陈晓——翻盘日记
跟箪➕：BTCCX66
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April 26, 2025, BTC/ETH Market Indicator Analysis
In terms of the market, BTC: EMA7 and EMA30 form short-term support, daily RSI is 70, close to the overbought zone, showing short-term momentum divergence. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price near the middle band. If it breaks the upper band, it may open up upside potential; otherwise, it faces the pressure of a pullback.
ETH: 24-hour trading volume decreased by 39%, RSI around 55, close to neutral, indicating insufficient market participation and lack of rebound momentum. The daily top-bottom conversion support level is at 1740; if it breaks down, it may further probe down to 1600 and lower support levels.
Suggested actions:
Buy BTC at 95000, target 97500
Sell BTC at 92500, target 90500
Buy ETH at 1810, target 1880
Sell ETH at 1760, target 1700
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
In terms of the market, BTC: EMA7 and EMA30 form short-term support, daily RSI is 70, close to the overbought zone, showing short-term momentum divergence. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with the price near the middle band. If it breaks the upper band, it may open up upside potential; otherwise, it faces the pressure of a pullback.
ETH: 24-hour trading volume decreased by 39%, RSI around 55, close to neutral, indicating insufficient market participation and lack of rebound momentum. The daily top-bottom conversion support level is at 1740; if it breaks down, it may further probe down to 1600 and lower support levels.
Suggested actions:
Buy BTC at 95000, target 97500
Sell BTC at 92500, target 90500
Buy ETH at 1810, target 1880
Sell ETH at 1760, target 1700
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
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🌟 【Chen Xiao's Trading｜Double Kill in Critical Market! BTC Floating Profit 346% + ETH Crazy Gain 255%!】 🌟
🔥 Today's Battle Report (2025.4.25)
✅ BTC Contract: 200x Leverage Holding 4 Contracts, Opened at 93,672U → Current Price 95,293U, Floating Profit +346%!
✅ ETH Contract: 190 Long Positions Opened at 1,782U → Current Price 1,805U, Harvesting 255% Profit!
📊 Total Account Profit Exceeds 10,000U! Forced Liquidation Price is Far Below Current Price, One-Click Take Profit and Stop Loss for Protection, Never Stay in the Battle!
💥 Why Can My Strategy Accurately Hunt Volatility?
👉 Hardcore Technical Approach:
Advance Warning of BTC's 'False Breakout' Pattern (Daily MACD Top Divergence + 94,000 Key Resistance Level)
Sniping ETH's 'Evening Star' Reversal Signal (4-Hour Chart + Precise Prediction of 1,800 Resistance Zone)
👉 Data Transparency: All Strategies Shared 24 Hours in Advance in the Community (with Image and Text Analysis + Timestamp), Absolutely No After-the-Fact Statements!
🔍 Tomorrow's Opportunity Prediction:
🚀 BTC: Stabilize Above 94,000 to See 96,000, Break Below 92,500 Then Short to 91,000!
🚀 ETH: Break Above 1,800 to Target 1,880, If Breaks Below 1,730, Firmly Short to 1,680!
⚠️ Blood and Tears Experience:
Once Suffered a 30% Liquidation Due to 'Hedging Arbitrage', Now Focused on Trend Trading!
Beginner's Must-Learn Rules:
🔥 Leverage ≤ 200x × Position ≤ 5%
🔥 Stop Loss = Principal × 3%, Do Not Hold Losing Positions Overnight!
#比特币市值排名
🔥 Today's Battle Report (2025.4.25)
✅ BTC Contract: 200x Leverage Holding 4 Contracts, Opened at 93,672U → Current Price 95,293U, Floating Profit +346%!
✅ ETH Contract: 190 Long Positions Opened at 1,782U → Current Price 1,805U, Harvesting 255% Profit!
📊 Total Account Profit Exceeds 10,000U! Forced Liquidation Price is Far Below Current Price, One-Click Take Profit and Stop Loss for Protection, Never Stay in the Battle!
