交易洋

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Yesterday the biggest news was #ZEC and #ZEN! ZEC's contract trading volume reached $2.09 billion, surpassing SOL, and ZEN is not far behind with $1.416 billion. Fortunately, we all got on board early, and yesterday we made several trades back and forth.

#zec : The contract trading volume remains high, maintaining a high level of activity, continuing the main varieties from yesterday.
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#zen : Trading volume closely follows ZEC, with strong correlation to the former, and short-term enthusiasm has not noticeably waned.
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#sol : After being surpassed by ZEC, there has been a rebound action, with trading volume stabilizing in the $1.8-2 billion range, making it an active player among mainstream varieties.
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#ETH : Contract trading volume exceeds $3 billion (large market base), with relatively stable fluctuations, suitable for operations that favor mainstream varieties.

Have we not found opportunities to make several trades on these two today? Or should we try trading with other varieties?

Today, after the market stabilized, the ranking of gains is indeed dominated by the strong coins mentioned last time — Virtual and Tao firmly occupy the AI+Robotics track, and the other three privacy coins are also firmly listed, once again confirming that 'when there are clear strong coins, it's better to bottom fish them than to ambush coins that haven't risen yet.'

The overall market trend is not as bad as the emotions reflect; several declines have not broken the low point of 10.11. I also took the opportunity to buy back some Bitcoin and set a stop-loss line: if it falls below 103000, I will withdraw. #加密市场回调 #BTC

Arthur Hayes's market predictions often carry a bit of 'reverse logic mysticism' after all, this person still crowns himself with the title of 'legendary entrepreneur' $ZEC charging ten thousand US dollars

What position can $ZEC still rise to?

This wave of market fluctuations has been quite exhausting. After the unprecedented crash on October 11, the market entered a slow recovery phase. Generally, such a massive liquidation market takes several months to recover properly. Originally, October to November was a good time for us to sell, but now it indeed feels a bit awkward.

Looking at the broader environment, the Federal Reserve is still cutting interest rates, and the US stock market is reaching new highs every day, yet the cryptocurrency market here is lifeless. This year's performance in the crypto market has been quite poor; it not only failed to outperform the US stock market but even lags behind the A-shares. Especially for altcoins, many projects that are trapped are still slowly making their way back to break-even.

The money entering the crypto market this year is mostly institutional capital, which means there are more 'scythes' and fewer 'leeks'. The current crypto market is no longer the passionate market from years ago where everyone could participate in building communities together; it feels more like a place for big capital to compete with each other.

However, aside from the ups and downs of prices, the crypto market is still a growing market worth investing in. It's just that everyone is now more cautious about risks, so choosing the right investment is more important than anything else. I always say—don't waste time and energy on worthless altcoins; it only delays opportunities. Those coins that rise quickly tend to fall even faster; it's better to stick with mainstream coins.

Additionally, the market has grown larger now, so large fluctuations are becoming less frequent, indicating that making quick money is not easy anymore. Don't always think about doubling your investment in one go; try to make more short-term trades, as it can yield steadier returns and align better with the current market conditions.

Regarding the market, yesterday the index weakened again, with short-term declines not being insignificant, but it hasn't broken the previous low. Overall, it seems like it's in a 'double bottom' situation. I mentioned before that Bitcoin's midpoint is at $110,000, with normal fluctuations up and down. As long as the price doesn't fall below $90,000, the overall direction of this bull market remains intact.

Everyone, stay calm; the market will return sooner or later. Let's continue to work hard in November $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储降息 #加密市场回调

40x leverage precise shorting! "100% win rate whale" capitalized on Trump's tariff comments, making a single short position profit of $200,000

On October 31, the crypto market experienced fluctuations due to Trump's tariff comments, and OnchainLens detected a "100% win rate whale" accurately timing the node—during the announcement period, decisively opening a 40x leverage short on BTC, ultimately netting a profit of $208,624 from a single transaction.

It is worth noting that this whale is not engaging in high-profile operations for the first time; through precise control of market rhythm and firm positions, their cumulative profit has reached $8.89 million. Previously, their trading behavior had sparked speculation of "insider trading," but the party involved has publicly denied any association with the Trump family, emphasizing that the trades were entirely based on market judgment, not insider operations. #巨鲸动向

November Binance Launchpool New Airdrop: BNB Mining Strategy, How to Calculate Earnings?

