FedRate

Breaking Up Fed Interest Rate Decision & US-China Trade Deal This Week
This is a week that may change the markets. The announcement of Fed Interest Rate Decision, tech profits, and the US-China negotiations will require investors to monitor major macro and crypto trends.
Key Events This Week

Source: The Kobeissi Letter
On Wednesday, October 30:
Federal Reserve announces Fed interest rate decisionFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell gives a press conference, with a paucity of new US inflation data. Earnings reports by major tech giants, including Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), and Meta, affect more than $15 trillion of market capitalization.
On Thursday, October 31:
Apple and Amazon publish Earning reportsUS President Trump meets with the President of China Xi only 48 hours before a 100% tariff is to become effective. 
Apart from this, 20% of the S&P 500 corporations are expected to announce earnings this week. Also, US GDP, core PCE, and rate decisions of the ECB/BOJ will affect the global liquidity and market sentiment.
Why This Week is Important
The week is very crucial to investors in both the traditional and cryptocurrency markets. There is the uncertainty of the government shutdown that is nearing the 30th day, and Fed decisions will affect the cost of borrowing and liquidity. 
The earnings of Tec and the US-China trade talks can cause volatility in the market. The impact of rate cuts on on-chain lending, stablecoin yields, and $ETH staking patterns is of particular interest to crypto investors, and they are determining how they will approach the next few months.
Last Week's Data and Overview
Last week, US inflation data indicated that September CPI was at 3% which was lower than the expected 3.1%. The Core CPI was also at 3, which indicated moderate inflation. Traders are now pricing two further 25-basis-point Fed rate cuts in 2010. The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index dropped to 53.6, which indicated wary consumer confidence.

Source: Wu Blockchain X
China increased its Q3 GDP by 4.8%, a little higher than the expectations of 4.7%. Fed showed interest in tokenized products and payment innovation, which means that it is becoming interested in the crypto ecosystem. This mix of data preconditions a shaky week both in the conventional markets and in decentralized finance $DEFI services.
The Fed Rate Cut Impact on Crypto Market Investors
Cuts in the Federal rate do not have the same impact on crypto as they do on the traditional markets. The headlines tend to imply that lower rates = crypto boom, but the truth is more subtle. Fed rate cut probability 2025 impacts: 
Short-term impacts: Reduced Fed rates reduce the appeal of traditional yields, which leads capital to move to DeFi applications such as Aave and Morpho. $USDC lending rates on Aave have already been more actively used, pushing the on-chain rates to the limit temporarily.Long-term impacts: Low-cost borrowing decreases the interest rates in the economy, which slowly decreases the on-chain lending rates. APYs are declining across markets as Pendle and other platforms that track forward DeFi yields are indicating a downward trend in the yield.
Other effects are adjustments to the supply of stablecoins and higher staking of ETH since reduced returns on traditional assets will push investors to staking and other yield-generating crypto-plans. The knowledge of such dynamics enables investors to predict the short-term yield spikes and long-term cost cuts and inform lending, borrowing, and staking behaviors in crypto markets.
Conclusion
This is a critical macro week, tech earnings, and geopolitical week, which is crucial in the market and crypto investment. The most important thing to avoid volatility and opportunities is to stay informed.

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#Fed #USChina #TradeDeal #FedRate #CryptoNews

Market analysts expect the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September to show an annual growth rate near 3%, maintaining roughly the same pace as August and remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% inflation target. The data is raising renewed concern inside the Fed about the direction of inflation changes, particularly as global and domestic cost pressures continue to shift unevenly.

Dean Baker, chief economist at the UK-based research group CEPR, noted that both the headline and core CPI readings are likely to stay firm, reflecting persistent service-sector costs and delayed effects from earlier tariff adjustments. While goods inflation has softened in several categories, services and shelter components remain sticky — keeping overall price growth elevated.

Economists suggest that the Federal Reserve faces a delicate balancing act: inflation is no longer accelerating, but it is also not cooling fast enough to confirm a stable disinflation trend. The central bank’s primary concern now is whether the inflation plateau signals structural stickiness rather than temporary resistance.

