Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin price drops 2.6% over the past 24 hours to $109,635,

  • $2.58B in ETF outflows led by Fidelity's FBTC adds to bearish pressure

  • Fed signals macro uncertainty, driving capital rotation to equities

BTC Slides After Spot ETF Outflows and Liquidations

Bitcoin dropped to $109,635 in the past 24 hours, underperforming the broader crypto market (-2.58%). Pressure intensified after Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $258 million in net outflows on Sept 25, according to SoSoValue data cited by 吴说. The largest single-day outflow came from Fidelity’s FBTC, which lost $115 million, though it still holds $12.22 billion in cumulative net inflows.

This ETF exodus follows a volatile weekend that saw $1.7 billion in total crypto liquidations, including $500 million in BTC longs, on Sept 22. As Bitcoin breached the $115.4K Fibonacci support and the $112.8K 30-day SMA, automated selling and stop-loss triggers accelerated the decline.

Macro Uncertainty Fuels Risk-Off Rotation

Markets are still digesting Fed Chair Powell’s Sept 24 speech, which emphasized labor market risks and lingering inflation concerns.

The speech sparked a flight to safety:

  • The DXY dollar index rose 1.3%

  • The S&P 500 hit new highs

  • Bitcoin’s 60-day correlation to the S&P rose to 0.72

These moves highlight Bitcoin’s vulnerability despite recent strengthening institutional confidence.

BTC Outlook: What Comes After $105K Support?

Bitcoin now tests the $105K support level, just above the 200-day EMA at $104K, last touched in October 2024. A daily close below this area could trigger further downside. However, reclaiming the $112.8K SMA might trap shorts and spark a relief rally.