After a long hiatus of six months, Binance Launchpool is finally back! The new project for November is Kite (KITE), with ample resources available. By locking BNB, FDUSD, and USDC, you can receive airdrops for free with zero additional fees, and we'll guide you step by step on how to participate.

First, understand Launchpool: This is Binance's new token distribution platform, centered around 'lock assets to receive tokens for free'—you lock BNB/FDUSD/USDC, and the platform rewards you with KITE based on the proportion of your holdings. The locked assets still retain the rights of BNB holdings (such as Launchpad eligibility), and you can unlock them anytime during the event without penalties.

Key Information Quick Reference

- Participation Time: November 1st, 08:00 (UTC+8) starts
- Participation Threshold: Complete KYC, support for Launchpool regions; no strict minimum lockup, it is recommended to lock at least 0.1 BNB or an equivalent stablecoin
- Steps to Participate: In the App, click 'Earn Tokens' - 'Launchpool' / On the official website, click 'More' - 'Launchpool', find the 'Kite (KITE)' project, and lock the corresponding assets

How to Calculate Earnings?

Rewards are calculated based on 'your lockup ratio × total pool rewards'. For example: if the total KITE rewards are 100 million (BNB pool accounts for 80%, FDUSD/USDC pools each account for 10%), and you lock 1000 USDT in the USDC pool, with a total pool of 100 million USDT, your ratio is 0.001%, corresponding to receiving 100 KITE (accumulated over 2 days).

Historical project APYs can reach 50%-200% (annualized), but in the short term, the number of participants and total lockup amount can fluctuate significantly. Early participation and reasonable allocation of lockup amounts are more prudent. Follow @交易洋 for crypto airdrop and TGE information to grasp the key points, avoiding detours, making it easier for you to access information!

MMT Pre-TGE points threshold set at 220, returns are stable! Grab it on October 31 from 17:00 to 19:00, can be traded on November 4 at 18:00, with a single account limit of 7 BNB.

Based on an estimated profit pool of 8 million dollars and 400,000 BNB participation, the return per BNB is 20-25 dollars, so 7 BNB can earn 140-175 dollars. If you only have 1 BNB, deducting 15 points for a return of 20-25 dollars is not as good as the 30 dollars from a regular airdrop; if you have 2-3 or more, you can push for more, the amount of funds is key.

If you want to earn stably, you can hedge: buy 7 BNB and short at the same time, after deducting 8 dollars in fees, a principal of 12,000 dollars can yield around 150 dollars, the return is not high but stable. In short, don't be blind, decide based on your BNB quantity, and only invest what you can afford.
#币安 #tge #空投大毛

The overall trend of Bitcoin is still down. This recent surge is just a pullback, not a real increase.\n\nWhy is there a pullback? Mainly because many retail investors and institutions haven't seen the trend clearly and are still buying spot, artificially pushing the price up. But the big players are different; they don't hold much spot anymore. Now, they just buy some spot on the same day and sell it all the next day, not holding onto it for the long term.\n\nTherefore, from October 31 to November 2, Bitcoin is very likely to break below 103500. But don’t rush to act; wait until this pullback reaches its peak before considering shorting. You must not buy or sell blindly; entering the market recklessly can lead to losses. #美联储降息 #加密市场回调 #BTC

The most "certain" voice in the current market is: Bitcoin will have a crazy surge before completely entering a bear market.

All uncertainties have gradually dissipated, and the action of the U.S. stopping its balance sheet reduction is far more significant than expected. Powell still emphasizes that there is "uncertainty" regarding the interest rate cut in December, but in reality, it is to firmly grasp the initiative of policy; and from the trend of employment data, the path for further rate cuts has long been clear.

The core logic that many people fail to see is: high inflation is precisely the most solid positive for Bitcoin.

The market's prediction of this round of price increase is not unfounded. Citibank predicts that Bitcoin may reach $135,000 by the end of 2025, and in an optimistic scenario, it could reach $199,000, driven by strong demand for spot ETFs, increased user adoption rates, and improved macroeconomic conditions; Standard Chartered even provided a long-term aggressive target, stating that it is expected to surge to $300,000 before the end of 2026, aiming for $500,000 by 2028.

However, the other side of "crazy" is equally alarming with risk warnings. Elliott Wave analyst Jon Glover believes that Bitcoin has entered the early stage of a bear market and may fall below $70,000; Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz also warned that corporate allocations to Bitcoin may have overheated, with bubble risks emerging.

