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Price recently faced a sharp rejection from the 3,440–3,460 resistance, where the downward trendline and horizontal supply converged, triggering a corrective move lower. Price has now pulled back toward the 2,850 support area, aligning with the channel border and a prior higher low, suggesting this decline could be a controlled retracement. Structure still leans constructive as long as buyers protect this base.

$ETH
If demand holds around 2,850, ETH could stabilize and attempt a renewed push toward 3,160 first, with an extended recovery toward the next resistance zone if momentum rebuilds. The broader setup favors upside continuation unless support decisively gives way.

Primary scenario: hold above 2,850 → rebound toward 3,160.
Risk scenario: a clean break below 2,850 may open a deeper slide toward the 2,620 support area.

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SINGAPORE, Dec 26 - Asian stocks rose to their highest in six weeks on Friday and a blistering rally in precious metals showed no signs of tempering as investors sought to close out the year on a high while a softer yen kept intervention risk in the fray.
Markets in Australia, Hong Kong and most of Europe are closed on Friday, with liquidity expected to be thin. Still, investors are attempting a year-end rally, with risk appetite perking up this week.
Japan's Topix (.TOPX), opens new tab climbed to a record high and was last up 0.5%. South Korea's benchmark index (.KS11), opens new tab rose 0.6%, taking its annual gain to 72% and making it the best-performing major stock market in the world this year.
China's blue-chip stock index (.CSI300), opens new tab was 0.27% higher, on pace to clock an 18% gain for the year, its strongest annual surge since 2020.
That pushed MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares (.MIAP00000PUS), opens new tab to its highest level since November 14. The index was last up 0.4% and has gained 25% so far this year.
Beyond stocks, precious metals are in the spotlight with spot silver surging over 4% to a record high on Friday, while gold also hit a record peak, last fetching $4,503.39 per ounce.
Soojin Kim, commodities analyst at MUFG, said the rally has been supported by heavy central bank purchases, strong inflows into gold-backed ETFs, and investor concerns over currency debasement and rising global debt.
Gold has soared over 71% this year, on pace for its strongest annual gain since 1979, while silver is up 158% for the year.
"With major banks forecasting further gains into 2026, the strength of physical demand and persistent geopolitical and monetary uncertainties suggest the precious metals rally could continue," Kim said in a note.
Heading into the new year, investors are focused on when the U.S. Federal Reserve might further cut interest rates and by how much, with traders pricing in at least two cuts in 2026, although they do not expect the Fed to move before June.
The central bank itself has projected one more cut next year but a divided Fed has left investors on edge about the U.S. policy outlook.#CPIWatch #USGDPUpdate #WhaleWatch #USNonFarmPayrollReport

Technical Analysis (1H Chart) $WIF
1. Price Action & Moving Averages (MA)
The price is currently trading at 0.321, showing a slight recovery after a sharp drop to the local support of 0.300.
* MA(7) (Yellow - 0.313): The price has just crossed above the short-term 7-period moving average, indicating immediate bullish momentum.
* MA(25) (Pink - 0.319): The price is currently testing this level as support. Staying above it is crucial for a continued move.
* MA(99) (Purple - 0.325): This is the primary resistance. The price has been trending below this long-term average for the duration of the chart, marking a macro downtrend on this timeframe.
2. Volume Analysis
* The recent green candle shows a significant increase in volume compared to the previous consolidation period. This suggests buying interest at the 0.300 level.
* However, the volume is not yet high enough to suggest a full trend reversal; it looks more like a relief bounce or "dead cat bounce" unless it breaks the 0.325 resistance.
3. Support and Resistance Levels
* Immediate Resistance: 0.325 - 0.328 (MA 99 and previous peak).
* Major Resistance: 0.341 (The high from Dec 23).
* Immediate Support: 0.313 (MA 7).
* Critical Support: 0.300 (Psychological level and recent bottom).
Prediction & Next Move
Scenario A: Bullish (Probability: 40%)
If the current candle closes above 0.322 and maintains volume, the coin will likely test the 0.325 - 0.330 zone. A successful breakout above the MA(99) would signal a shift in trend toward the 0.340 level.
Scenario B: Consolidation/Bearish (Probability: 60%)
The overall trend remains bearish as the price is still suppressed by the 99-period moving average. Most likely, the price will face rejection near 0.325 and enter a consolidation phase between 0.310 and 0.325 before deciding on its next major direction. If it fails to hold 0.313, a retest of the 0.300 floor is highly probable.
> Summary: The coin is in a "relief rally." Watch the 0.325 level closely; if it cannot break and hold above this, the downward trend will likely resume.
#WIF
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