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Wall Street is increasingly turning its attention to stablecoins — digital currencies pegged to traditional fiat currencies like the US dollar. Expectations are sky-high: according to a new report from Citizens JMP Securities, the total value of stablecoins could surge more than tenfold by 2030 — from today’s $225 billion to $3 to $4 trillion!

🔹 Up to $100 Billion in Annual Revenue for Issuers
Devin Ryan, Head of Fintech Research at Citizens JMP, estimates that stablecoin issuers could generate up to $100 billion per year in revenue if this growth materializes — even if interest rates return to normalized levels.
"Even with interest rates below our $3 trillion estimate, we see potential for nearly $100 billion in annual earnings — through fees for some, or as a way to offset declining transaction revenues," Ryan noted.

🔹 Changing Policies, New Rules, and Big Players Joining the Game
As the White House begins rolling back crypto-related policies from the Biden era, a regulatory breakthrough may be coming. The US Congress could pass the GENIUS Act — a bill focused on stablecoin legislation — as early as August 2025.
Meanwhile, regulation is advancing globally. The MiCA law is already active in the EU, and countries like Singapore are developing their own frameworks. These efforts aim to promote global adoption of stablecoins beyond just crypto trading.

🔹 Citi: Stablecoins Are More Than Just Crypto Bridges
Alex Saunders of Citigroup supports this bullish outlook, suggesting stablecoins could reach $1.6 to $3.7 trillion in value by 2030 — and not just because of their role in crypto trading.
“There are arguments for stablecoins as an alternative store of value or protection against inflation and political instability,” he wrote. This is particularly relevant in countries with volatile currencies or economic turbulence.

🔹 From Remittances to Boosting U.S. Debt Demand
Ryan also highlights that stablecoins now serve real-world financial purposes — from remittances to business payments and e-commerce. They play a growing role in tokenized financial markets, offering a practical way to preserve value in inflation-hit economies.
Interestingly, stablecoins could also boost demand for U.S. debt. Since many stablecoins are backed by U.S. Treasury bills, increased demand for these tokens naturally raises demand for government debt.
“This could provide structural support worth trillions for U.S. debt financing,” Ryan said. Saunders echoed this, arguing that the U.S. dollar’s global dominance is reflected in stablecoin issuance, not diminished by it.

📈 Crypto and Stocks on the Rise
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is holding strong above $105,000, signaling renewed market strength. Equities are also climbing — the Dow Jones jumped over 200 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, and the Nasdaq gained 0.8%.
Tech stocks led the rally: Nvidia’s shares rose nearly 3%, briefly making it the most valuable publicly traded company in the world, overtaking even Microsoft.

💡 What do you think? Will stablecoins become the new backbone of global finance?

#WallStreetNews , #Stablecoins , #crypto , #DigitalEconomy , #cryptocurrencies

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

U.S. stock markets opened the new week on a positive note. All three major indexes closed in the green on Monday, even as President Donald Trump—now back in the White House—announced a doubling of tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, heightening global trade tensions.
🔹 The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, ending at 5,935.94

🔹 The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.7%, closing at 19,242.61

🔹 The Dow Jones edged up 0.08% to 42,305.48 and entered a bull market, marking a 20% rise from its recent low

Optimism Holds—for Now
Despite the heightened tariffs, investor sentiment remained upbeat on Monday, with hopes that trade negotiations wouldn’t fully collapse. However, Tuesday’s futures suggest that optimism is fading:
🔻 S&P 500 futures fell 0.39%

🔻 Nasdaq 100 futures slipped 0.37%

🔻 Dow Jones futures dropped 159 points

JPMorgan: Current Rally May Be Losing Steam
According to Mislav Matejka, chief strategist at JPMorgan, the recent market rally since April has been driven more by technical factors, such as short-covering and systematic re-risking, rather than strong economic fundamentals. He warned these forces “are no longer at play.”
He noted that investor positioning is no longer cautious, and current stock valuations are stretched. Future gains, if any, will likely depend on real economic performance.
He also warned about the risk of stagflation, where inflation remains high while the economy slows—especially if businesses pass on higher costs resulting from tariffs. Though previous full 20–25% tariffs never took full effect, current average tariffs still hover around 12%, a sharp increase from pre-Trump levels.