💥 Why Can My Strategy Accurately Hunt Volatility?
👉 Hardcore Technical Approach:
Advance Warning of BTC's 'False Breakout' Pattern (Daily MACD Top Divergence + 94,000 Key Resistance Level)
Sniping ETH's 'Evening Star' Reversal Signal (4-Hour Chart + Precise Prediction of 1,800 Resistance Zone)
👉 Data Transparency: All Strategies Shared 24 Hours in Advance in the Community (with Image and Text Analysis + Timestamp), Absolutely No After-the-Fact Statements!
🔍 Tomorrow's Opportunity Prediction:
🚀 BTC: Stabilize Above 94,000 to See 96,000, Break Below 92,500 Then Short to 91,000!
🚀 ETH: Break Above 1,800 to Target 1,880, If Breaks Below 1,730, Firmly Short to 1,680!
⚠️ Blood and Tears Experience:
Once Suffered a 30% Liquidation Due to 'Hedging Arbitrage', Now Focused on Trend Trading!
Beginner's Must-Learn Rules:
🔥 Leverage ≤ 200x × Position ≤ 5%
🔥 Stop Loss = Principal × 3%, Do Not Hold Losing Positions Overnight!
#比特币市值排名
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Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis on April 25
The current price of Bitcoin is 93560, with short-term fluctuations around 92500-94500, showing a technical 'false breakout' pattern. The daily MACD shows signs of a potential top divergence risk; if it cannot hold above 94000, a pullback to the 91500 support zone may occur. On the news front, institutional ETF net inflows exceeded 900 million in a single day, setting a new high for the year, but uncertainties regarding SEC regulation and the strong resistance at 95000 suppress short-term gains.
The current price of Ethereum is 1760, with intraday fluctuations narrowing to the 1720-1800 range. The 4-hour chart shows a 'Evening Star' pattern warning of high-level risks. Technical upgrades (Pectra) and institutional accumulation support the long-term trend, but ecological competition (Solana's TVL surge) and regulatory headwinds limit upward space.
Strategy Suggestions:
BTC: Long at 94000 with a target of 96000
Short at 92500 with a target of 91000
ETH: Long at 1800 with a target of 1880
Short at 1730 with a target of 1680
Fluctuations around 92500-94500 show a technical 'false breakout' pattern. The daily MACD shows signs of a potential top divergence risk; if it cannot hold above 94000, a pullback to the 91500 support zone may occur. On the news front, institutional ETF net inflows exceeded 900 million in a single day, setting a new high for the year, but uncertainties regarding SEC regulation and the strong resistance at 95000 suppress short-term gains.
The current price of Ethereum is 1760, with intraday fluctuations narrowing to the 1720-1800 range. The 4-hour chart shows a 'Evening Star' pattern warning of high-level risks. Technical upgrades (Pectra) and institutional accumulation support the long-term trend, but ecological competition (Solana's TVL surge) and regulatory headwinds limit upward space.
Strategy Suggestions:
BTC: Long at 94000 with a target of 96000
Short at 92500 with a target of 91000
ETH: Long at 1800 with a target of 1880
Short at 1730 with a target of 1680
The current price of Bitcoin is 93560, with short-term fluctuations around 92500-94500, showing a technical 'false breakout' pattern. The daily MACD shows signs of a potential top divergence risk; if it cannot hold above 94000, a pullback to the 91500 support zone may occur. On the news front, institutional ETF net inflows exceeded 900 million in a single day, setting a new high for the year, but uncertainties regarding SEC regulation and the strong resistance at 95000 suppress short-term gains.
The current price of Ethereum is 1760, with intraday fluctuations narrowing to the 1720-1800 range. The 4-hour chart shows a 'Evening Star' pattern warning of high-level risks. Technical upgrades (Pectra) and institutional accumulation support the long-term trend, but ecological competition (Solana's TVL surge) and regulatory headwinds limit upward space.
