Seasonality

Bitcoin Seasonality Chart Reveals: November is Crypto’s Power Month!

According to historical on-chain data:
➤ November consistently delivers top-tier returns
➤ BTC’s strongest monthly gains are often recorded here
➤ 2023 followed the pattern closely, and 2024 is already aligning

The seasonality edge is real. Are you positioned for what’s coming next?

📊 Chart by TradingView
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Seasonality

“Moonvember” lại được réo tên — nhưng coi chừng ngộ nhận số liệu!

Lark Davis gọi tháng 11 là tháng mạnh nhất của $BTC – tăng trung bình ~40%.
Nhưng nếu xem kỹ heatmap CoinGlass: trung vị chỉ ~9% → phần lớn “đẹp đẽ” là do một năm dị biệt (+449% năm 2013) kéo mean lên.


→ Uptober / Moonvember đúng là meme mùa thu crypto
→ Chỉ nên xem như “bối cảnh lịch sử”, không phải target giá.
Trader thực tế sẽ chờ breakout – volume – xác nhận thị trường… chứ không FOMO theo meme.

Không phải lời khuyên đầu tư — mình còn chưa vượt nổi 3% port tháng này nói gì 40%.

#Seasonality #Bitcoin #Moonvember #CryptoHistory #DataNotHopium

💡Завтра начинается ноябрь месяц, посмотрим что крипта исторически показывала в этот период.


🪙 Для биткоина месяц закрывался в плюс в 64% случаев если брать выборку за весь период, со средним return 9,4%.


Если посмотреть последние 5 лет то результат похуже 50% закрытия в плюс и return 5,7%.

🔹 Для эфириума месяц закрывался в плюс в 50% случаев со средним результатом 5,2%.


Если взять последние 5 лет то картина получше закрытие в плюс 75%, с результатом 10,8%.

Октябрь выдался очень слабым и можно ожидать, что коррекция в ноябре будет завершаться и есть шансы увидеть отскок рынка.

Что вы ожидаете от ноября?

Закрытие в плюс 👍


Или в минус 🔥

#Seasonality

🔒 Bitcoin Remains Rangebound

BTC trading steady in the $110K–$113K zone as bulls pin hopes on Fed rate cuts and Q4 seasonals to spark momentum.

Analysts note that macro optimism is met with technical fragility — a breakout above resistance could flip sentiment fast.

Chart to watch: Break above ~$113.6K for upside, or risk deeper consolidation.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #Fed #Seasonality

Saya akan memberikan pandangan yang lebih mendalam mengenai seasonality atau pola musiman dalam pasar cryptocurrency, bukan sekadar mitos, tetapi berdasarkan pendekatan data-driven dan faktor-faktor fundamental yang memengaruhinya.

Seasonality di pasar kripto lebih kompleks dan didorong oleh kombinasi faktor-faktor berikut :

1. Siklus Perhatian Investor (Attention Cycles)
2. Siklus Keuangan Global
3. Aktivitas Lembaga Keuangan (Institutional Flow)
4. Peristiwa Spesifik Kripto
5. Siklus Pasar (Market Cycles)

Berdasarkan analisis data historis (meskipun tidak ada jaminan masa depan akan sama), berikut adalah pola musiman berdasarkan data analyst :

* Periode JUNI - AGUSTUS : Periode ini sering disebut sebagai "summer slump" atau musim datar (sideways). Volume perdagangan cenderung menurun karena liburan musim panas di belahan bumi utara. Namun, ini juga bisa menjadi waktu yang baik bagi smart money untuk AKUMULASI ASET with SILENT.

#seasonality
#AccumulationSeason
#xrp
#xlm
#algorand

Seasonality of crypto assets in September.

Traditionally, the month continues the summer weakness of the market: corrections and finishing movements before the autumn rally.
📉For Bitcoin, this is one of the worst months — only 36% of closings are positive, with an average return of -4.8%. 

📉The picture is even weaker for Ethereum: only 40% of closings are positive, and the average return is -11.1%.

#Seasonality $BTC $ETH

Seasonal Trends Point to Bullish Q4 for BTC & ETH
Historical data suggests strong Q4 performance for Bitcoin and Ethereum. November often leads with average gains of ~46%.

#Seasonality #BTC #ETH #Binance

📈 Crypto Market Seasonality in October
Historically, October is one of the strongest months for crypto assets.
🪙Bitcoin:
82% of the month closed higher.
The average October return was +19.5%.
🔷 Ethereum:
70% of the month closed positive.
The average October return was +9.9%.
Thus, October traditionally kicks off the autumn rally and is considered a bullish month for both BTC and ETH. Past seasonality does not guarantee a repeat in the future, but it increases the chances. #Seasonality

In 100% of Septembers in the last four years XRP has positive change (no guarantee how positive though)
$XRP #Binance #Seasonality

August is traditionally a weak month for the cryptocurrency market.

