Shisato insight

#MyStrategyEvolution When I first started, I often made trades based on intuition and FOMO whenever I saw prices rise sharply. After many losses, I switched to learning basic technical analysis such as support - resistance, RSI, and MA. Recently, I have added price patterns and volume profile to identify high liquidity areas. Currently, I prioritize swing trading and DCA in an upward trend. My strategy has evolved from impulsive to disciplined, from short-term to medium-term, with a focus on capital preservation and stable returns.

#TradingStrategyMistakes One of the most common mistakes I encountered when I first started trading was 'overtrading' – taking too many positions when the market was highly volatile. This made me emotionally exhausted and lost control of my capital. Additionally, I once had complete faith in the RSI indicator without confirming it with volume, leading to a buy order at the peak. Trading without setting a stop-loss also caused me to incur significant losses. The biggest lesson: always adhere to a clear strategy, strictly manage capital, and keep emotions stable.

Bitcoin today (11/07/2025): The price is fluctuating around 116,600 USD, up nearly 4.8% compared to the previous day and has just set a new ATH at around 113,700–113,850 USD ().

🔮 Short-term & Medium-term forecast

Short-term (24–48 hours):
• If it closes above 112,400 USD, BTC may continue to rise towards 114,500–116,000 USD .
• If the price drops below 108,000 USD, a slight correction may occur and re-test the support zone of 105,000–108,000 USD ().

Medium-term (next few weeks):
• Forecast models such as CoinCodex and CoinDCX indicate that BTC could reach around 122,000–134,000 USD by the end of July and August, with an overall growth outlook of 15–20 % .
• Analysts and ETF funds continue to expect BTC could climb to 140,000 USD or over 200,000 USD in the next 12 months, thanks to the wave of institutional investment and favorable crypto policies ().

⸻

🧠 Conclusion & advice
• Overall, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend phase with a breakout from the 110,000 USD zone, solid technical support, and institutional cash flow.
• Important support: 108,000–109,000 USD. Resistance to break: 112,400 USD, followed by 114,900 USD.
• Outlook: If cash flow is maintained, the feasible long-term target is 130,000–140,000 USD; even 200,000 USD if the trend of institutional investment continues and favorable crypto policies persist.
• However, it is advisable to monitor volume and RSI to adjust positions if signs of fatigue or unexpected corrections appear.

$BTC BTC officially surpassed a new historical peak of $112,737 on July 10, 2025. I have closed a part of the swing order from the area of $91,000 – making a profit of over 20%. Currently, I still hold 50% BTC in my portfolio and use 10% to DCA more if the price adjusts to the support area of $104,000 – $106,000. Bitcoin ETFs are attracting a strong influx of capital, and the ratio of supply not moving for over 6 months has reached a record high, indicating that long-term holders are controlling the market. I will continue to hold BTC because I expect a long growth path ahead.

$BNB BNB is still one of the top coins in the Binance ecosystem, with a market capitalization exceeding $58 billion USD as of July 10, 2025. Recently, the price of BNB rose above $620 after the Binance Turns 8 event, and the Q2/2025 coin burn program has destroyed over 2 million BNB. Additionally, the expansion of Layer-2 opBNB and the integration of direct staking have increased buying demand. I am currently holding 12% of my portfolio in BNB, staking through BNB Vault to earn additional profits. With the development momentum of the DeFi ecosystem on BNB Chain, I expect the price to continue to rise.

#BreakoutTradingStrategy Breakout Trading is a trading strategy when the price surpasses a strong resistance or support level accompanied by high volume. When BTC exceeded its ATH in June 2025, many breakout traders made significant profits. This strategy requires identifying price patterns such as triangles, channels, and flags, and confirming with volume. If the breakout fails, the price often reverses very quickly, so a stop-loss is mandatory. This style is suitable for markets with strong news, high volatility, and is commonly used in crypto.