Strategy Suggestions:
BTC: Long at 94000 with a target of 96000
Short at 92500 with a target of 91000
ETH: Long at 1800 with a target of 1880
Short at 1730 with a target of 1680
Fluctuations around 92500-94500 show a technical 'false breakout' pattern. The daily MACD shows signs of a potential top divergence risk; if it cannot hold above 94000, a pullback to the 91500 support zone may occur. On the news front, institutional ETF net inflows exceeded 900 million in a single day, setting a new high for the year, but uncertainties regarding SEC regulation and the strong resistance at 95000 suppress short-term gains.
The current price of Ethereum is 1760, with intraday fluctuations narrowing to the 1720-1800 range. The 4-hour chart shows a 'Evening Star' pattern warning of high-level risks. Technical upgrades (Pectra) and institutional accumulation support the long-term trend, but ecological competition (Solana's TVL surge) and regulatory headwinds limit upward space.
Strategy Suggestions:
BTC: Long at 94000 with a target of 96000
Short at 92500 with a target of 91000
ETH: Long at 1800 with a target of 1880
Short at 1730 with a target of 1680
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4.24 Thursday ETH Analysis
From the market conditions, the 4-hour MACD histogram is shrinking, with the fast and slow lines converging. The 4-hour RSI value is 65 (neutral to strong), but the daily RSI has reached the overbought area of 70, showing signs of divergence in volume and price, which requires caution for the risk of a pullback after a rise. The daily trading volume is shrinking while the price is rising, indicating insufficient bullish momentum.
Suggested Actions
Buy: Price stabilizes at 1770, target 1820
Sell: Price breaks below 1710, target 1650
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
From the market conditions, the 4-hour MACD histogram is shrinking, with the fast and slow lines converging. The 4-hour RSI value is 65 (neutral to strong), but the daily RSI has reached the overbought area of 70, showing signs of divergence in volume and price, which requires caution for the risk of a pullback after a rise. The daily trading volume is shrinking while the price is rising, indicating insufficient bullish momentum.
Suggested Actions
Buy: Price stabilizes at 1770, target 1820
Sell: Price breaks below 1710, target 1650
#加密货币总市值重回3万亿
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4.24 Thursday BTC Analysis
Dear ones, from the market trend, the price of Bitcoin continues to fluctuate downward. The MA15-minute line: the fast line is widening downwards, and the MACD 4-hour line death cross is also continuing. However, the MACD 15-minute line fast and slow lines are entangled with a possible breakthrough of the 0 axis, so we need to be cautious of bullish momentum. #比特币市值排名
Dear ones, from the market trend, the price of Bitcoin continues to fluctuate downward. The MA15-minute line: the fast line is widening downwards, and the MACD 4-hour line death cross is also continuing. However, the MACD 15-minute line fast and slow lines are entangled with a possible breakthrough of the 0 axis, so we need to be cautious of bullish momentum. #比特币市值排名
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4.22 Thoughts on Concubine
MACD Momentum Signal 4 Hours: Fast and slow lines are merging, histogram is shrinking, short-term momentum is exhausted, if a death cross forms, it may accelerate the pullback.
Daily MACD: The golden cross slope is slowing, price and indicator show a top divergence, if it falls below 1560, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4 Hours: 45 (Neutral Zone), not overbought or oversold, but the rebound with shrinking volume shows insufficient bullish confidence.
Volume: Increased volume when rising to 1585, current price is fluctuating with shrinking volume, bearish momentum is dominant.
K-Line Pattern Short-Term Structure: Price rose from 1574 to 1585 and then fell back, forming a 'false breakout' pattern, if it cannot hold above 1600, it may trigger technical selling.
Support Level: 1530 Resistance Level: 1590
Suggested Operations
Bull: Enter when the price stabilizes at 1600 Target: 1650
Bear: Enter when the price falls below 1550 Target: 1500
#加密市场反弹
MACD Momentum Signal 4 Hours: Fast and slow lines are merging, histogram is shrinking, short-term momentum is exhausted, if a death cross forms, it may accelerate the pullback.
