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Gold just completed a parabolic wave 5 rally after breaking through a decade-long resistance ceiling, surging to $4,002 per ounce. Bitcoin, currently trading at $110,056 after a 3.90% pullback, is showing an eerily similar five-wave structure on its weekly chart. If history doesn't just rhyme but repeats, we might be witnessing the setup for Bitcoin's most explosive move yet.


The Pattern That Predicts Parabolas
Elliott Wave theory identifies five-wave structures in trending markets: three impulse waves up (1, 3, 5) separated by two corrective waves down (2, 4). The fifth wave typically represents the final, often vertical push that captures mainstream attention and exhausts the trend.
Gold's chart tells a clean story. After consolidating in waves 1 through 4 over more than a decade, gold finally broke its long-term resistance ceiling in 2024. What followed was a classic wave 5 acceleration—the kind of move that turns patient holders into serious winners and makes headlines in the financial press.
The structure is textbook. Wave 1 established the initial impulse. Wave 2 provided a deep correction that shook out weak hands. Wave 3 delivered the strongest, most sustained rally. Wave 4 consolidated those gains with a shallower pullback. Then wave 5 launched with reduced volume but maximum price velocity.
Bitcoin's Mirror Image
Now look at Bitcoin's weekly chart. The parallel is striking.
Wave 1 peaked in 2021 at roughly $69,000 before the crypto winter began. Wave 2 carved out a brutal 77% correction, bottoming near $15,550 in late 2022. Wave 3 has been the powerful rally from those lows through the 2024 breakout to new all-time highs above $73,000. Wave 4 appears to have completed as a consolidation in the $84,000 range.
If this mapping is accurate, Bitcoin is now positioned at the threshold of wave 5—the final parabolic chapter before a larger degree correction.
The similarities extend beyond just the wave count. Both assets broke through decade-defining resistance levels before entering this final phase. For gold, it was the $2,100 ceiling that had capped prices since 2011. For Bitcoin, it was reclaiming and holding the previous all-time high from 2021, a psychological and technical barrier that took years to overcome.
Why Wave 5 Matters More Than You Think
Fifth waves are unique in market psychology. They typically occur when the fundamental narrative has fully matured, when skeptics have been converted, and when late-stage participants finally capitulate to FOMO.
Gold's wave 5 coincided with escalating geopolitical tensions, central bank accumulation, and a broader flight to safety amid inflation concerns. The move wasn't about discovering gold—it was about the world finally acting on what gold investors had been saying for years.
Bitcoin's potential wave 5 setup comes with its own powerful fundamentals. Spot Bitcoin ETFs have channeled billions in institutional capital into the asset. El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption experiment continues. Major corporations maintain Bitcoin treasury positions. The tokenization of real-world assets is accelerating, and blockchain infrastructure supporting DeFi, Web3, and decentralized applications has matured significantly.
More importantly, Bitcoin has successfully navigated multiple regulatory challenges, survived the collapse of major crypto exchanges, and maintained network security through it all. The asset has been stress-tested in ways that didn't exist in previous cycles.
The Technical Setup
From a pure chart perspective, Bitcoin has already completed the breakout. The hard part—grinding through resistance, building conviction, establishing higher lows—is behind us. The structure suggests the foundation is set.
Wave 5 targets are inherently difficult to predict because they're driven more by emotion and momentum than technical levels. But historically, fifth waves often extend to 1.618 or even 2.618 Fibonacci projections from the wave 1 high. In Bitcoin's case, depending on where you mark wave 1's peak and wave 2's bottom, those projections could point anywhere from $150,000 to well over $200,000.
That might sound aggressive, but consider gold's recent behavior. After a decade of consolidation, gold added over 50% in less than two years during its wave 5. Bitcoin, with its higher volatility and smaller market cap relative to global liquidity, could theoretically deliver multiples of that percentage gain.
The white trendline on both charts represents long-term support that has held through multiple tests. Bitcoin remains well above this ascending support, suggesting the bullish structure is intact. Unlike previous rallies that felt fragile or overextended, this one has been characterized by sustained institutional buying and on-chain metrics showing strong holder conviction.
