Confidence in the Federal Reserve is collapsing. Gallupâs latest survey shows only 37% of Americans trust Jerome Powellâs ability to manage the economy â the lowest in years and a sharp fall from the 58% approval in 2020.
This isnât just about sentiment. Itâs about credibility. Inflation remains above target, growth is slowing, and now the public is questioning whether the Fed can steer the economy without breaking something.
đïž Powell at Jackson Hole â The Big Hint
At the Jackson Hole symposium, Powell hinted that an âadjustmentâ may be needed â widely seen as code for upcoming rate cuts.
The market reaction was immediate:
đ” Dollar slipped
đ Treasuries rallied
đ Stocks bounced after a shaky week
But hereâs the catch:
If the labor market rebounds in September, cutting too early could ignite inflation again.
Bank of America warned the Fed risks a âpolicy errorâ by easing prematurely.
âïž Politics Creeps Into the Fed
The central bankâs independence is also under scrutiny:
đșđž Donald Trump slammed Fed board member Lisa Cook.
Heâs already working with allies to reshape the Fedâs future leadership.
Traders are watching closely as Fed credibility looks shakier than ever.
đ Market Implications â Volatility Ahead
The mix of low confidence, political pressure, and policy uncertainty means traders face a turbulent road:
đ Bonds are flashing warning signs
đ Long-term yields remain under pressure
đ Equities and crypto will stay hypersensitive to every Fed headline
â Takeaway for Traders
đŻ The Fed is losing credibility fast
đïž Politics is increasingly interfering with monetary policy
⥠Volatility will remain a constant feature across markets
đ Bottom line: Stay nimble, manage risk, and donât lean too heavily on one narrative. Relief rallies may come, but without real fundamentals, they wonât last.
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