Daily MACD: The golden cross slope is slowing, price and indicator show a top divergence, if it falls below 1560, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4 Hours: 45 (Neutral Zone), not overbought or oversold, but the rebound with shrinking volume shows insufficient bullish confidence.
Volume: Increased volume when rising to 1585, current price is fluctuating with shrinking volume, bearish momentum is dominant.
K-Line Pattern Short-Term Structure: Price rose from 1574 to 1585 and then fell back, forming a 'false breakout' pattern, if it cannot hold above 1600, it may trigger technical selling.
Support Level: 1530 Resistance Level: 1590
Suggested Operations
Bull: Enter when the price stabilizes at 1600 Target: 1650
Bear: Enter when the price falls below 1550 Target: 1500
#加密市场反弹
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4.22 Big Pie Thinking
MACD Momentum Signal 4 Hours: Golden cross continues but histogram shrinks, indicating a short-term weakening of upward momentum, caution is needed for high-level pullback risks.
Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross is slowing down, and a slight top divergence appears between price and indicator; if it falls below 87000, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4 Hours: 65 (neutral to strong), if it breaks through 89000, it may push into the overbought zone (>70), requiring volume support.
Volume: Increased to 88368 with volume expansion, but the current price is fluctuating with reduced volume, indicating intensified long-short divergence.
K-line Pattern
Short-term Structure: Price rose from 87826 to 88368 and then slightly retraced, forming an 'ascending wedge'; if it cannot break through 89000, it may trigger a technical pullback.
Support Level: 87000 Resistance Level: 89000
Operational Suggestions
Bullish: Enter when the price stabilizes at 89000 Target: 105000
Bearish: Enter when the price falls below 88000 Target: 86000
#美股下挫
MACD Momentum Signal 4 Hours: Golden cross continues but histogram shrinks, indicating a short-term weakening of upward momentum, caution is needed for high-level pullback risks.
Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross is slowing down, and a slight top divergence appears between price and indicator; if it falls below 87000, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4 Hours: 65 (neutral to strong), if it breaks through 89000, it may push into the overbought zone (>70), requiring volume support.
Volume: Increased to 88368 with volume expansion, but the current price is fluctuating with reduced volume, indicating intensified long-short divergence.
K-line Pattern
Short-term Structure: Price rose from 87826 to 88368 and then slightly retraced, forming an 'ascending wedge'; if it cannot break through 89000, it may trigger a technical pullback.
Support Level: 87000 Resistance Level: 89000
Operational Suggestions
Bullish: Enter when the price stabilizes at 89000 Target: 105000
Bearish: Enter when the price falls below 88000 Target: 86000
#美股下挫
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4.21 Auntie Analysis
MACD kinetic energy signal 4 hours: Golden cross continues but the histogram shrinks, indicating that short-term kinetic energy is weakening, and we need to be alert to the risk of high-level correction. Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross slows down, and the price and the indicator show a slight top divergence. If it falls below 1630, it may trigger a dead cross. RSI and volume 4-hour RSI: 70 (close to the overbought area). If it breaks through 1660, it may push up to the overbought area, which requires volume cooperation. Volume: When it rises to 1656, the volume increases, but the current price shrinks and fluctuates, indicating that the divergence between long and short positions has intensified.
K-line pattern short-term structure: The price rises from 1571 to 1656 and then falls back slightly, forming an "ascending wedge". If it fails to break through 1660, it may trigger a technical correction.
