It’s very likely that Bitcoin could top in Q4 2025 but it’s not guaranteed.
Why it could top:
📈 Historical cycles: In both 2013 and 2017, Bitcoin topped roughly 12–18 months after the halving. With the last halving in April 2024, that points toward Q4 2025.
🔥 Macro alignment: If interest rates start dropping and liquidity returns globally, crypto could explode perfect timing for a top.
🧠 Retail euphoria usually peaks late: FOMO and media hype usually climax near year-end.
But here's what could delay it:
🧊 Slower retail adoption than in 2021.
🏛️ Regulatory surprises, especially in the U.S.
🐳 Smart money may distribute earlier, front-running past patterns.
Bottom Line:
Q4 2025 is the prime window for a cycle top but don’t bet everything on it. Watch volume, parabolic price action, and macro signals to confirm in real-time.
Want help spotting the top indicators when they flash? I can track those for you too.