As for the logic of high inflation benefiting Bitcoin, the core lies in its "anti-inflation narrative"—when the purchasing power of fiat currency diminishes due to inflation, some investors view Bitcoin as a "digital gold" to hedge against inflation, which is also a key reason why it is often sought after during periods of high inflation. #加密市场回调 #美联储降息预期 $BTC

Federal Reserve Decision (BTC) Watch for Key Points

I. Key Times

2:00 → Interest Rate Decision (Watch: Cut/No Cut? 25BP/50BP)
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2:30 → Powell's Speech (Set: Dovish/Hawkish, Impact > Decision)
II. Operational Rules

1. Bearish Operation: Light positions before 2:00, avoid volatility stop loss
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2. Market Rapid Rise/Fall: Do not chase orders, wait for speech to set the tone before re-entering
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3. Profit Planning: Short position gains → Daily stabilization → Re-enter long position
III. Core Signals & BTC Direction

Tonight, the market is expected to make a big move. There was news before the market opened that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (Old Powell) might not only refrain from lowering interest rates after seeing the inflation data, but may even raise them. As a result, Trump immediately posted that he would never allow the Fed to raise interest rates. This caused pre-market trading to go haywire, as everyone is waiting for the "decisive battle" at 2:30 AM—it's all about whose voice the global market will ultimately heed in this game of interest rate increases and decreases, and who really has the final say.

The key focus tonight is the Fed's interest rate decision. Originally, everyone thought that a "rate cut" was a done deal, and tonight they want to gamble on the direction: will it rise first and then fall, or fall first and then rise?

But to be honest, it's particularly difficult to operate tonight. If we ignore the rate cut issue and just look at the daily closing situation, combined with the fact that it is still below the zero line, I would certainly prefer to short. However, the rate cut issue is not settled—whether to cut by 25 basis points or 50 basis points, and how many times to cut later, these can directly determine the market's direction.

Personally, I still prefer to follow the market direction and am inclined to short. Of course, I could be wrong; the market is inherently about speculation. Even if the short position makes a profit, when it's time to cover, I still have to do it; this is something that has never changed for me.

Additionally, a practical piece of information: the market is almost universally convinced that the Fed will cut rates. According to CME data, the probability of a 25 basis point cut tonight is approaching 98%, mainly because the U.S. inflation and employment data for September are not very good, paving the way for a rate cut. However, there is no consensus within the Fed on how to cut rates going forward (how fast, how many times), and if Powell speaks in a "dovish" manner (supporting continued rate cuts) at the press conference in the early morning, it may boost the market; if he leans towards a "hawkish" stance (hinting at fewer cuts or no cuts), the volatility will be even greater. #美联储降息预期 #加密市场回调 #中美贸易谈判

Brothers, the opportunity has arrived! There is a high probability of interest rate cuts tonight at midnight, let's make a push at the end of the month, we should at least get to enjoy some meat!

The TGE this afternoon is going to be full! 3 BNB is needed to max out at 227 points, with an expected big profit of around 100 USDT, this wave is very appealing, everyone who can should participate!

Additionally, if you have a Booster in your wallet, don't waste it; you can participate with just 61 points, isn't it nice to get 10 USDT for free to enjoy a few meals of pig's knuckles? #空投大毛 #空投入门

Market Split! One side is a new climax, while the other side is cold benches, what does 4000 points really mean?

Last week's market seemed to have entered a "split mode": the US stock market was booming, with nearly 10% of stocks on the NYSE and NASDAQ reaching new 52-week highs, while only 3% hit new lows, and the enthusiasm for capital inflow was visible; however, the cryptocurrency sector presented a different scene, with mainstream coins barely rebounding while over 20% of altcoins fell to new lows, and there was hardly anyone left to discuss the market in the trading groups.

Even more bewildering is the term "4000 points" — just a few days ago, London spot gold had just fallen below the $4000 threshold, and then the A-share Shanghai Composite Index surged to 4000 points, reaching a ten-year high, to the point that when hearing this number, one had to first react whether it referred to the stock market, gold, or the once hotly discussed ETH price. After all, the current ETH price is far from that number, and the excitement in the crypto space has long been overshadowed by the movements in the US and A-share markets.

The quietness in the crypto space is not without reason. The epic flash crash in mid-October is still sending aftershocks, with nearly $20 billion in leveraged funds being liquidated. Many altcoin projects, due to liquidity exhaustion and structural risks, have fallen and cannot get back up; even if mainstream coins are relatively stable with the support of whale cost lines, retail investors have lost the enthusiasm for speculation. Furthermore, institutional funds are all clustered in Bitcoin ETFs, leaving altcoins with no incremental funds, naturally becoming a forgotten corner.

