BlueChip

We have a rising wedge with 3 peaks showing weekly divergence.
The wedge usually appears at the end of an upward or downward trend and is a reversal pattern.

If it breaks down and we get 2 weekly candle closes below, the bear market is activated.
Note that the lower edge coincides with the 50-week moving average (shown in thick green), which historically only breaks when the bear market starts.
At this average we had the 49K bottom in August 2024,
and the 74K bottom in April 2025.
⛔️ That’s why, if 98K breaks and we close 2 weekly candles below, we officially start the Bitcoin bear market.
◀️ If we enter a bear market, where could the bottom form?
Historically, on the weekly RSI, breaking level 40 is an excellent area to start accumulation for Bitcoin.
Also, breaking the red PI CYCLE moving average around 66K means everything below is considered a good accumulation zone for the Bitcoin bottom.
So if 98K breaks and we get 2 weekly closes below, we’ll enter the bear market and have two main reversal zones for Bitcoin:
1⃣ 78,342 – 82,367
2⃣ 54,866 – 57,278
It’s also possible that zone 2 breaks down as a fake-out to 48K, then recovers above it to announce the start of the next bull market.
So you’ll have with you: Conditions for a confirmed bear marketThe rebound zones you can exploit for tradingWhere the bottom may form if the bear market starts from here
⚠️ But a rebound from 98K and a close above 105K opens the door to a new Bitcoin ATH, and at that point, all the numbers here change.
I hope this thread is fruitful for you ❤️
Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA!
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#BlueChip #MarketPullback

Let's just run through the evidence one last time. Massive buying power is waiting in the wings. Weak hands have capitulated. Bitcoin is sitting right near a critical price support.
The leverage market has been totally cleaned out, and the sellers, they look exhausted.
All five of these clues are pretty much pointing in the same direction. But you know, the market is never that simple, right? Even with such a strong case, there are still two very different ways this whole thing could play out from here.
Path number one is mean reversion. This means it's all just a temporary bounce, a dead cat bounce, before the price rolls over and we see even more pain.
Path number two is that the bull market continues. That means these signals are right, the bottom is in, and the market is ready to start climbing again.
And that's really the ultimate question we're left with. The evidence strongly suggests a major buying opportunity is here, but that risk of a trap? It's always there.
So is this just a relief rally before more blood hits the streets? Or is this the start of the next big run? That is the billion-dollar question the market is about to answer for all of us.
Always DYOR and size accordingly. NFA!
📌 Follow @Bluechip for unfiltered crypto intelligence, feel free to bookmark & share.
#BlueChip #StrategyBTCPurchase #FedOfficialsSpeak #PCEInflationWatch #MarketPullback

On-chain analysis reveals Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase following the Federal Open Market Committee-driven rally that peaked near $117,000. Long-term holders have realized 3.4 million Bitcoin in profits, while ETF inflows slowed significantly.
The current drawdown from the $124,000 all-time high to $109,700 represents just 12% compared to 28% cycle drawdowns or 60% declines in previous cycles. This aligns with diminishing volatility trends across macro cycles and resembles the steady 2015-2017 advance.
Realized cap, measuring cumulative capital investment, has risen to $1.06 trillion through three distinct waves since November 2022. This cycle absorbed $678 billion in net inflows, nearly 1.8 times larger than the prior cycle's $383 billion.
The profit realization ratio shows that in each wave, profit-taking exceeded 90% of coins moved, marking cyclical peaks. Having stepped away from the third such extreme, probabilities favor a CoolingPhase ahead, according to historical patterns.
Long-term holder distribution reached 122,000 Bitcoin monthly, while ETF net flows collapsed from 2,600 Bitcoin daily to nearly zero around the FOMC meeting. This combination created fragile market conditions setting up weakness.
Spot Volumes spiked during post-FOMC selling as forced liquidations overwhelmed thin order books, accelerating the decline. Futures open interest fell from $44.8 billion to $42.7 billion as leveraged long positions were flushed out.
Options markets repriced aggressively with skew surging and puts in high demand, signaling defensive positioning. One-week implied volatility jumped from 1.5% to 17%, revealing aggressive demand for downside protection.
The market sits in peak gamma conditions where small price movements force aggressive dealer hedging. This structure amplifies sell-offs while capping rallies, skewing near-term volatility risk to the downside.
Unless institutional and holder demand realigns, deeper cooling risks remain high. The macro structure increasingly resembles Market Exhaustion after unprecedented capital rotation and long-term holder distribution.
(COINMARKETCAP)
#BlueChip