What Could Derail This Scenario
No pattern is guaranteed. Elliott Wave analysis is interpretive, not predictive. Multiple analysts can look at the same chart and count waves differently.
The most obvious risk is that Bitcoin has already completed wave 5, and the recent all-time highs represented the top of this cycle. In that case, the current pullback wouldn't be wave 4 completing—it would be the start of a larger correction.
Macro conditions could also intervene. If global liquidity tightens unexpectedly, if regulatory crackdowns intensify, or if a major crypto protocol suffers a catastrophic failure, technical patterns become secondary to survival instincts.
The correlation between gold and Bitcoin, while interesting, isn't causal. Gold is responding to its own set of drivers: sovereign debt concerns, currency debasement, central bank policy. Bitcoin operates in a different ecosystem with different participants and different catalysts. Just because gold printed a wave 5 doesn't obligate Bitcoin to do the same on a similar timeline.
The Launchpad Thesis
Still, the pattern recognition here is difficult to ignore. Both assets show five-wave structures. Both broke decade-long resistance. Both are trading above long-term ascending support. Both have completed what appears to be a wave 4 consolidation.
If Bitcoin is indeed "standing on the launchpad," as the analysis suggests, then the implications are significant. Wave 5 moves tend to happen faster than earlier waves. They capture attention from market participants who missed earlier opportunities. They generate the kind of vertical price action that dominates financial media and social media feeds.
Ethereum typically amplifies Bitcoin's moves, often outperforming in the later stages of bull markets. Altcoins, particularly those with strong fundamentals in sectors like AI crypto and decentralized finance, could see explosive gains if Bitcoin enters a parabolic phase.
For traders, the strategy becomes clearer. If you believe in the wave 5 thesis, the current pullback to $110,000 might represent one of the last opportunities to position before the final acceleration. If you're skeptical, then managing risk and watching for signs of distribution becomes paramount.
The Target Is "Much Higher"
The vague target of "much higher" frustrates analysts who want precision, but it's also honest. Wave 5 targets depend on where you measure from, which Fibonacci extension you use, and how much momentum builds once the move begins.
What we can say with more confidence is this: if Bitcoin follows gold's playbook, the move won't be modest. Gold didn't add 10-15% in its wave 5—it went parabolic. The percentage gains were substantial enough to validate the decade-long patience of holders who bought in 2011 and waited through years of consolidation.
Bitcoin's volatility profile and market structure suggest even larger potential moves. A 50-100% rally from current levels would put Bitcoin in the $165,000 to $220,000 range. That's not a prediction—it's simply math applied to historical wave 5 behavior in similar chart structures.
The real question isn't whether Bitcoin can reach those levels. The question is whether the current wave count is correct, whether the macro environment will support that kind of move, and whether Bitcoin can sustain the breakout above its previous all-time highs without triggering a premature correction.
Reading The Market's Blueprint
One of the most valuable lessons in market analysis is that markets often leave blueprints. They signal their intentions through pattern, structure, and repetition. The gold-Bitcoin parallel might be one of those blueprints.
This doesn't mean blindly betting on wave 5. It means understanding the structure, acknowledging the pattern, and preparing for multiple scenarios. If wave 5 unfolds, you want to be positioned. If it doesn't, you want to have protected capital and maintained flexibility.
The breakout is already done. Bitcoin has reclaimed its previous all-time highs and established them as support multiple times through 2024 and 2025. The consolidation phase has built energy. The structure looks coiled.
Gold showed us what happens when an asset breaks through a decade-long ceiling and completes its fifth wave—it goes vertical. Bitcoin, with its unique characteristics as a digital asset, its growing institutional adoption, and its fixed supply against infinite fiat creation, has its own compelling narrative for a similar move.
Whether that narrative plays out depends on factors both technical and fundamental, both visible and hidden. But the pattern is there. The playbook is on the table. And if Elliott Wave theory holds once again, we're watching the setup for Bitcoin's final parabolic chapter before the next major reset.

When gold broke its 10-year ceiling and launched into wave 5, it rewarded the patient and punished the skeptical—Bitcoin's chart is asking which side of that equation you'll be on this time.