📉 Only in 27% of cases did BTC end August in positive territory (average return –1.4%).
📉 ETH has grown in only 30% of years (average return –0.4%)

Historical seasonality does not guarantee a repeat, but it does indicate increased risks of correction in August. Pay attention to key support levels.
#seasonality $BTC $ETH

$SUI – Historical Q4 Strength 🚀


$SUI has a strong seasonal track record, with average returns of +56.9% in November and +23.1% in December. 📊🔥

With history on its side, $SUI could be gearing up for a powerful year-end rally if momentum aligns. 📈
#SUI #Crypto #Altcoins #Seasonality #WriteToEarn

🚀 $XRP /USDT BULLISH SEASONAL MOVE – ACCUMULATION SIGNALS AHEAD OF JULY! 📈🔥

$XRP shows a strong seasonal accumulation pattern as July approaches, similar to previous bullish cycles. Price is holding near strong support, creating a solid base for a potential breakout toward higher levels.


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📊 KEY LEVELS:

Current Price: $0.50

Major Resistance: $0.65 – $0.75 🧱

Immediate Support: $0.45 🛡️

Strong Support Zone: $0.40 ⚠️



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💥 TRADE SETUP (LONG):

Entry: $0.48 – $0.50

TP1: $0.65

TP2: $0.75

TP3: $0.90

SL: $0.40


🧠 Trade Bias: Bullish as long as $XRP holds above $0.45 with increasing seasonal buying pressure.


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📌 RISK MANAGEMENT:

Risk only 1–2% per trade.

Use a hard stop-loss below support.

Secure profits gradually at TP levels to minimize exposure.


#XRP #Crypto #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #Seasonality #BreakoutSetup #Trading #Altcoins #RiskManagement 🚀📊

Analisis Data: Pola Bulanan yang Sering Diamati (Studi Historis)

Berdasarkan analisis data historis (meskipun tidak ada jaminan masa depan akan sama), berikut adalah pola musiman yang sering dibicarakan dalam komunitas data analyst dan trader :

September : Sering kali dianggap sebagai bulan yang paling menantang dan penuh koreksi di pasar finansial, termasuk kripto. Banyak investor yang berhati-hati di bulan ini.

#Seasonality
#BTC
#BTCUSDT

🚀 Bitcoin Seasonality — Know Your Months! 🗓️✨
Did you know BTC shows seasonal behaviour (based on 10+ years of data)?
Here’s how each month has historically performed ⬇️

Month Avg Return % Positive Comment

Jan Flat / Negative ~40% Often slow after Dec sell-offs

Feb ⭐ Strong ~75% Recovery month

Mar ⚠️ Mixed ~45% Choppy, pre-halving dips

Apr 💎 Very Strong 80%+ One of BTC’s best months

May 🙂 Mild + ~60% Can start cooling

Jun 😴 Weak 40–50% Flat-to-red historically

Jul 🚀 Bullish 65–70% Mid-year rebound

Aug 😌 Steady ~60% Gradual gains

Sep ❌ Softest <40% “September blues”

Oct 🔥 Strong 70%+ Q4 optimism

Nov 🏆 Best ~75% Peak returns, FOMO season

Dec 🙂 Mild + ~55% Year-end consolidation

Buy and Trade Now 👉 $BTC

💡 Reminder: Seasonality = context, not a signal.
Always pair it with current trend, liquidity & risk management.

#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoEducation #Seasonality #BinanceSquare

📊Seasonal dynamics of major crypto assets for May.
🪙Bitcoin - for bitcoin, May was a good month and closed 64% of the time in the plus side, with an average return of 11.5%
🪙Ethereum - for ether, the month closed historically above the open in 56% of cases, with an average return of 38.5%.
I remember a few major market crashes in May, but we were at the highs then, at this point the market has started to rise, but after a 70-80% crash it's dust. Ideally, I would like to see bitcoin sticking near 100K in May and a gradual decline in dominance, to transfer some liquidity to ether and alta. What do you think awaits us in May?
#Seasonality $BTC $ETH

TradingView Adds Table View to Seasonality Charts 📊

Spot trends faster with the new tabular layout:

✅ Rows = Years

✅ Columns = Monthly price changes (green for gains, red for losses)

✅ Summary row shows frequency of positive vs negative months

A clean way to compare historical performance across markets.

#tradingview #CryptoAnalysis #Seasonality

Bitcoin’s Tough August, Ether Shines – What’s Next?

Bitcoin (BTC) fell 8% in August, in line with seasonal expectations, despite record ETF inflows and a dovish shift from Fed Chair Powell. After hitting a new all-time high above $124,000 on August 13, BTC retreated to around $108,000, erasing its summer gains.

Ether $ETH , meanwhile, surged 14% in August, heavily outperforming BTC. The spot ETH ETFs saw $4 billion in inflows—far surpassing $BTC $629 million—especially impressive given ETH’s smaller market cap.

With capital finite, ETH clearly drew interest away from BTC.

September Outlook:
Historical data shows BTC has declined in 8 of the past 12 Septembers, with an average loss of 3.8%. However, the sample size is small, and most of this data comes from BTC’s pre-mainstream era.

While seasonality hints at a challenging month, macro factors and ETF flows could ultimately dictate BTC’s trajectory.

Stay tuned for more market insights.

#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #Seasonality #ETF