Northwestern Mutual Flags Consumer and Jobs Risk
Matt Stucky of Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management said that while markets aren’t showing signs of collapse, a modest correction is possible. “The downside risk is likely a ‘normal’ pullback—unless unemployment starts to rise,” he explained.
He added that consumer spending, which has so far supported markets, could come under pressure. “We’ll see how consumers really react to higher prices later this month and into the summer,” he said.
Meanwhile, U.S. manufacturing is already feeling the squeeze. The Institute for Supply Management reported that factory activity declined for the third straight month in May, and suppliers are taking longer to deliver goods—a clear sign that tariffs are straining supply chains.

Fed Stays on the Sidelines
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan acknowledged that inflation remains “somewhat above target,” and said the situation is too uncertain to draw firm conclusions. Despite this, markets are currently pricing in two rate cuts by the end of the year, each by 25 basis points.

Tech Stocks Drive Monday’s Gains
Technology stocks helped boost markets:
🔹 Nvidia rose 1.7%

🔹 Meta (Facebook) climbed 3.6%
However, Tesla fell 1.1% following reports of declining monthly sales in Portugal, Denmark, and Sweden, putting pressure on its stock despite broader strength in tech.

What’s Next?
All eyes now turn to Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report, which could provide fresh insight into the stability of the U.S. labor market. The results may reshape expectations for rate policy, trading decisions, and market direction heading into summer.

#WallStreetNews , #TRUMP , #Tariffs , #SP500 , #stockmarket

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Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

Cổ phiếu Tesla vừa bật tăng 7,7% sau giờ giao dịch, nhưng nhà đầu tư kỳ cựu như Gary Black lại rời tàu. Vì sao? Ông cho rằng định giá đã tách rời thực tế: lợi nhuận giảm, doanh số sụt, mà P/E lại vọt lên 188x. Dù Elon tuyên bố “quay lại làm việc,” niềm tin không còn như xưa. Các cổ đông bắt đầu đòi hỏi: Elon phải làm đủ 40 giờ/tuần tại Tesla, lập kế hoạch kế nhiệm rõ ràng, và chấm dứt các dự án ngoài lề. Một bức thư gửi thẳng cho Chủ tịch hội đồng quản trị tố cáo Tesla đang rơi vào khủng hoảng. Lợi nhuận giảm 71%, doanh số mất 13%, còn hình ảnh công ty thì “rạn nứt toàn cầu.” Khi niềm tin lung lay, giá tăng cũng không giữ chân nổi nhà đầu tư. Và đó mới là điều đáng sợ.
#WallStreetNews

