Everyone screaming that CYCLES CHANGED and we are dumping HARD!
But pattern leaves the same showing we are about to pump rn
I researched all the data, macro and found smth shocking
Here are what's happening, history patterns and when altseason will be
1/â« Everyone keeps yelling âthis cycle is differentâ but the data says otherwise
â Bitcoin still runs on the same pattern: liquidity drives the pump, greed fuels the altseason, and macro sets the timing
â Hereâs why the cycle isnât broken, just stretched
2/â« The market has always followed the same rhythm:
â Accumulation â Green phase (steady growth) â Parabolic pump â Red phase (sharp drawdown) â Recovery
â Since 2011, every cycle has played out this way
â Nothing about that core structure has changed
3/â« Bitcoin is deeply tied to the business cycle
â When central banks expand liquidity, BTC rallies â when they tighten, BTC crashes
â Green means expansion, red means contraction
â That macro rhythm, not the halving, has always been the real engine behind cycles
4/â« Look back: 2013, 2017, 2021
â Each time, BTC soared during green liquidity, topped as liquidity peaked, then dumped into recessionary red
â Only after brutal drawdowns did new accumulation begin
â The four-year rhythm is just a mirror of macro cycles
5/â« In this cycle, BTC bottomed near $16K in late 2022, then recovered through 2023â2024
â This has been the long green phase: steady inflows, gradual growth, rising dominance
â But the red phase hasnât even started yet â the cycle is still incomplete
6/â« Why does it feel âlongerâ? Because macro stayed tighter for longer.
â Fed policy stretched this green ramp by keeping rates high while liquidity kept flowing elsewhere
â Call it what you want, but itâs the same cycle taking more time to play out
7/â« Bitcoin always leads
â At first, BTC outperforms, dominance climbs, and alts lag
â Only once BTC cools and traders chase higher beta does the rotation begin
â ETH gains first, then quality alts, and only at the end does retail FOMO spill into everything
8/â« Altseason hasnât arrived yet, but that doesnât mean itâs gone
â ETH/BTC is starting to turn, BTC dominance is rolling over, and liquidity is primed to rotate
â Thatâs the same setup weâve seen before â late, but still coming
9/â« Macro is setting the stage for the next pump
â Fed rate cuts are on the table in September
â Over $7T parked in money market funds is waiting for yields to fall
â When that cash rotates back into risk assets, crypto is one of the first doors itâll hit
10/â« The likely sequence is simple:
â First a final BTC pump, then a broad altseason led by ETH, then the inevitable crash as liquidity tightens again
â The next red wave is certain, only its timing is still ahead
11/â« This cycle feels unusual only because itâs slower, not because itâs different
â We havenât seen the final blow-off or the true altseason yet
â Weâre still in the middle of it â and history says the script will finish the same way
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