Everyone loves a good altcoin rally â but according to the Altcoin Season Index, weâre not quite there yet.
đ As of now, the index sits at 24, down from 30 earlier this week. That means only 24 out of the top 100 altcoins have outperformed $BTC over the last 90 days.
So, no â itâs not altcoin season just yet. But letâs break down what that actually means, and what you should be watching for next đ
đ§ What Is the Altcoin Season Index?
The Altcoin Season Index (from @CoinMarketCap) helps us figure out who's leading the dance: Bitcoin or altcoins.
đč Score below 25 = Bitcoin Season
đž Score above 75 = Altcoin Season
âïž In between = Transition zone (aka: chop city)
> Right now, with a reading of 24, weâre solidly in Bitcoin dominance mode.
That doesnât mean altcoins are dead â it just means $BTC is flexing harder than most of its peers right now.
đ Why Is Bitcoin Dominating?
A few key reasons:
đŠ Institutional flow continues into $BTC-related ETFs
đ€ AI, tokenization, and TradFi narratives still center on Bitcoin as the âgatewayâ asset
đŹ Macro uncertainty (FOMC, inflation, rate cuts) keeps investors risk-averse
When risk appetite is low, money flows into Bitcoin first â alts usually follow after confidence returns.
đ What to Watch Next
Want to catch the next alt season before it happens? Hereâs what to monitor:
â Bitcoin cool-off: when $BTC slows down after a strong rally, altcoins often catch a bid
đž Stablecoin flows into alt markets (watch $USDT & $USDC on-chain movements)
đ Increased $ETH dominance â Ethereum usually leads the altcoin surge
đ Strength in L1s ($SOL, $AVAX), DeFi blue chips ($UNI, $AAVE), and meme momentum ($DOGE, $PEPE)
đŻ Strategy Tips for Traders
If you're new:
đ Stick to majors like $ETH, $SOL, or $BNB until alt momentum builds
đ Donât chase low caps unless you really know the project and liquidity
If youâre experienced:
đ§ Accumulate promising alts slowly while $BTC is in control
đ Set alerts for reversal signals on the Altcoin Season Index
đ Watch social sentiment â early shifts often start on CT