$BTC

Bitcoin is surging, and Wall Street is making big moves behind the scenes. Institutional capital is pouring in, ETF inflows are breaking records, and on-chain signals scream opportunity. But is this the start of a historic bull run, or a trap for the unwary? Let’s dive into a rigorous, multi-layered analysis of Bitcoin’s market dynamics to uncover why the smart money is betting big—and what it means for YOU. Buckle up, this is a deep dive! 🧠💸
1. Technical Analysis: Decoding Bitcoin’s Price Action30-Day Timeframe: Consolidation with Bullish Bias
👨‍💻Price Action: Bitcoin is trading near $111,000 as of May 26, 2025, after hitting an all-time high of $111,900 this week. It’s consolidating within a $97,000–$111,000 range, forming a potential ascending triangle pattern, a bullish setup. Key support lies at $100,000 (recent breakout level), with resistance at $111,900 (ATH). A break above $111,900 targets $123,000 (200% Fibonacci extension of the 2021–2022 drop) and $156,000 (261.8% extension). A drop below $100,000 could test $92,000, with critical support at $70,000 (previous ATH).
🤖Indicators:
👀RSI: The daily RSI is at 68, approaching overbought territory (>70). However, a negative divergence is forming, as RSI is not confirming new price highs, signaling potential short-term weakness.
🤖MACD:
A bullish crossover occurred last week, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, indicating strengthening momentum. The histogram is expanding, supporting bullish continuation.
🤖Bollinger Bands:
Price is hugging the upper band, reflecting high volatility. Bands are widening, suggesting a big move is imminent. Historically, low RSI Bollinger % levels (seen in March 2025) marked local bottoms, and current levels suggest exhaustion of downside pressure.
🤖Volume Trends:
Positive volume balance shows high volume on up days and low volume on down days, reinforcing bullish sentiment. Daily transaction volume is at 116M BTC, well above the 30-day average of 54M BTC, indicating strong network activity.
🤖Chart Description:
Imagine a daily candlestick chart showing Bitcoin’s price coiling within a tightening range ($97K–$111K). The 50-day SMA ($95K) acts as dynamic support, while the 200-day SMA ($85K) is far below, confirming the long-term uptrend. Volume spikes align with breakouts above $100K.
6-Month Timeframe: Structural Bull Market
👀Price Action:
Bitcoin has rallied 600% from its 2022 low of $16,000, breaking past $100K in December 2024. The long-term chart shows a parabolic uptrend, with higher highs and higher lows since Q4 2023. Key support is at $70K (2021 ATH), with no significant resistance until $123K–$156K. Compared to 2017 and 2021 cycles, the current rally is less euphoric, with shallower corrections (20–30% vs. 50%+ in prior cycles).
🤖Indicators:
🤖RSI: Monthly RSI is at 75, high but not at the >80 levels seen at 2017/2021 tops. This suggests room for further upside before a cycle peak.
🤖MACD: The monthly MACD is firmly bullish, with no signs of bearish divergence, unlike late 2021.
🤖Bollinger Bands: Price is riding the upper band on the monthly chart, with bands expanding, typical of strong bull runs.Volume: On-chain volume between $30K–$40K and $70K–$100K acts as a strong support zone due to heavy historical transacted supply.
👨‍💻On-Chain Metrics:
👀Exchange Inflows/Outflows:
Glassnode data shows sustained exchange outflows, with whale wallets accumulating tens of thousands of BTC. Net outflows signal reduced selling pressure and a supply squeeze.
🧐MVRV Ratio: The MVRV Z-score is at 3 (December 2024), up from <1 in early 2023 (bear market bottom). Historical cycle tops occurred above 7, suggesting Bitcoin is not yet at a peak.
🧐SOPR: The Spent Output Profit Ratio is below February 2025 levels, indicating long-term holders are not aggressively selling, unlike prior tops.
🧐Miner Activity: Hash rate is at all-time highs, reflecting miner confidence and network security. Miner profitability is stable post-halving, supporting price stability.
🧐Market Cycle Comparison: The 2025 rally mirrors 2017’s post-halving surge but with stronger institutional backing (e.g., ETF inflows). Unlike 2021’s retail-driven mania, current price action is driven by structural demand, reducing the risk of a sharp crash.
2. Fundamental Analysis: The Macro and Network Picture
🤔Macro Drivers
👨‍💻Interest Rates: Bitcoin has a -0.65 correlation with interest rates. Global central banks are pausing rate cuts, with a slight uptick in net rate changes in late 2024. If rate hikes accelerate, this could cap Bitcoin’s upside in H2 2025.
👨‍💻Inflation: Bitcoin’s 0.38 correlation with inflation supports its narrative as an inflation hedge. Rising inflation expectations (post-Trump tariffs) are driving institutional interest.
👨‍💻Geopolitical Events: Trade war concerns and Trump’s tariff policies have introduced volatility, with ETF outflows peaking at $1B on Feb 25, 2025. However, pro-crypto cabinet members (e.g., RFK Jr. with $1M–$5M BTC holdings) signal potential regulatory easing.
👨‍💻ETF Approvals: Spot Bitcoin ETFs, approved in January 2024, have amassed $36B in net inflows, with BlackRock’s IBIT holding 568,000 BTC. This institutional FOMO is a key driver, outpacing gold ETF returns by 65%.
👀Regulatory Crackdowns: China’s ongoing crypto bans and global KYC/AML scrutiny remain risks, but U.S. signals of a “National Strategic Reserve” (up to 1M BTC) could counterbalance negative regulatory impacts.
