 is marked as the selling climax – the point of total FOMO
Even 150 years later, the rhythm matches the crypto curve perfectly
6/ Now layer on Bitcoin’s halving rhythm
Every 4 years, BTC supply shocks create new bull runs – 2013, 2017, 2021
But 2024’s halving looks different: the move is slower, broader, more institutional
Cycles may now stretch to 5 years, pushing the top into 2026
7/ Macro explains why
Rate cuts, QE, and trillions in liquidity take time to flow.
The Fed’s easing wave in 2025–26 could supercharge risk assets just as retail piles in
That’s how blow-off tops form – delayed, violent, and full of euphoria
8/ Every bull market starts with disbelief and ends with mania
We’re entering the optimism phase now – ETF inflows, AI narratives, corporate adoption
But the real insanity comes when everyone believes “this time is different”
That’s likely 2026 territory
9/ Even sentiment data aligns
Retail interest, Google trends, and on-chain volumes all show we’re mid-cycle
Historically, it takes about two years post-halving for the real parabolic stage
That again lands in early-to-mid 2026
10/ The irony?
Right before every historical top, narratives flip: “New paradigm”, “permanent liquidity”, “institutional era”
It’s the same illusion every time – the signal of late stage greed
Cycles don’t die they just get renamed
11/ So when someone says “don’t get sidelined,” remember – the final melt-up is designed to pull everyone in
It’s where the market transfers wealth from the patient to the desperate
But ignoring the cycle is worse – you’ll miss the final wave entirely
This article is for information and education only and is not investment advice. Crypto assets are volatile and high risk. Do your own research.
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.
