番茄说币

【Countdown 3 days, I'm stating this: The last "shanzhai high-speed train" in 2025 will not check tickets, and you'll have to stand on the platform in the cold wind until 2026!】

Still struggling with market fluctuations? Hear my heartfelt advice: The "wealth train" of shanzhai coins is about to enter the "golden boarding interval". If you don't decisively layout in these few days, you might have to wait another year helplessly next year!

It's not that I intentionally create a tense atmosphere, but three "starting signals" have clearly emerged. Right now is the last quarter of 2025, and every day of hesitation could mean missing out on a doubling market.

Why am I so sure the shanzhai season is coming?
Firstly, the large-scale liquidation on October 11 was significant.
Many contract players were forced out, the "selling pressure burden" of shanzhai coins was lifted, and the main force's cost of pulling the market down was greatly reduced, which is undoubtedly a key signal before the launch.
Secondly, the "ceremonial pull-up" for Christmas is about to debut. Don't think this is nonsense; the market had already been stirring at this time last year.
Project parties need to prepare annual financial reports and earn "New Year money", just like we push for performance at the end of the year. This wave of demand occurs every year and is highly credible.
Thirdly, anti-human signals have already appeared.
Currently, 90% of people are too afraid of risks to buy spot shanzhai coins. However, the crypto circle has always been "when most people panic, opportunities quietly arise". Before the start of the shanzhai season in 2021 and 2023, it was the same; the more afraid people are to buy, the easier it is to miss out.

However, investment cannot be blind and impulsive.
It is recommended to first try small positions, and do not go all in; choose shanzhai coins with ecological support and stay away from air coins; key points can be taken in batches to secure profits and safely put them in your pocket.

At this moment, are you already itching to take action and showcase your skills in the shanzhai season? Feel free to share the shanzhai coins you hold,
or share the shanzhai coins you think have potential.
Let us work together to accurately strike in this wave of market and reap wealth together! @番茄说币

How much money do you need to earn to live this kind of life every day.

100,000 USD just showed up and broke the defense? Don't blame the retail investors, this time the sell-off was from Washington]
"After the 'halving', the price of the coin halved, and there was a wail in the WeChat Moments. I was trading in the middle of the night, BTC slid down from 100,000 dollars to 85,000 like a slide, shorts were celebrating, while longs cried.
Everyone is asking: Didn't we agree that the more we mine, the less there is, and the more it rises? Why has the script suddenly changed?

The answer is not in the K-line, but in a gray building in Washington— the U.S. Treasury.
The government is shut down, the budget is stuck, 150 billion dollars are lying in the account, but it feels sealed: the payment system is down, TGA (Treasury General Account) cannot 'release water' to the market.

This money was supposed to be used to purchase bonds, pay contractors, and issue salaries, but now it has all turned into 'dead money'. The traditional market is lacking liquidity, and the crypto circle is the first to feel it— without new dollars, there are no new buy orders, and Bitcoin has become a skyscraper with its foundation pulled out.

Don't underestimate this 150 billion. On-chain data shows that over the past 30 days, the Coinbase premium index has had a -0.82 negative correlation with the TGA balance: for every 10 billion that the Treasury freezes, BTC drops by an average of 2.3%. Liquidity is not just sentiment; it is the true trump card of price.

History has already written the footnote: the 35-day shutdown in December 2018 saw TGA soar by 120 billion, and BTC retraced by 42%; the week after the shutdown ended, the Treasury restarted bond issuance, the dollar index fell, and Bitcoin rebounded by 38% in two weeks.
The script is different, but the director is the same— when Washington presses the switch, the market lights up.

So, the core driving force behind this current 'fake fall' is just one thing: the dollar faucet has been turned off. When Congress raises the debt ceiling and signs temporary appropriations, TGA will flood back into the financial system like a dam break with hundreds of billions of 'living water'.
The first to benefit will always be Bitcoin, which has high beta and frictionless cross-border flow.