👨‍💻Network Health
👀Hash Rate: All-time highs reflect robust network security and miner commitment, supporting long-term price stability.
🧐Adoption Metrics: Active wallet addresses are growing, correlating with price appreciation. Institutional inflows (e.g., MicroStrategy’s 439,000 BTC) and corporate adoption (e.g., Ferrari, El Salvador) signal mainstream traction.
👨‍💻Taproot Adoption: Taproot upgrades are improving transaction efficiency and privacy, enhancing Bitcoin’s utility. Adoption is steady but not yet a dominant price driver.
🤓Competitive Landscape
😎Bitcoin vs. Altcoins: Bitcoin’s dominance has risen from 38% (2022) to 60% (2025), reflecting capital rotation into BTC over altcoins like Ethereum and Solana.
🧐Stablecoins: The stablecoin supply ratio (SSR) shows $20B of stables on exchanges, indicating sidelined capital ready to flow into BTC.
😎Gold/S&P 500: Bitcoin’s 0.51 correlation with the S&P 500 shows it moves with risk assets, but its 600% rally since 2022 far outpaces gold (flat) and the S&P 500 (20% annualized). Bitcoin is increasingly seen as “digital gold” by investors like Ray Dalio.
3. Sentiment Analysis: The Pulse of the Market
🤔Social Metrics
👀Crypto Twitter/Reddit/Telegram: NLP analysis from Santiment shows bullish sentiment dominating, with hashtags like #BitcoinETF and #BTCto150K trending. Google Trends data indicates rising public interest, correlating with price spikes.
👀Key Narratives: Discussions focus on institutional adoption (70% positive), ETF inflows (65% positive), and technological advancements (60% positive). Negative sentiment around regulatory risks (20%) is overshadowed by optimism.
👀Contrarian Flag: High social media euphoria (e.g., Reddit’s r/CryptoCurrency) often precedes corrections. Current sentiment is greedy but not at 2021 peak levels.
Fear & Greed Index
🧐The index is at 36 (“Extreme Fear”) as of January 2025, misaligned with bullish price action. Historically, fear at this level signals buying opportunities, as seen in March 2017 and November 2020.
Futures Market
🤔Open Interest: Rebounding after a dip in February 2025, signaling renewed speculative interest. OI is at $35B, below the $50B peak in March 2022, suggesting room for leverage-driven upside.
🤔Funding Rates: Positive but not overheated, indicating balanced long/short positions. No extreme leverage like 2021, reducing liquidation risk.
🤔Liquidation Clusters: Major liquidation zones are at $90K (support) and $120K (resistance), per CoinMetrics. A break above $120K could trigger a short squeeze.
4. Trending Topics: What’s Driving the Narrative?
🧐Halving Anticipation (Validity: High, Longevity: 6–12 months, Impact: 8/10)
The 2024 halving reduced block rewards, tightening supply. Historical halvings (2016, 2020) preceded 300–600% rallies. Speculation is fueling institutional FOMO.
🧐Spot ETF Speculation (Validity: High, Longevity: 3–6 months, Impact: 9/10)
ETF inflows ($36B since January 2024) are a structural driver. BlackRock and Fidelity’s dominance signals Wall Street’s bet. 🧐Energy FUD (Validity: Moderate, Longevity: 1–3 months, Impact: 4/10)
Criticism of Bitcoin’s energy use persists, but adoption by green-energy miners and El Salvador’s geothermal mining dilute the narrative’s impact.
🧐National Strategic Reserve (Validity: Speculative, Longevity: 6–12 months, Impact: 7/10)
Trump’s hints at a U.S. Bitcoin reserve could spark global adoption, but risks to USD dominance make it uncertain.
🧐Institutional FOMO (Validity: High, Longevity: 3–9 months, Impact: 8/10)
Hedge funds (Millennium, Capula) and corporates (MicroStrategy, Tesla) are accumulating, driving supply scarcity.
Contrarian Risk: Overhyped narratives (e.g., reserve speculation) could fizzle if regulatory or macroeconomic headwinds intensify. Monitor central bank rate decisions and geopolitical escalations.
5. Synthesis & Actionable Insights
👨‍💻Weighted Scorecard
👀Short-Term (1–4 Weeks): 7/10 (Bullish with Caution)
Pros: Strong ETF inflows, bullish MACD, positive volume balance, and institutional accumulation.Cons: RSI divergence, tariff-driven macro uncertainty, and potential overbought conditions.
👀Mid-Term (3–6 Months): 8.5/10 (Strongly Bullish)
Pros: MVRV below cycle peaks, robust hash rate, and ETF-driven demand. Historical cycles suggest 9–12 months of upside post-ATH breakout.Cons: Rising interest rates and geopolitical risks could cap gains.
👀High-Probability Scenarios
🧐Bullish Breakout (70% Probability):
Trigger: Break above $111,900 with sustained volume >100M BTC/day.Target: $123,000 (short-term), $156,000 (mid-term).Entry: Buy on pullback to $100K–$103K (support zone).Exit: Take profits at $123K or if RSI exceeds 80 on weekly charts.Risk: Stop-loss below $92K (10% risk).
👀Consolidation (20% Probability):
Trigger: Failure to break $111,900, with price oscillating between $97K–$111K.Target: Range-bound trading, accumulate at $97K–$100K.Entry: Buy dips near $97K, sell resistance at $111K.Risk: Stop-loss below $92K.
👀Bearish Correction (10% Probability):
Trigger: Break below $92K with rising exchange inflows and negative funding rates.Target: $70K (major support).Entry: Short on confirmed breakdown below $92K.Exit: Cover at $70K or if RSI drops below 30 (oversold).Risk: Stop-loss above $100K.