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Global gold demand has surged to an all-time high in the third quarter of 2025, cementing the metal’s reputation as the world’s most reliable safe-haven asset. According to recent market data, total gold demand reached an unprecedented 1,313 tonnes, valued at over $146 billion the highest quarterly figure ever recorded. This massive wave of buying has been driven primarily by central banks and institutional investors looking for protection amid global uncertainty, slowing growth, and persistent inflation.
After touching record levels above $4,380 per ounce, gold prices have experienced a slight pullback, signaling a potential short-term correction. Yet even as the market consolidates, analysts agree that the long-term outlook remains bullish. The consensus among major financial institutions is that gold will maintain an average price above $4,000 per ounce through 2026, with some predicting a climb back toward $4,400 before the end of next year.
The surge in demand has been fueled by several converging factors, beginning with central bank acquisitions. Global central banks have continued to accumulate gold reserves at an aggressive pace, projected to purchase around 900 tonnes by the end of 2025. This accumulation reflects a clear strategy to diversify away from the US dollar and hedge against the volatility of fiat-based assets. The People’s Bank of China, the Reserve Bank of India, and the Central Bank of Turkey are among the top buyers this year, collectively shaping the strongest period of official sector demand seen in over a decade.
Another major contributor to gold’s extraordinary rise is the ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainty gripping multiple regions. Tensions in Eastern Europe, disruptions in global trade flows, and sluggish growth across major economies have all heightened risk aversion among investors. In such conditions, gold’s role as a store of value and hedge against systemic risk becomes more vital than ever. The recent downturn in the US manufacturing sector, alongside weak bond yields and fluctuating equity markets, has further reinforced gold’s defensive appeal.
A weakening US dollar has added more fuel to the rally. Historically, gold has maintained a strong inverse correlation with the dollar index, meaning that when the dollar loses strength, gold typically rises. With the Federal Reserve recently cutting interest rates by 25 basis points and signaling a possible end to its tightening cycle, the greenback has faced renewed downward pressure. This trend makes gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies, amplifying demand across Europe, Asia, and the Middle East.
Beyond institutional and central bank buying, investment demand through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and physical bars has been a dominant driver. Investor inflows into gold-backed ETFs have hit multi-year highs, reflecting growing interest among portfolio managers to rebalance away from equities and digital assets into traditional stores of value. The rise in physical demand, particularly from retail investors in China and India, also underscores how gold remains deeply embedded in both cultural and financial systems.
From a technical perspective, the gold market appears to be entering a brief cooling phase after months of powerful momentum. Key resistance levels are now seen around the $4,000 mark, followed by $4,050 and $4,120. On the downside, major support levels lie near $3,880, $3,830, and $3,740. Both the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) are trending lower, indicating that short-term momentum has weakened. Analysts suggest that traders could consider short positions near $4,000 resistance if momentum fails to recover. Conversely, a drop toward the $3,800 region might present an attractive buying opportunity for those looking to position ahead of the next leg higher.
Market forecasts remain encouraging despite short-term volatility. J.P. Morgan Research expects gold to stabilize near $4,000 per ounce by the second quarter of 2026, while Morgan Stanley maintains a more optimistic target of $4,400 by year-end. Both forecasts are supported by strong fundamentals: a weaker dollar outlook, steady central bank demand, and limited new supply entering the market due to rising production costs.
However, investors should remain cautious about potential risks in the near term. Algorithmic models project a short-lived correction that could drive prices down to around $3,736 before stabilizing. Technical indicators point toward a phase of consolidation as the market digests recent gains. Another factor worth watching is the impact of record-high prices on the jewelry sector, which represents a major component of global gold consumption. If prices remain elevated, consumer demand in key markets like India could soften temporarily, potentially capping further short-term upside.
Despite these challenges, the overall narrative for gold remains solid. The combination of macroeconomic fragility, de-dollarization, and persistent inflation ensures that the metal retains its position as the cornerstone of portfolio hedging strategies worldwide. As central banks continue to signal a shift away from traditional reserves and investors seek protection from market instability, gold’s long-term story looks far from over.
For traders and long-term holders alike, the current correction phase might not be a sign of weakness but rather a healthy pause in a broader bullish trend. The next few months could see consolidation around the $3,800–$4,000 range before another potential breakout emerges heading into 2026.