What’s the strategy? Instead of staring at the 15-minute K-line every day trying to guess the bottom, it’s better to set your alarm for 2 AM Beijing time on Wednesday— the Treasury releases TGA balance weekly.
As long as there are two consecutive weeks of decline, it will be a signal flare that the 'faucet' is opening, and the suppressed buy orders will be released in concentration; 100,000 dollars is just a rebound intermediary, not a ceiling.

In crypto investing, information disparity is profit disparity. Want to track capital movements in real-time and accurately grasp market turning points? Follow me, and I’ll help you steadily keep pace with the crypto rhythm. @番茄说币

Don't be superstitious about indicator myths anymore. The core of surviving in the crypto world is the MACD divergence that I thoroughly understood after losing 6 million in two liquidations.

When BTC surged to 69,000 in 2021, I had a leveraged position with a floating profit of 3 million, and everyone in the group was shouting "breaking 100,000." But late at night, while monitoring the market, I noticed that although the price hit a new high, the MACD red energy bars had shrunk by half — this scene was strikingly similar to when ETH hit 4,800 three years ago. After painfully liquidating my position, the next day there was a 58% crash, and all I could hear were cries of liquidation. That’s when I understood that a top divergence is a “withdrawal signal” from funds.

When LUNA collapsed last year, the market was filled with curses, but I saw a bottom divergence on the weekly chart: the price hit a new low while the green energy bars shrank by 60%.
Looking on-chain, a certain whale was continuously accumulating 20 million UST every day for three weeks. I built my position in three batches, and after enduring the panic, I earned back 3 million through the RWA concept.
Remember: a top divergence is “price new high + bar shrinkage,” while a bottom divergence is “price new low + bar shrinkage.” Last year, when DOGE surged to 0.35, I used this strategy to liquidate and avoided a 70% crash.

Many people rush in when there's a golden cross, which is purely giving away their positions. When PEPE had its first golden cross in 2024, I saw 20 million USDT in hot wallets moving in and out quickly,
so I decisively waited, and sure enough, it dropped 20% three days later. The real opportunity comes with the second golden cross, resonating between the 30-minute and 4-hour lines,
only then do I make my move when large on-chain transfers double. Last year, when SOL broke 100, I waited for the 4-hour second golden cross + volume to double, and my 30% position doubled in 15 days.

Among the iron laws honed over eight years, the resonance of three cycles is the most critical: the 30-minute determines direction, the 4-hour assesses strength, and the daily locks in trends.
Last year, when BTC fluctuated around 48,000, the daily death cross scared countless people away, but I kept my eyes on the weekly zero line and stubbornly held on until it hit 60,000.
What's even more important is to go against human nature: the first position after a golden cross should never exceed 5%, and after three consecutive stop losses, take a 24-hour break. This is the core of how I turned from losing everything to making consistent profits.

MACD has never been a predictive tool; it is a mirror reflecting the breathing of funds. Being able to distinguish accumulation from distribution through the expansion and contraction of energy bars makes profit a natural outcome. If you want to avoid the scythe and grasp the essence of MACD, follow me. @番茄说币

Alpha New Rules Airdrop Profit Guide: I Increased Monthly Earnings by 40% with These Three Tricks

The Alpha platform's two rounds of rule iterations have completely overturned the airdrop methods for retail investors—many are still clinging to old strategies, resulting in either insufficient scores or missed opportunities.

After more than 30 real-world trials over a month, I have developed a zero-loss strategy, centered around three words: Stable, Accurate, Strict.

The harshest aspect of the new rules is the threshold and the decay mechanism: the basic airdrop score has been uniformly raised from the previous range of 200-220 points to 240 points. More critically, scores will be deducted every 5 minutes after going online, rather than starting to decay only when claimed.

In practical tests, the airdrop went live at 10 o'clock and dropped to 235 points within 5 minutes. Popular options were essentially snatched up around 232 points, while less popular ones dropped to 220 points with some remaining.

The timing for claiming must be precise: the first 10 minutes with scores between 240-230 points is the “guaranteed period.” As long as your score is sufficient, you can claim without worrying about timing; after 10 minutes, it enters the “racing period,” where popular airdrops will be emptied within 30 seconds. Being just one second late can result in missed opportunities, and you may even lose points due to system congestion.

