Bitget

CoinDesk Daybook

Bitcoin #BTC pulled back slightly to around $114,500 as traders sounded a note of caution before Wednesday's Federal Reserve policy decision even though the central bank is projected to lower interest rates in a shift toward monetary easing that could boost risk assets, including crypto.

The #Fed is expected to cut the benchmark rate by 25 basis points, but for now markets are restrained. The CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index is little changed in the past 24 hours, losing less than 0.1% and bitcoin dropped just 0.8%.

Open interest in crypto futures increased to nearly $30 billion from $25 billion in the past week, #Bitget Wallet research analyst Lacie Zhang pointed out, in a sign of rising leveraged bets that could trigger rapid moves either way.

Zhang called this a “double-edge sword that could amplify upside momentum above $112K but heighten liquidation risks below $110K.”

Despite the short-term drop, bitcoin is up around 6% over the past week, buoyed by optimism around a possible #US – #china trade breakthrough and expectations that the Fed will keep liquidity flowing.

Still, there are reasons for caution. Spanish bank Bankinter warned that global markets may be riding on overconfidence. Global stocks and real estate are interpreting every development as positive, while ignoring underlying risks, the bank said.

“If only it would consolidate levels, if only it would rest ... but we fear that won't happen,” Bankinter’s analysts wrote in their morning note. “It might be good in the short term, but perhaps not so much if we consider 2026.”

The bank’s analysts say near-term profit taking is likely given the new highs seen across sectors.

The next move likely hinges not only on the Fed’s tone going forward, but also on what comes out of President Donald Trump’s meeting with Chinese President Xi later this week. Stay alert!

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