Underappreciated Risks
🧐Regulatory Reversal: A crackdown on ETFs or mining could trigger a 20–30% correction.
🧐Macro Headwinds: Accelerated rate hikes or a USD rally could dampen risk appetite.
🧐Euphoria Trap: Social media greed and over-leveraged futures positions may signal a local top.
Why Wall Street Is Buying?
Wall Street’s billion-dollar bet on Bitcoin is no secret—it’s driven by ETF inflows, supply scarcity, and a favorable macro backdrop. Technicals confirm a bullish setup, with $100K as a fortress of support and $123K–$156K as realistic targets. Fundamentals scream adoption, from corporate treasuries to nation-states. Sentiment is greedy but not euphoric, and on-chain metrics suggest we’re far from a cycle top.
Action: Accumulate on dips to $100K–$103K, with a stop-loss below $92K. Watch for a $111,900 breakout to confirm the next leg up. Stay vigilant for macro surprises, but the data says Bitcoin’s bull run has legs. 💪
Sources: Glassnode, CoinMetrics, Santiment, Forex.com, Investtech, CryptoQuant, Bitcoin Magazine.Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk responsibly. Let’s discuss your thoughts in the comments—where do you see Bitcoin headed? 🚀 #CryptoAnalysis

🔹 Trump urges the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates quickly, warning that U.S. tariffs are already impacting the economy.

🔹 The Fed kept interest rates unchanged but raised its inflation forecast to 2.8% while lowering economic growth projections.

🔹 Stock markets rebounded after the Fed confirmed plans for two rate cuts in 2025.

Trump: "The Fed Must Cut Rates ASAP"
President Donald Trump has once again called on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, citing the negative effects of U.S. tariffs on the economy.
💬 "The Fed would be MUCH better off LOWERING RATES, as U.S. tariffs will (easily!) start flowing into the economy," Trump wrote on Truth Social. He added that April 2 marks "America's Liberation Day," hinting at potential changes in tariff policies.

Fed Holds Rates Steady but Warns of Economic Risks
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept interest rates at 4.25%-4.5% during its Wednesday meeting but also adjusted its economic outlook:
📉 Expected GDP growth for 2025 was lowered to 1.7% from a previous estimate of 2.1%.