Score accumulation is fundamental, and achieving 18 points daily can be stable: the base score of 16 points is a must—2 points for signing in, 3 points for fast-forwarding tutorials, 5 points for answering questions in community searches,

and 6 points for small transactions over 10U; an additional 2 points can be earned by inviting valid friends or forwarding announcements and comments, with an 80% success rate.
Following this rhythm, you can accumulate 270 points in 15 days, just enough for two airdrop cycles.

When leading investments, be “greedy for stability, not speed”: after claiming once with 270 points, you will have 30 points left. After 12 days of accumulating 216 points, return to 246 points and claim during the guaranteed period for maximum stability. Never be greedy and drop below 230 points to rush for speed; the actual success rate is only 35%.

Risk control must never be slackened: prioritize trading score accumulation by locking onto the platform’s “stability list,” selecting tokens with a volatility of no more than 5% over the past 7 days and an average daily transaction volume of over 5 million U, with a maximum of 2 transactions per day of 10-20U, keeping costs manageable.

Only trust official Telegram groups and public accounts for information, paired with official platforms like CoinGecko for airdrop sections, as unofficial “internal groups” are all traps.

The essence of the new rules is to filter for patient individuals: focus on rule announcements every Wednesday, accumulate scores according to the process without staying up late, and start by completing the 16-point basic tasks for trial and error.

With this logic, my average monthly airdrop earnings have increased by 40% with no losses. The market never lacks opportunities; what’s lacking is understanding the rules—join me and avoid the detours in airdrops. @番茄说币

The market opened with a sharp drop of 6%! It's not a black swan; it's that funds have been withdrawn.

As soon as the opening bell rang on Wednesday, the numbers on the screen left many gasping for breath—the Nasdaq futures plummeted by 1.6%, and Bitcoin fared even worse, crashing 6% within half an hour.

The community was filled with panic voices saying, "The black swan has arrived," and some even hastily cut their positions. But after reviewing three key pieces of data, I quickly realized: this is not an accident, but rather a clear case of "massive fund withdrawal."

The first piece is the Treasury's "liquidity absorption order." After the U.S. government was shut down for 35 days, the TGA account (Treasury General Account) is nearly depleted.

Last week, the Treasury urgently issued $163 billion in short-term government bonds, meaning the market had to absorb real cash, equivalent to withdrawing hundreds of billions in liquidity overnight. The stock market and cryptocurrency sector are essentially driven by capital, so a loss of liquidity leading to a decline was inevitable.

The second piece is the Federal Reserve's "signal of cooling interest rate cut expectations." The statement "the policy path is not yet determined" directly smashed the market's expectations for a rate cut in December from 70% to 45%.

Short-term funds rapidly reduced leverage overnight, with a pile-up of liquidation orders, further tightening an already strained liquidity situation, leading to a rapid drop.

The third piece is the "tight funding dark line" between banks. The scale of the Federal Reserve's emergency liquidity tools has surged to a peak not seen since the pandemic, with overnight interbank lending also showing significant signs of tightening.

On the surface, the market does not lack funds, but active capital is entirely locked up by government bond issuances and reverse repos, unable to flow into the stock market or cryptocurrency sector.

Don't panic; this round of sharp decline is by no means the start of a bear market.
As long as the government shutdown ends and the Federal Reserve sends a moderate signal, the withdrawn funds are likely to flow back quickly.

Cutting losses now is like throwing your chips on the floor; holding cash and watching the severely undervalued leading stocks is the best strategy at this moment. If you want to capture the signal of fund inflow and accurately seize the opportunity to bottom out on severely undervalued assets, just follow me. @番茄说币

“80,000 down payment, $450 per Bitcoin, I didn't even blink and went all in.”

When my friend heard this, the chopsticks fell directly onto the table: “Are you crazy?”

I laughed lightly, but inside I felt like a firecracker had gone off — the huge bang in 2018 blew me from the beach in Phuket into the abyss of a bear market,
then blew out four life-saving iron rules. Today we'll first talk about fireworks, then pass the lighthouse; those who want to come ashore, follow me on the last sentence.