In a world increasingly defined by uncertainty, gold continues to prove why it remains the ultimate measure of trust in value a timeless asset that rises above cycles, politics, and currencies.
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“Gold at the Gate: Consolidation After the Surge?”
Gold prices are cooling slightly after a historic run past $4,000 per ounce, marking a new all-time high earlier this month. While the recent drop of nearly 6 % surprised traders, analysts say it’s a healthy correction — not the end of the uptrend.
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📊 Market Overview
Spot Gold is now trading just below $4,000/oz after reaching record highs earlier in October.
The surge was driven by safe-haven demand, Fed rate-cut expectations, and central-bank accumulation.
A minor pullback was expected as investors took profits and waited for fresh macro cues.
(Sources: Reuters, Gold.org, MarketPulse, Investopedia — Oct 29 2025)
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🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Support: Around $3,950 – $4,000 per ounce.
Resistance: $4,200 – $4,250 per ounce (next breakout zone).
As long as gold stays above $3,900, the medium-term trend remains bullish.
Some long-term forecasts project gold could reach $4,900 + by 2026 if rate cuts and global uncertainty continue.
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⚡ What’s Driving the Market
Fed policy: Expectations of U.S. rate cuts are keeping gold supported.
Geopolitical tension: Demand for safe assets is rising amid global uncertainty.
Weaker U.S. Dollar: A softer dollar typically boosts gold prices.
Institutional buying: Central banks continue to add gold reserves, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
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⚠️ What to Watch Out For
Gold’s fast rally could lead to short-term volatility or deeper correction if profit-taking accelerates.
Global macro news — especially inflation data and Fed comments — can trigger sudden price swings.
For traders in Asia (including Pakistan), local currency movements can affect gold prices in rupees.
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💬 Analyst View
> “This pullback looks technical, not structural. The overall momentum stays bullish as investors keep treating gold as the ultimate safe-haven.”
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✅ Summary
Gold remains in the spotlight: after breaking all-time highs, it’s now consolidating above key support.
If global uncertainty persists, the next leg could push prices higher again — possibly above $4,200.
#Gold #MarketUpdate #goldprice #BinanceSquare #economy

On a recent episode of Kerry Lutz's Financial Survival Network, Peter Schiff highlighted the potential for an impending dollar crisis. Schiff emphasized that rising gold prices are a signal of systemic dollar weakness.
Schiff explained during the interview that years of delaying financial reforms have worsened the situation, making a significant rise in gold prices likely. He suggested that gold could reach $20,000 due to excessive money printing, indicating a looming financial crisis.
"At a minimum now, probably we're looking at $20,000 gold because of all of the money that has been printed and all the money that's going to be printed, which is why people have to look at what's happening and protect themselves," Schiff said.
According to Schiff, central bankers have historically used gold as a measure of monetary policy. He questioned what current high gold prices indicate about the Federal Reserve's policies, suggesting that the Fed's loose policy poses risks to savers.
"The Chinese economy is actually strengthening quite a bit as they're trading less with America and more with the rest of the world. This decoupling is happening alongside the de-dollarization."
Schiff warned that holding cash or investing in tech and cryptocurrency could be risky, as inflation erodes purchasing power. He noted that the U.S. is losing its global economic advantages, with a shift toward alternative trading relationships and de-dollarization.

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Hey crypto and commodity traders! If you’re eyeing the gold market, this article is for you. Today, we’re diving into the U.S.-China trade tensions that are sending gold prices on a wild ride. In 2025, gold has smashed past $4,000, and the reason? You guessed it – the Washington-Beijing showdown! Let’s break down how this tug-of-war impacts gold and what you need to know as a trader.
Trade Tensions: Why Gold Becomes the “Safe Haven”
The U.S. and China, the world’s two largest economies, have been locked in a trade war since 2018, and it’s only intensified. With President Trump’s 100% tariff policy in 2025, things have gone next-level. Tariffs disrupt global trade, break supply chains, and spook investors.
Enter gold – the ultimate safe-haven asset. When uncertainty spikes, investors flock to gold. For instance, when the U.S. slapped 10-25% tariffs on $360 billion of Chinese goods, China hit back with tariffs on $185 billion of U.S. exports. Result? Economic jitters that fuel gold demand. Data shows gold prices surged 50% in 2025, crossing the $4,000 milestone right after Trump’s latest tariff announcements.