Support level: 1540 Resistance level: 1690
Operation suggestions
Duodan: Enter the market when the price stabilizes at 1665 Target: 1700
Kongdan: Enter the market when the price falls below 1620 Target: 1580
MACD kinetic energy signal 4 hours: Golden cross continues but the histogram shrinks, indicating that short-term kinetic energy is weakening, and we need to be alert to the risk of high-level correction. Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross slows down, and the price and the indicator show a slight top divergence. If it falls below 1630, it may trigger a dead cross. RSI and volume 4-hour RSI: 70 (close to the overbought area). If it breaks through 1660, it may push up to the overbought area, which requires volume cooperation. Volume: When it rises to 1656, the volume increases, but the current price shrinks and fluctuates, indicating that the divergence between long and short positions has intensified.
K-line pattern short-term structure: The price rises from 1571 to 1656 and then falls back slightly, forming an "ascending wedge". If it fails to break through 1660, it may trigger a technical correction.
Support level: 1540 Resistance level: 1690
Operation suggestions
Duodan: Enter the market when the price stabilizes at 1665 Target: 1700
Kongdan: Enter the market when the price falls below 1620 Target: 1580
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MACD Momentum Signal 4-Hour MACD: Golden cross continues, but the histogram is shrinking, indicating short-term momentum weakening, need to be cautious of high-level pullback risk.
Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross is slowing, and there is a slight top divergence between price and indicator; if it breaks below 86000, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4-Hour RSI: 75 (close to overbought area), if it breaks above 88000, it may further push into the overbought zone (>90), need to pay attention to volume coordination.
Volume: Increased volume when breaking above 87000, but current price is oscillating with decreasing volume, indicating intensified divergence between bulls and bears.
K-Line Pattern Short-Term Structure: Price rose from 84566 to 87640 and then slightly pulled back, forming an 'ascending wedge'; if it cannot break above 88000, it may trigger a technical pullback.
Support Level: 85000 Resistance Level: 89000
Operation Suggestions
Long Position: Enter when the price stabilizes at 88000 Target: 90000
Short Position: Enter when the price breaks below 85500 Target: 82500
Daily MACD: The slope of the golden cross is slowing, and there is a slight top divergence between price and indicator; if it breaks below 86000, it may trigger a death cross.
RSI and Volume 4-Hour RSI: 75 (close to overbought area), if it breaks above 88000, it may further push into the overbought zone (>90), need to pay attention to volume coordination.
Volume: Increased volume when breaking above 87000, but current price is oscillating with decreasing volume, indicating intensified divergence between bulls and bears.
K-Line Pattern Short-Term Structure: Price rose from 84566 to 87640 and then slightly pulled back, forming an 'ascending wedge'; if it cannot break above 88000, it may trigger a technical pullback.
Support Level: 85000 Resistance Level: 89000
Operation Suggestions
Long Position: Enter when the price stabilizes at 88000 Target: 90000
Short Position: Enter when the price breaks below 85500 Target: 82500
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4.18 Concubine's Thought Process
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Today's Thoughts! Daily Level Signal: Price has broken below the key support at 1600 (200-day moving average + Fibonacci 61.8% level), MACD death cross accelerates downward, RSI has dropped to 40, and the bearish pattern is clear.
4-Hour Level Signal: Price rebounded from 1551 to 1575, but trading volume has shrunk (volume is only 40% of the downtrend), forming a 'volume-less rebound', need to be cautious of the risk of a second bottom.
Indicator Conflict: KDJ is stagnated in the oversold zone (J value < 20), MACD histogram is close to the zero axis, short-term bulls and bears are at a standstill, direction needs volume confirmation.
Support Level: 1520 Resistance Level: 1633
Operation Suggestions
Bullish: Enter when the price stabilizes at 1590 Target: 1650
Bearish: Enter when the price breaks below 1530 Target: 1480
4-Hour Level Signal: Price rebounded from 1551 to 1575, but trading volume has shrunk (volume is only 40% of the downtrend), forming a 'volume-less rebound', need to be cautious of the risk of a second bottom.
Indicator Conflict: KDJ is stagnated in the oversold zone (J value < 20), MACD histogram is close to the zero axis, short-term bulls and bears are at a standstill, direction needs volume confirmation.