#ArbitrageTradingStrategy Arbitrage is a strategy to profit from price differences between exchanges or markets. For example, if BTC on Binance is priced at $112,000 but on OKX is $112,300, then a trader can buy and sell across exchanges to profit from the difference. Additionally, Arbitrage also applies to futures – spot as 'basis trading', where the futures contract price is higher than the spot price. In 2025, many automated bots are supporting this strategy, helping to reduce latency. Although the profit per order is small, the high volume and low risk are advantages of Arbitrage.

#TrendTradingStrategy Trend Trading is a market trend investment strategy, particularly effective during the recent BTC peak of $112,000. Traders determine the trend using the MA moving average, ADX indicator, or trendline. This strategy helps optimize profits by holding long positions in an upward price momentum. However, entry points require patience to avoid FOMO. The advantage of trend trading is minimizing incorrect trades, especially during long bullish cycles. This style is suitable for medium to long-term investors.

#DayTradingStrategy Day Trading is a day trading strategy that takes advantage of short-term price fluctuations to profit. Traders often use technical analysis and minute/hour charts to enter orders quickly. With the crypto market always experiencing strong volatility, Day Trading can yield high profits but comes with significant risks. Currently, many traders use AI tools or bots to analyze RSI, MA, and volume to determine effective entry points. Discipline, setting stop-loss orders, and capital management are crucial factors when applying this strategy.

#HODLTradingStrategy HODL is not just a meme; it is a proven investment strategy over time. Those who persistently held Bitcoin from 2020 to 2025 have reaped impressive profits, despite numerous sharp market declines. When BTC reaches new highs, HODL investors become the true winners. HODL helps avoid momentary emotions and maintains faith in the long-term value of the asset. Especially in the context of institutional money flowing in, HODL has become the most solid choice.

#SpotVSFuturesStrategy In crypto, Spot trading allows investors to directly own assets and is suitable for long-term strategies with lower risk. Meanwhile, Futures trading uses leverage to optimize short-term profits but is more prone to liquidation. Currently, many traders combine both: holding Spot BTC/ETH for sustainable growth while using Futures to hedge or take advantage of price waves. Large institutions also employ arbitrage strategies between Spot and Futures to profit from price differences. Each strategy has its own advantages and disadvantages.

#BTCBreaksATH On July 10, 2025, Bitcoin set a new historical peak: $112,737 higher than the previous ATH of nearly $112,000. The BTC price has increased by more than 21% since the beginning of the year, thanks to strong capital inflows from institutional investors and improved market risk sentiment. Analysts forecast that BTC could reach $140,000–200,000 by the end of 2025 if the current trend continues. The favorable macroeconomic context and the crypto-friendly policies of the US government are seen as the main drivers for this price surge.

#BinanceTurns8 Binance vừa tròn 8 tuổi! Với hơn 180 triệu người dùng và khối lượng giao dịch hàng tỷ USD mỗi ngày, Binance vẫn giữ vững vị thế là sàn giao dịch crypto lớn nhất thế giới. Trong hành trình 8 năm qua, họ đã liên tục đổi mới, mở rộng hệ sinh thái như Binance Pay, Binance NFT, và gần đây là tích hợp thêm Layer-2 zkSync. Với hệ thống SAFU đảm bảo an toàn tài sản người dùng, Binance không chỉ là một sàn giao dịch mà còn là người định hình tương lai của blockchain toàn cầu.

#USNationalDebt The national debt situation of the United States (#USNationalDebt) is becoming a major concern for the global economy. As the government continuously borrows to fund public spending, the national debt has surpassed 34 trillion USD. This has led to rising inflation, high interest rates, and has made investors apprehensive. Without sound fiscal policy, the U.S. will face a debt crisis in the future. Investors should closely monitor the situation to develop appropriate strategies, especially in the context of the USD potentially depreciating.

#FOMCMeeting The FOMC meeting (Federal Open Market Committee) is one of the most important financial events for global investors. In this meeting, the Federal Reserve (FED) will announce decisions related to interest rates, monetary policy, and economic forecasts. The FED's decision to raise or maintain interest rates can have a strong impact on the stock market, gold, and especially the cryptocurrency market such as Bitcoin or Ethereum. With inflation still persistent, this FOMC meeting will be the focal point of attention for global investors.