China’s Role: Central Bank Buying and Domestic Demand
China isn’t just stirring the pot – it’s a major gold buyer. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has been stacking gold for 11 straight months in 2025, with reserves hitting 2,264 tons (likely more, as official numbers are conservative). Meanwhile, Chinese households are pouring money into ETFs and futures markets, driven by economic uncertainty.
Wall Street analyst Thorsten Slok says China’s buying spree is “pushing gold prices through the roof.” China’s policies, like real estate rate cuts and stock market recovery efforts, are driving people toward gold funds, setting the stage for more gains in 2025.
U.S. Policies: Fed Rate Cuts and a Weaker Dollar
On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts are gold’s best friend. When rates drop (like the 1% cut in 2025), gold prices typically jump 10-20% since it’s a non-yielding asset that shines in low-rate environments. Trade tensions also weaken the dollar, which boosts gold (priced in USD).
When Trump announced new sanctions on China, gold hit $4,300. Analysts predict that if tensions persist, $5,000 by 2026 is within reach.
When Tensions Ease: Why Prices Dip
So, what pulls gold prices down? When trade talks happen and tensions cool, investors switch to “risk-on” mode, chasing stocks and other assets, reducing gold demand. For example, in May 2025, when the U.S. and China agreed to lower tariffs, gold dropped 3% (from $3,700 to $3,225). Similarly, when Trump hinted at a deal recently, gold fell 2%.
These dips are often short-lived, as central banks (like PBOC) ramp up buying at lower prices, triggering a quick recovery.
Current Outlook and Future Predictions
As of October 27, 2025, gold is hovering around $4,100-$4,200 per ounce, up 9.66% from last month. A Trump-Xi meeting next week could shake things up. If it fails, $4,500 is an easy target. HSBC predicts an average of $3,355 for 2025 but warns that tensions could push it to $5,000.
Tips for Traders
When Prices Soar: Go long on gold during escalating trade tensions, especially if the Fed cuts rates.
When Prices Dip: Book profits during trade talk optimism but watch central bank buying – it’s your cue to buy the dip.
Use Binance for gold futures or ETFs, but always manage your risk!
Do you think U.S.-China tensions will push gold to $5,000 in 2026? Drop your thoughts in the comments! Like and share if you found this helpful.
#GoldPrice #USChinaTradeWar #GoldMarket #SafeHaven #BinanceSquare

Gold, the age-old store of value, is once again capturing global attention as its prices continue to soar, reaching new record highs in both international and local markets. This surge has made gold a central topic for investors, economists, and general consumers alike.
Current Gold Rate Snapshot
The price of gold is currently reflecting significant volatility driven by global economic pressures. As of recent data, key prices are hovering around:
| Metric | Approximate Value |
|---|---|
| International Spot Gold (Per Ounce) | $3,886 (USD)
This unprecedented cost is fueled by a complex interplay of international financial dynamics and domestic economic challenges.
Key Reasons Behind the Price Surge
The robust rise in gold's value is not accidental; it is a direct consequence of several interconnected global and local factors:
1. Global Economic Uncertainty and Safe-Haven Demand
Gold is traditionally viewed as a "safe-haven" asset. When there is turmoil in financial markets, heightened geopolitical tensions, or fear of a global recession, investors withdraw funds from riskier assets like stocks and put them into gold. Current global conflicts and the unpredictable nature of the world economy have significantly increased this demand for security.
2. Inflation and Devaluation of Fiat Currencies
High global inflation is a primary driver. Gold acts as an effective hedge against inflation because its intrinsic value is not tied to any single government's fiscal policy or the value of paper money. As the purchasing power of currencies like the US Dollar and local currencies like the Pakistani Rupee erodes due to rising prices, gold becomes a more attractive asset to preserve wealth.
3. US Dollar Weakness and Interest Rate Speculation
* Dollar's Strength: There is a strong inverse relationship between the US Dollar and gold. A weaker dollar makes gold, which is priced in dollars, cheaper for buyers using other currencies, thereby increasing demand and price.