Support Level: 1520 Resistance Level: 1633
Operation Suggestions
Bullish: Enter when the price stabilizes at 1590 Target: 1650
Bearish: Enter when the price breaks below 1530 Target: 1480
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April 16th Big Pie Strategy
Daily Level: MACD red bars golden cross continues, RSI is flat in the neutral zone at 50, price is constrained by the resistance zone of 83000-84000.
4-Hour Level: Bollinger Bands are narrowing, price continuously tests the middle band resistance unsuccessfully, KDJ forms a death cross, short-term bearish signals are strengthening. Key support below is at 83000-83200 (EMA30 + previous low dense area), breaking below will trigger stop-loss orders.
Volume-price divergence risk: Current rebound to 83960 has a trading volume that decreased by 12% compared to the previous day, showing characteristics of a "shrinking volume rebound". If it cannot quickly increase volume to break through 84000, a false breakout trap may form.
Support Level: 82,000 Resistance Level: 84,500
Operation Suggestions
Long Entry: Enter when price stabilizes at 84000 Target: 85500
Short Entry: Enter when price breaks below 82500 Target: 81000
Daily Level: MACD red bars golden cross continues, RSI is flat in the neutral zone at 50, price is constrained by the resistance zone of 83000-84000.
4-Hour Level: Bollinger Bands are narrowing, price continuously tests the middle band resistance unsuccessfully, KDJ forms a death cross, short-term bearish signals are strengthening. Key support below is at 83000-83200 (EMA30 + previous low dense area), breaking below will trigger stop-loss orders.
Volume-price divergence risk: Current rebound to 83960 has a trading volume that decreased by 12% compared to the previous day, showing characteristics of a "shrinking volume rebound". If it cannot quickly increase volume to break through 84000, a false breakout trap may form.
Support Level: 82,000 Resistance Level: 84,500
Operation Suggestions
Long Entry: Enter when price stabilizes at 84000 Target: 85500
Short Entry: Enter when price breaks below 82500 Target: 81000
See original
Daily Level: The price is in the 1600-1700 consolidation range, MACD has a golden cross but the momentum is weak, RSI is neutral to bullish in the 55 area, not reaching overbought. If it breaks through the 1700 resistance (200-day moving average + options resistance zone), it may open up upward space to 1750-1850; if it breaks down through the 1580-1600 support zone, it may accelerate the pullback to 1550.
4-Hour Level: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, the price is testing the middle band support, the EMA moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, but the MACD histogram is expanding below the zero line, indicating an intensification of short-term bullish and bearish games. The 1-hour chart shows KDJ hovering at a low level, if the J value forms a golden cross or triggers a rebound.
Currently rebounding to 1642, it needs to verify whether the trading volume continues to expand. If it breaks through the 1650-1670 pressure zone without a significant increase in volume (e.g., increment <20%), it may form a 'false breakout' and retest support. The derivatives market ETH funding rate is neutral, showing no signs of overheated speculation, and market sentiment is cautious.
Support Level: 1570 Resistance Level: 1695
Operation Suggestions
Bullish: Enter at 1660 when the price stabilizes Target: 1710
Bearish: Enter at 1620 when the price breaks down Target: 1550
4-Hour Level: The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, the price is testing the middle band support, the EMA moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, but the MACD histogram is expanding below the zero line, indicating an intensification of short-term bullish and bearish games. The 1-hour chart shows KDJ hovering at a low level, if the J value forms a golden cross or triggers a rebound.
Currently rebounding to 1642, it needs to verify whether the trading volume continues to expand. If it breaks through the 1650-1670 pressure zone without a significant increase in volume (e.g., increment <20%), it may form a 'false breakout' and retest support. The derivatives market ETH funding rate is neutral, showing no signs of overheated speculation, and market sentiment is cautious.
Support Level: 1570 Resistance Level: 1695
Operation Suggestions
Bullish: Enter at 1660 when the price stabilizes Target: 1710
Bearish: Enter at 1620 when the price breaks down Target: 1550
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