📈 The inflation forecast increased to 2.8% from the earlier 2.5% projection.
This shift signals a growing risk of stagflation—a combination of slow economic growth and rising prices.

Fed Monitors Economic Risks, Markets React Positively
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that inflation has started rising again, partially due to tariff policies.
💬 "We see a delay in inflation progress. Businesses and households are showing increasing uncertainty and concerns over potential economic slowdown."
Despite inflation concerns, the Fed still plans to cut rates twice by the end of 2025. The latest dot plot suggests rates could be at 3.9%, meaning a target range of 3.75%-4%.
📊 Market reaction was positive:

✔️ Dow Jones rose by 71 points.

✔️ S&P 500 gained 0.3%.

✔️ Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.4%.

💡 Stock indexes are attempting to recover from February losses. S&P 500 is currently 7% below its all-time high, but it may break its four-week losing streak.

What Are Investors Watching Next?
📌 Upcoming economic data will be crucial for the Fed's next moves.

📌 Unemployment claims and real estate sales reports are set to be released.

📌 Trump’s tariff policies could play a significant role in shaping the economic landscape.

💬 Do you think the Fed will cut rates sooner than expected? How will U.S. tariffs impact the markets? Share your thoughts! 💭📊

#DonaldTrump , #CryptoNewsCommunity , #FederalReserve , #WallStreetNews , #economy

Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!
Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“

#WallStreetNews
ارتفعت أسهم وول ستريت، يوم الأربعاء، بفضل تجدد الآمال بأن الرئيس الأميركي دونالد ترامب قد يخفض الرسوم الجمركية على الواردات الصينية، وقوله إنه لا ينوي إقالة رئيس الاحتياطي الفيدرالي جيروم بأول، وقلصت مؤشرات الأسهم الأميركية الرئيسية الثلاثة مكاسبها مع إغلاق الجلسة.

وارتفع مؤشر ستاندرد آند بورز500 بمقدار 85.82 نقطة، أي بنسبة 1.62 في المئة، ليغلق عند 5,373.58 نقطة.

وصعد مؤشر ناسداك المركب بمقدار 398.42 نقطة، أي بنسبة 2.50 في المئة، ليصل إلى 16,698.84 نقطة.

وارتفع مؤشر داو جونز الصناعي بمقدار 413.04 نقطة، أي بنسبة 1.05 في المئة، ليصل إلى 39,600.02 نقطة.

واكتسبت الأسهم زخماً خلال الجلسة بعد أن صرّح وزير الخزانة سكوت بيسنت بأن الرسوم الجمركية المرتفعة بين الولايات المتحدة والصين غير مستدامة، وتلميح ترامب إلى انفتاحه على تخفيف التوترات التجارية بين أكبر اقتصادين في العالم.

وبلغ موسم أرباح الربع الأول ذروته، حيث أعلنت 110 من الشركات المدرجة في مؤشر ستاندرد آند بورز 500 عن نتائجها المالية، ومن بين هذه الشركات، تجاوزت نتائج 75 في المئة منها تقديرات وول ستريت.

يتوقع المحللون الآن نمواً إجمالياً في أرباح مؤشر ستاندرد آند بورز 500 بنسبة 8.4 في المئة للفترة من يناير إلى مارس، ارتفاعاً من 8.0 في المئة في 1 أبريل.

وقفزت أسهم شركة تسلا بعد أن صرّح الرئيس التنفيذي إيلون ماسك بأنه سيقلّص عمله مع إدارة ترامب بشكل كبير لتكريس المزيد من الوقت لإدارة شركاته، ومع ذلك، سجلت شركة صناعة السيارات الكهربائية انخفاضاً بنسبة 71 في المئة بصافي الربح الفصلي.

وأعلنت شركة بوينغ عن خسارة ربع سنوية أقل من المتوقع، حيث أنتجت شركة صناعة الطائرات وسلّمت المزيد من الطائرات، ما أدى إلى ارتفاع أسهمها.