* Federal Reserve Policy: Speculation that the US Federal Reserve might cut interest rates in the near future also boosts gold. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, making it more appealing compared to interest-bearing instruments like bonds.
4. Domestic Currency Devaluation (Specific to Pakistan)
For countries like Pakistan, the devaluation of the local currency (PKR) against the US Dollar is a major local factor. Since gold is purchased internationally in dollars, a weaker Rupee translates directly into a higher domestic price, even if the international price remains stable. This is the main reason for gold hitting record highs locally.
5. Increased Central Bank Buying
In recent years, many central banks around the world have increased their gold reserves to diversify away from the US Dollar and protect against global instability. This institutional buying spree significantly tightens the supply in the market, pushing prices higher.
Impact of Rising Gold Prices
The continued rise has tangible effects on the market and the public:
* Investment vs. Consumption: For large-scale investors, the trend is a positive signal for wealth accumulation. However, for the general public, especially the middle class, purchasing gold for consumption (e.g., jewelry for weddings) is becoming increasingly unaffordable, leading many to shift towards silver or imitation jewelry.
* Economic Pressure: High domestic gold prices create pressure on the balance of payments due to the cost of importing gold, placing a further strain on a country's foreign exchange reserves.
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#goldprice #Investment #GoldHitsRecordHigh
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22 жовтня 2025 року ціна золота пережила різке падіння на 6,8% — з історичного максимуму $4378 за унцію до $4078. Це найбільше денне зниження з червня 2013 року, спричинене фіксацією прибутку інвесторів після потужного ралі. За даними Forbes, ф'ючерси на золото обвалилися на 5,2% до $4130, а срібло — на 5,6% до $51,20. Аналітики Bank of America прогнозують $5000 за унцію до 2026 року, але HSBC скорегував середню ціну на 2025 рік до $3455.

Причини падіння: зміцнення долара США на тлі коментарів Трампа про Китай та очікування від ФРС щодо ставок. TD Securities зазначає, що ралі було "нестримуваним", а дилери фіксують прибутки. Центральні банки продовжують купувати: понад 900 тонн у 2025 році, за J.P. Morgan. Фізичний попит в Азії лишається сильним — премії в Індії на десятиліття максимум перед фестивалями.

Попри корекцію, золото зросло на 49,3% за рік, за Trading Economics. Експерти InvestingHaven прогнозують $3800 у 2025-му та $5155 до 2030-го. Ця волатильність — нагадування про ризики: чи стане падіння початком рецесії, чи просто паузою в булл-маркеті? Інвестори чекають даних по інфляції.
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بین الاقوامی مارکیٹ میں سونے کی قیمت فی اونس $4,217 کی بلند سطح پر پہنچ گئی، اور پاکستان میں 24 قیراط سونے کی قیمت ایک تولہ ₨442,800 تک جا پہنچی۔
یہ عالمی اور مقامی منڈیوں میں سونے کی مانگ اور مالی تحفظ کی تلاش کا مظہر ہے۔
آئیں جانیں کہ اس کا آپ کی سرمایہ کاری پر کیا اثر ہو سکتا ہے؟
بین الاقوامی اور مقامی منڈیوں میں سونا قیمتوں نے نئی بلندیوں کو چھو لیا ہے۔
بین الاقوامی بلین مارکیٹ میں جمعرات کے روز قیمتِ سونا 19 ڈالر کے اضافے کے ساتھ فی اونس $4,217 تک پہنچ گئی، جو کہ ایک ریکارڈ ہے۔

عالمی اضافے کے پیش نظر، پاکستان میں بھی سونے کی قیمت نے بے مثال اضافہ دیکھا۔
ایک تولہ سونا 24 قیراط کی قیمت میں 1,900 روپے کا اضافہ ہوا اور یہ 442,800 روپے تک پہنچ گئی۔
بدھ کو بین الاقوامی منڈی میں سونے کی قیمت 58 ڈالر کے اضافے کے ساتھ فی اونس $4,198 تک پہنچی تھی، اور پاکستان میں اس کا اثر واضح ہوا — 24 قیراط سونے کی قیمت ایک تولہ میں 5,800 روپے بڑھ کر 440,900 روپے ہو گئی تھی۔