#PCEInflationWatch
📉 Shutdowns shake stocks → usually –1% to –3%, fear comes fast but fades quick.
💵 Bonds react first → short-term yields spike 🚀, long-term yields fall 🛡️.
🪙 Crypto follows its own rhythm → not bound to shutdowns, but to liquidity and trust.
🔄 Flip-flop possible → stocks down, crypto up 🚀, if money chases “digital hedge.”
⏳ Longer standoffs = more global jitters, but still rarely a collapse.
⚖️ Debt ceiling > Shutdown → one risks delays, the other risks default.
🧭 Wisdom: Shutdowns test nerves, not systems. Markets bend, not break.