DXY

Dollar bounces off 20 EMA — strength ahead?

Push to 100.5 or 102 could pressure risk assets 👀

Drop below 98.9 means bears back in control.

#DXY #Forex

#DXY gave a breakout as mentioned and its bullish breakout.

Market is struggling at the moment and next week can be dangerous too.

Make tight stops in any open positions, the only hope is it can turn into a fakeout now.

🔥 DXY approaching major resistance! If it gets rejected and breaks down, risk-on assets like stocks, cryptos, or commodities could pump 📈. Traders might get bullish on those assets if DXY can't push through this resistance . You think DXY'll break through or get rejected?

#DXY #MarketWatch #Crypto #Stocks #RMJ_trades

$DXY is nearing a key resistance zone.

If it gets rejected here, we could see a strong rebound across risk-on assets.

#DXY #GregLens

📊 $DXY is approaching major resistance.

If it gets rejected and drops hard, we could see a strong rally across risk assets — stocks, crypto, and metals ready to take off. 🚀

Stay sharp. This move could set the tone for the next big leg up. 💥
#DXY $ZEC $ZEN

#DXY H1 Analysis Dollar approaching key rejection zone!

The U.S. Dollar Index has shown strong bullish momentum after multiple Breaks of Structure, but price is now entering a major rejection zone where sellers could step back in.

Rejection Area: 99.60 – 99.80
Target: 98.90 – 98.50
Invalidation: Above 100.00

This move comes as markets digest ongoing U.S.–China trade tensions, signs of credit stress, and a cautious Federal Reserve tone, all of which could limit further USD strength.

If rejection confirms in this area, expect a potential bearish reversal toward the 98.90 zone.

#dolar #forexsignals

The Fed’s “One-and-Done” Signal

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to trim the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.25%–4.50%, in line with the consensus forecast. What wasn’t priced in: Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference remark that “further rate reductions are not on a preset course” and that the committee now projects only two cuts in 2026, down from four in the September dot plot.

“The economy is strong; inflation is sticky above 2.5%. We’re in no rush.”
— Jerome Powell, FOMC Press Conference, Oct 30, 2025
Risk assets hate uncertainty. The CME FedWatch Tool flipped from pricing in a 72% chance of a December cut to just 41% within minutes. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) spiked 0.8%, and 10-year Treasury yields jumped 12 bps to 4.42%—the highest since July

Crypto, the ultimate liquidity sponge, bled first and hardest.

#FOMCMeeting #FOMC‬⁩ #DXY #CMEGap

#MarketUpdate | Fed Rate Cut Reactions

So, the Fed just cut interest rates again — this time down to a 3.75%-4.00% range after two back-to-back 25 bps moves in September and October. The goal? To give the slowing job market some breathing room while keeping inflation (still at 3%) in check.

Right after the news, the US Dollar Index (DXY) climbed close to the 100 mark, which put some pressure on stocks and gold. Meanwhile, bond traders are feeling a bit more optimistic since lower rates usually mean higher bond prices.

The Fed also confirmed it’ll wrap up its Quantitative Tightening (QT) program on December 1st — that’s expected to add more liquidity into the system.

For traders, all eyes are on DXY: a push above 100 could cool off risk assets, but if the Fed stays dovish, growth stocks, emerging markets, and even crypto could get a nice lift.

#FedRateCut #MarketUpdate #DXY #Gold

📰 FOMC Update – October 2025

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25%, lowering the benchmark range to 3.75%–4.00%.

The FOMC statement highlighted slower economic growth, rising labor risks, and noted that future cuts are not guaranteed. Quantitative tightening (QT) will end in December 2025.

Fed Chair Powell maintained a cautious tone, saying future policy moves will depend on data rather than preset plans.
Market Impact:
*
DXY (USD): Strengthened slightly as Powell signaled no aggressive rate-cut path.

* Gold (XAU): Dropped about 1% after the announcement but remains supported by long-term easing expectations.

* Bitcoin (BTC): Declined 2–5% amid stronger USD and short-term risk-off sentiment.

In summary, the Fed is easing slowly, prioritizing stability over stimulus — keeping both crypto and gold in a short-term correction phase before potential recovery when liquidity expands again.

#fomc #Fed #BTC #XAUUSD #DXY $BTC

📊 FED RATE WATCH — 29 OCT 2025

Market expects a 99.9% chance of a rate cut to 3.75%–4.00% at tonight’s FOMC meeting.

Only 0.1% see rates staying at 4.00%–4.25%.

A confirmed cut could spark strong moves in $BTC, $XAU, and $DXY.

#fomc #Fed #BTC #XAUUSD #DXY

📆 Key Economic Events to Watch This Week

Stay alert — upcoming data could heavily influence the trends of $BTC , $PAXG , and the DXY 👇

📅 Wednesday, Oct 29

• FOMC Statement & Fed Rate Decision: Expected rate cut from 4.25% → 4.00% — a move that could send shockwaves through global markets.

• FOMC Press Conference: Watch the tone and language from the Fed closely — even a subtle shift could flip the entire market trend.

📅 Thursday, Oct 30

• U.S. GDP (Q3): Forecasted growth of 3.0%, signaling the underlying strength of the U.S. economy.

📅 Friday, Oct 31

• Core PCE (MoM / YoY): The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge — any surprise here could spark major volatility in gold and the USD.

• Chicago PMI: A pulse check on U.S. manufacturing and business sentiment.

⚠️ Heads up:

This is one of those weeks where every word from the Fed can move the market.

