Correlation Between Gold and $BTC Price Movements

There’s no consistent time-based pattern here — so trying to predict exact timeframes or recurring cycles doesn’t really make sense. After all, funds and large investors are real people making real decisions, based on geopolitical conditions, economic shifts, and overall global stability or instability.

However, there is one recurring behavior that’s both simple and logical:

Gold tends to move first.

Historically (so far), we’ve seen that investors initially drive gold prices up. Once gold reaches a local or cycle high, profit-taking begins. Positions are closed, and capital flows out.

That liquidity often finds its way into Bitcoin — a more speculative but increasingly relevant asset class.

After this transition phase, #bitcoin — over various time intervals — tends to break into new all-time highs.

That’s why I believe we might see another leg up for BTC this summer or fall, if gold starts a corrective wave soon, potentially its final one for this macro cycle.