$BTC Hiện tại Bitcoin đang giao dịch quanh mức ≈ $106,800–108,600, với mức chênh trong ngày từ $105,757 đến đỉnh $108,801 . Mình nhận thấy BTC vừa break trên vùng hỗ trợ mạnh và quay đầu tăng nhờ tín hiệu kỹ thuật pin bar, cùng dòng tiền lớn từ các tổ chức . Nếu giữ vững trên ngưỡng kháng cự nhỏ hiện tại, BTC có thể tiếp tục tiến tới test lại mức đỉnh $112,000–112,500. Xét yếu tố vĩ mô và dòng vốn tổ chức, mình vẫn giữ quan điểm nắm giữ dài hạn, ưu tiên quản lý rủi ro và không lao vào FOMO.$BTC

#VietnamCryptoPolicy Thị trường crypto tại Việt Nam đang phát triển nhanh chóng, nhưng chính sách quản lý vẫn còn bỏ ngỏ. Theo mình, đã đến lúc Việt Nam cần có hành lang pháp lý rõ ràng để vừa bảo vệ nhà đầu tư, vừa khuyến khích đổi mới sáng tạo. Việc minh bạch hóa chính sách sẽ thu hút dòng vốn quốc tế, giảm thiểu lừa đảo và tạo môi trường phát triển bền vững. Mình hy vọng các cơ quan quản lý sẽ sớm công bố các quy định rõ ràng để thúc đẩy ngành công nghiệp blockchain tại Việt Nam.

#MetaplanetBTCPurchase Hôm nay mình rất ấn tượng với thông tin Metaplanet tiếp tục mua thêm Bitcoin. Việc này cho thấy xu hướng các công ty Nhật Bản bắt đầu nghiêm túc xem BTC như một tài sản dự trữ thay vì chỉ là đầu cơ. Điều này gợi nhớ đến chiến lược của MicroStrategy trước đây và có thể mở ra làn sóng FOMO cho doanh nghiệp châu Á. Với việc Metaplanet liên tục công bố giao dịch mua BTC, mình tin rằng họ đang xây dựng một vị thế chiến lược dài hạn. Đây là dấu hiệu tích cực cho thị trường và tạo động lực tâm lý mạnh mẽ.

$ETH Ethereum (ETH) hiện đang giao dịch quanh 2.785 USD, với biên độ dao động trong ngày từ 2.674 – 2.821 USD. Giá ETH tăng nhẹ nhờ dòng vốn từ các quỹ ETF và tâm lý tích cực từ thị trường. Số lượng ETH staking đã vượt 34,8 triệu, tương đương gần 100 tỷ USD, cho thấy niềm tin dài hạn rất mạnh. Nếu phá vỡ ngưỡng 2.800 USD, ETH có thể tiến lên vùng 3.000 – 3.500 USD. Ngắn hạn, vùng hỗ trợ mạnh quanh 2.700 – 2.750 USD đang là điểm vào lệnh tiềm năng.

#CryptoRoundTableRemarks This week, BTC is trading around the range of 109,500 – 110,000 USD, lower than the historic peak of nearly 112,000 USD recorded at the end of May. The slight decline is viewed as a correction after a series of rapid increases, but market sentiment remains positive thanks to macroeconomic signs such as stable interest rate prospects and capital inflows from ETFs.

Altcoins continue to show a trend of differentiation—some are still in the accumulation phase, while prominent names in the Layer 2 and DeFi sectors are witnessing growth of 5–10%.

🧭 Strategic insight:
• BTC is transitioning from an overbought phase to a slight correction state, which may present an opportunity for profit-taking or to determine further price decreases.
• Investors should monitor support levels around 106,000 – 108,000 USD to prepare for new trading plans.
• Developments from the macroeconomic market (such as US‑China Trade Talks) could still create significant volatility, so staying updated with the news is necessary.

In summary, the market seems to be at a stabilization phase after a strong increase; this is the time to manage capital well, set profit-taking orders, and limit trading based on emotions.