Bond traders appear divided ahead of the release. Some are betting on a soft print that could justify a rate cut later this year, while others believe persistent core inflation may push the Fed to delay easing until early 2026. The 10-year Treasury yield has held steady, suggesting investors are bracing for mixed signals rather than a clear policy pivot.

From my view, the market narrative is shifting from whether inflation has peaked to how stable the descent will be. The Fed doesn’t just want inflation to fall — it wants consistency in that fall, without sudden rebounds driven by tariffs, wages, or global energy costs.

If September’s CPI data confirms that price pressures are stuck near 3%, the conversation inside the Fed may move from patience to prevention — a recognition that disinflation, while underway, still requires vigilance.
#USInflation #FedRate

👉 SỰ THẬT: Không có bằng chứng nào xác nhận điều này.
📌 Diễn biến thực tế:
• Ngày 7/5/2025, Fed đã giữ nguyên lãi suất ở mức 4,25% – 4,5%
• Không có cuộc họp FOMC nào diễn ra trước ngày 18/6/2025
• Chủ tịch Powell liên tục nhấn mạnh việc duy trì chính sách cẩn trọng, đặc biệt trong bối cảnh rủi ro lạm phát do các yếu tố như thuế quan và chi phí đầu vào tăng
📉 Vậy nguồn tin ở đâu ra?
• Có thể xuất phát từ suy đoán lan truyền trên mạng xã hội, liên quan đến tâm lý thị trường mong manh và kỳ vọng phục hồi nhanh
• Tuy nhiên, không có tuyên bố chính thức từ Fed hay bất kỳ thành viên nào cho thấy việc cắt giảm sắp xảy ra trong tháng 5
📈 Thị trường kỳ vọng gì?
• Dữ liệu từ CME FedWatch Tool cho thấy kỳ vọng cắt giảm đầu tiên rơi vào cuộc họp tháng 6
• Giới đầu tư đang pricing-in khả năng này, chứ chưa phản ánh một đợt giảm lãi suất ngay lập tức
⚠️ Kết luận:
Tuyên bố Fed cắt lãi suất trong tháng 5 là tin đồn vô căn cứ. Trader nên tỉnh táo trước các thông tin chưa xác thực và theo sát diễn biến chính sách từ Fed thông qua các kênh chính thống như FOMC statement hoặc phát biểu của Powell.
👇 Bạn có nghĩ Fed sẽ bắt đầu giảm lãi vào tháng 6? Bình luận góc nhìn của bạn và follow để không bỏ lỡ các phân tích vĩ mô chuẩn xác nhất!
$BTC $ETH $TRUMP

#FedRate #fomc #Powell #DolugCrypto

A Historic Milestone for BNB
BNB has crossed the highly anticipated $1,000 mark, setting a new psychological benchmark in the crypto market. This milestone reflects both the increasing utility of the token and the broader bullish momentum that followed recent monetary policy shifts.
Fed Rate Cut Sparks Market Volatility
The U.S. Federal Reserve’s latest rate cut was initially seen as a tailwind for risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies. Lower interest rates tend to reduce the attractiveness of bonds and fiat savings, driving investors toward digital assets. However, the immediate reaction included a short-term pullback as traders locked in profits after weeks of strong upward momentum.
Why BNB Stands Out
BNB’s growth is being fueled by its expanding role across decentralized applications, smart contract platforms, and Web3 innovations. Breaking above $1,000 underscores its position as one of the leading digital assets that continues to attract institutional and retail interest. Its tokenomics, reduced circulating supply through regular burns, and growing ecosystem adoption remain strong catalysts.
Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term Growth
While the market is experiencing a short-lived correction, historical data shows that such pullbacks often act as healthy consolidations during bullish cycles. Analysts point to strong on-chain activity and rising demand in decentralized finance as indicators that BNB’s upward trajectory could continue beyond this milestone.
The Road Ahead
Crossing $1,000 is more than just a price movement—it symbolizes the increasing confidence in digital assets despite macroeconomic uncertainty. With the Fed’s policy shift potentially fueling a new liquidity cycle, BNB and the broader crypto market may be entering a phase of renewed growth.
#Fedrate #Binance $BNB $BTC