Stay sharp, stay disciplined — and don’t chase the noise. 🧠💹

#BTC #PAXG #DXY #FOMC #CryptoMarket

📆 Key Economic Events This Week (USD)

Stay alert — this week’s data could strongly impact BTC, XAU, and DXY trends:

➡️Wed, Oct 29
- FOMC Statement & Fed Rate Decision — Expected cut from 4.25% → 4.00%, highly market-sensitive.
- FOMC Press Conference — Watch for tone shifts on future rate paths.

➡️Thu, Oct 30
- U.S. GDP (Q3) — Forecast 3.0%, a key indicator for economic momentum.

➡️Fri, Oct 31
- Core PCE (MoM/YoY) — Fed’s preferred inflation gauge; any surprise could move gold and the dollar sharply.
- Chicago PMI — Manufacturing sentiment update.

#usd #fomc #GOLD #BTC #DXY

#DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) strength doesn’t always mean crypto weakness. 💪

In Q4 2024, we saw divergent behavior — while DXY gained nearly 10%, #Bitcoin and major altcoins surged as liquidity rotated and market sentiment improved. This happens when macro capital flows support both the dollar and risk assets simultaneously.

#DXY is going up; you should sell everything 🤕🤕
In Q4 2024, DXY went up 10%, and
⚡⚡⚡ $BTC 🚀🚀 pumped 80%.🔥🔥🔥
Don't listen to permabears.👇👇👇

#DXY is going up; you should sell everything 🤡

In Q4 2024, DXY went up 10%, and $BTC pumped 80%.

Don't listen to permabears.

🟢 US PMI Data – Oct 24, 2025

* Manufacturing PMI: 52.2 (vs 51.9)
* Services PMI: 55.2 (vs 53.5)

Both readings beat expectations, showing stronger business activity and economic resilience in the U.S.

📈 Impact:
* DXY: Supported by positive PMI → short-term rebound possible.

#usd #GOLD #BTC #DXY $BTC

Vẫn đang chờ ngày #DXY dưới 100 điểm…

Mr. P here.. I had shared $BTC $99k Support & $106k Resistance inside before it happened

But here's thing - Despite $106k being resistance - I'm not going to open a short for now. Momentum is strong. Volume is there.

We had our full fun shorting won WILD on Mr. P 13/13 shorting bets on our Terms making market act like our Pet Cat last week, Into wide Targets booked with limit orders.

Right now, I'll not yet force a short. Trump also posted about ceasefire I believe 102k is now a support until Next #SPX Open. 98/99 HTF support given also respected and As I have said the 93 scenario could be 2/3 weeks away maybe not yet. Or maybe not at all, just personally recommend to not yet short another.

Specially, Don't be the person who'll short only because "I missed amazing 13/13 bet Mr. P short win last week or I closed too early, now I should short"

Bro.. why should market care about that, that's not good enough reason... that bet is done, gone, booked at limit orders. That amazing trade is, done with.

Yes if you have a good rationale to short, you see something fundamental technical, good reason, then cool. Go for it.

I'll personally wait for now. Doesn't hurt being sidelined. I see volume right now, I see trump Iran Israel coming to terms, I also see #DXY is weak today so not yet a good shorting setup.

Also read what I've said about 101/105 ranging - so maybe you can scalp short 105788 but for now I'm avoid another short. We had great great shorting fun minting and milking money, do not get stuck with hangover adopt to new market. New phase.

Take time, Prepare, Study and then Execute. Then strike.

Bitcoin’s Bull Run? Historic DXY Drop Signals Major Upside

The US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced one of its steepest three-day declines this week, dropping 5.4% from 109.881 to 103.967 since Monday. This sharp downturn has caught the attention of market analysts, who see it as a potential bullish catalyst for Bitcoin.

Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto Analyst at Real Vision, pointed to historical data suggesting that similar DXY collapses have coincided with key Bitcoin price cycles. On X, Coutts highlighted that significant DXY declines have historically aligned with Bitcoin bear market bottoms or mid-cycle bull runs.

In his first backtest, Coutts analyzed eight instances since 2013 where the DXY fell more than -2.5% over three days. In each case, Bitcoin surged over the following 90 days, delivering a 100% win rate with an average return of +37%, potentially pushing BTC to $123,000. A one-standard-deviation move above this could send Bitcoin as high as $146,000, while even the worst-case scenario showed a 14% gain, reaching $102,000.

His second backtest examined DXY drops of over -2.0% and found that Bitcoin posted gains in 17 out of 18 instances (94% success rate). The average 90-day return was +31.6% ($118,000 BTC), while a one-standard-deviation move could see Bitcoin at $141,000. The lowest recorded return in this setup was -14.6% ($76,500 BTC).

Coutts also emphasized the broader market implications of this DXY move, stating:

> "People don’t realize the significance of this DXY drop. It’s the 4th largest 3-day decline ever, creating a liquidity-positive environment. Yet, Bitcoin just had its worst February in a decade, and the Top 200 altcoin index took another hit. The data suggests a major bull cycle reset."

With historical patterns favoring Bitcoin in response to sharp DXY drops, all eyes are now on whether this latest plunge fuels another major rally.

#DXY $BTC

$BTC - Technical Analysis

Daily
Last candle closed back obove old H. Looking for P to trade higher. Noting that P has just traded to 0.5 wick of last candle upper wick.

H1
If P sweeps recent sellside, I will look to long
If P sweeps recent buyside, I will look to short.
Or base on intraday PA for setup.

If you find this helpful, give me a like. Cheer! 🫡
Abbreviations are explained & pinned in my pinned post.

#DXY #TradingMadeEasy #tradingtechnique #CryptoMarketMoves #TechnicalAnalysis