◀️ Catching every peak and sub-bottom
◀️ Timing corrections to the exact minute
◀️ Pinpointing a failure level within just $400
◀️ Predicting a correction 10 minutes in advance and it happened

🔹 I work across 4 screens:
1⃣ 1-minute → Price action with session timing
2⃣ 15-minute → Stop-loss setup
3⃣ 1-hour → Market direction
4⃣ 4-hour → Confirming the broader view

Why share this publicly? It’s a show of strength and a message to those who criticized me: focus on your own work, the gap in skill and knowledge is clear 💯.
🚫Going forward: I won’t be giving live, session-by-session updates publicly anymore since it’s too distracting. My focus will shift to the private channel.
But:
✔️ I’ll still provide public market updates and coin analysis.
✔️ Focus on your craft. Results speak louder than words.
🙏 Wishing you all success.

Mark Zuckerberg, founder of Facebook and Meta, wanted to create a historic moment; something akin to Steve Jobs’ legendary stage appearances at Apple.
But instead, he became a subject of mockery and ridicule across the media and social platforms after failing to deliver his latest innovation live on stage.
What happened?
At last week’s Meta Connect 2025, Zuckerberg unveiled Meta’s newest product: Ray-Ban Display smart glasses, powered by artificial intelligence and a neural chip designed to track hand movements.
But the live demo backfired.
First demo:
In a hall packed with journalists, Zuckerberg invited celebrity chef Jack Mancuso to showcase how the glasses could act as a “personal assistant in the kitchen,” projecting recipes directly before your eyes.
The idea sounded revolutionary—but the AI gave bizarre answers and even came across as “annoyed”!
What was meant to be a groundbreaking demo instantly turned into global comic relief.
Second demo:
Zuckerberg attempted to answer a video call using the glasses—but failed.
He blamed it on “weak Wi-Fi,” but Meta’s CTO Andrew Bosworth later admitted the issue was with the device itself, intensifying the embarrassment.
The result?
A worldwide wave of ridicule and endless memes.Meta’s image as a tech pioneer shaken.Growing skepticism from both the media and the public regarding the company’s innovations.
This incident shows how a single public appearance can either make history—or ruin years of effort.
The problem wasn’t just technical; it was magnified by contradictory messaging: Zuckerberg’s excuse versus Bosworth’s admission.
And most damaging of all? The failure didn’t stay in the conference hall—it spread across social media to millions, overshadowing all of Meta’s achievements.
Conclusion
Zuckerberg didn’t just lose a product launch; he lost a media moment he hoped would be remembered in history.
Rebuilding Meta’s brand image will now require a long-term communication strategy to restore trust with both the press and the public.
#MarkZuckerberg #BlueChip #MarketPullback

#EconomicAnalysis | After a powerful rally that set record highs across the board, Goldman Sachs’ Head of Macro Trading, Bobby Molavi, believes there are “signs that last week marked the top, and that this week is the start of a roll over.”
What are these warning signs?
1. “Everyone on the boat” A state of uncomfortable overbuying
Institutional investors: Buying risk (long gross risk) while also hedging (long hedge), which hides the reality that they are heavily accumulating at the single-stock level.Retail investors: Buying “everything.”CTAs (trend-following funds): Back to buying, but not aggressively.Hedge funds: Increased their long positions last week.
The striking conclusion (quoting a colleague):
“Investors are buying excessively and uncomfortably… while at the same time wishing they had bought more.”
This is the classic psychological setup before a market peak: a mix of greed and fear, driven by a desperate desire not to miss out on further gains.
2. The “Exhaustion Candle” A troubling technical signal
The second chart shows the performance of Goldman Sachs’ high-beta, high-momentum stock basket—the riskiest and most market-sensitive names.
What do we see?
A daily candle (orange circle) resembling a Shooting Star or Hanging Man.
Why is this concerning?
Because it appeared after a strong rally. Buyers tried to push prices higher, but sellers stepped in aggressively, dragging prices back down to close near the open.
This is a clear sign of exhaustion and the beginning of seller dominance.
#conclusion
We are now seeing a rare cluster of negative signals:
Psychological: A state of “uncomfortable overbuying” across all investor classes.Technical: The emergence of a bearish reversal candle in the riskiest segment of the market.
Together, these factors significantly raise the probability that the market has reached a short-term top, and that we are about to enter a phase of correction or pullback.

#BlueChip #BTC