In contrast, the A-shares and US stocks, the former relying on policy easing and foreign capital returning to stand at a critical point, while the latter has refreshed records under multiple favorable conditions, with funds voting with their feet towards a more certain market. It's no wonder some joke that now when opening investment groups, there are more discussions about A-share trends than about cryptocurrency prices, and 80% of mentions of "4000 points" are likely referring to the stock market.

Behind this split is actually the pursuit of 'certainty' by capital – the US stock market has profit support, the A-shares have policy backing, while the crypto space is still caught in the pain of deleveraging. Perhaps only after the crypto market fully digests the risks, will "4000 points" be likely to be linked with ETH again.

#市场分化 #美股新高 #币圈冷寂 #加密市场回调

Sudden news in the early morning! The cryptocurrency tycoon ended a 13-game winning streak, losing 20 million overnight

At four in the morning, while others were still sleeping, the cryptocurrency market exploded. A tycoon who had been making profits since October 14, with 13 consecutive wins, watched helplessly as 20 million in floating profits disappeared that night.

1. Overnight, from big profits to 'smaller profits'

The market suddenly plummeted, and the tycoon’s 268 million Bitcoin long position (which bets on Bitcoin rising), which had made 10 million the day before, suddenly became risky.

In the end, he had no choice but to sell everything when Bitcoin was at $112,846. This position had been performing well previously, but ultimately only made 1.4 million, which wasn't even enough to cover the peak profits he had made before.

2. The tycoon didn’t run away, still holding on

Although he sold all his Bitcoin, the tycoon didn't completely exit the market and still held onto two other coins:

- Ethereum long position: worth 189 million, purchased at $3,966, previously made a maximum profit of 10 million, now only left with 790,000.
- SOL long position: bought not long ago, worth 74.34 million, purchased at $198.3, lost money as soon as he entered, now down 1.56 million.

3. This situation gives us 3 reminders

1. Don't believe in 'always winning': Even if you win 13 times, a change in the market could erase all previous gains.
2. Risk control is key: Even a wealthy tycoon had to quickly sell to cut losses; ordinary people should not recklessly leverage, or they might lose their principal.
3. Don’t put all your money into one coin: The tycoon sold Bitcoin but kept two other coins, showing he didn't want to put all his eggs in one basket.

4. Want to follow the tycoon to avoid pitfalls? Look here

The cryptocurrency market changes quickly, and there are market signals in the tycoon’s operations. I monitor over 20 tycoons in private circles; whatever they buy or sell, I keep track of.

Want to know the tycoon’s position changes in real-time? Follow me to receive timely information and follow the smart money.

#巨鲸动向 #交易风险 #仓位管理

Alpha brothers, pay attention! The Pieverse TGE at 4 PM today is a must-attend event!

Core Highlights Overview

· Project: Pieverse ($PIEVERSE) — AI-driven Web3 content platform
· Time: 4 PM today (Alpha Pre-TGE event)
· Strategy: Prepare 3 BNB to participate; this is an exclusive presale, with a higher tier than last time!

Why you must participate?

1. High return expectations: The expected returns won't be less than 100U, one meal can cover three!
2. Bullish outlook on BNB: Around 4 PM, BNB is likely to surge due to event demand, making it a good opportunity to buy $BNB.
3. Hedging opportunity: Friends with smaller positions may consider opening a contract for a small profit, but those buying $BNB spot after 4 PM should remember to hedge, to avoid working hard for nothing due to price fluctuations.

For brothers who don’t have enough BNB

· Lending channels: You can borrow through Binance trading leverage or wallets with very low fees; the goal is to go all in for this wave!
· Most direct method: Buy spot $BNB; it is recommended to buy 3 directly.
· Newbie assistance: If you don't know how to operate yet, follow me and leave a message, and I will teach you.

Project Analysis: Pieverse ($PIEVERSE) is an AI-driven Web3 content platform focused on creator monetization and community interaction. In simple terms, it helps your content monetize more intelligently through AI tools, particularly suitable for creators and KOLs.

Final Reminder

· This is a highly certain opportunity; friends passing by, please take a moment to click follow and let's make certain money together!
· Remember, 4 PM, Binance Alpha, Pieverse TGE, don't miss it!

#Alpha #Pieverse #tge #bnb #空投大毛

Hope all brothers can get a piece of this big profit! 🍗