1. Only make money that you understand.
The first loss was in NFTs. The big shot shouted, “A picture will multiply ten times,” and without even clicking on the smart contract, I rushed in with 250,000.

Three days later, the picture was still there, but the money was gone. At that moment I understood: outside the circle of cognition, it's not a gold mine, it's a crematorium. From then on, I only wrote code I could understand and only invested in projects with clear logic.

2. A steady position means a good night's sleep.
The illusion of getting rich quickly burns money the most. I divided my position into three parts: 50% anchored in BTC and ETH as digital real estate; 30% for inter-period arbitrage to earn stable price differences; and the last 20% in a cold wallet, with the keys around my neck, ensuring I wouldn't starve no matter how fierce the market was. At night, I dream of the sound of waves, not liquidation alarms.

3. Leverage = sickle, not touching it is earning.
On that glorious night of contracts, I had 20x leverage, with a paper profit of 870,000, but then a single 8% needle brought my account to zero.

Before deleting the app, I took a screenshot and set it as my phone wallpaper — if I felt impulsive, I'd look at it first. After half a year, I preserved the principal and didn't go crazy.
4. Only trust on-chain data for news.

Before the LUNA crash in 2022, the on-chain locked positions evaporated by 70% in three days. I cleared my positions ahead of time based on the data, and looking back, my friends were still entering the “century's golden pit.” Signal groups and KOL tweets were all smoke and mirrors; data is the true track. Don't run blindly with your eyes closed; you need to see the traffic lights clearly.

Four years have passed; I no longer count stories of 100 times but write my ledger based on a 20% annual compound interest. In the cryptocurrency world, running fast doesn't count as a skill; going far makes you a winner.
If you are also tired of the rollercoaster of skyrocketing and plummeting, and want to exchange your torches for streetlights — @番茄说币

Brother——"Yubing kicked the door open, and my phone almost hit my face. 'The Bitcoin I invested in at the beginning of the year has a return of 0.7% in ten months, even Yu'ebao is laughing at me!\n\nI glanced at that straight K-line, as straight as a subway handrail, and couldn't smile: 'Forty-two thousand at the beginning of the year, now forty-one thousand, wasting 300 days, and losing two thousand in transaction fees.\nIn the U.S. stock market, new highs are reached every day, gold is steadily anti-recession, and A-shares have even risen out of shame. But this 'digital gold' is lying like digital cement.\n\nShe pulled up the group chat, poking the words 'halving surge' and 'anti-inflation artifact' in front of me: 'Who was bragging back then? Where's your face?\n\nI enlarged the cycle chart: 'Don't just blame altcoins for cutting leeks, Bitcoin is equally failing this year. Expectations are sky-high, but the result looks like an ECG. It hasn't even surpassed the most basic 'outperforming Yu'ebao.' What kind of benchmark is that?\n\nXiaoting added: 'So it's okay to criticize the shoddy ones for crashing, but the big boss gets a free pass for slacking off? Double standards in action.'\nI nodded: 'Assets are assets; poor performance deserves criticism.\nWe buy it for high volatility upwards, not for high volatility playing dead. Ten months of negative returns are frustrating for anyone.\nYubing looked dejected: 'If I had known, I would have thrown it all into Yu'ebao. At least I could wake up to two cups of milk tea money every day without having to stare at the market all night.\n\nI handed her a bottle of ice cola: 'The market always has ups and downs, but don't treat any asset like a god. Bitcoin can slip too; if expectations are wrong, admit it so that capital can flow to more fertile places.\nComplaining is worse than reviewing, and stumbling is better than falling into a pit.\nShe sighed: 'So what do we do now?\n\nI pulled her into the study, where the screen displayed real-time strategy pools: U.S. stock ETFs, gold grids, short-term bond reverse repos, and the yield curve is gently red. 'Don't be superstitious, don't leave gaps; hand over the positions to probability and the anxiety to the system. The rest is up to time.\nThere are market trends every day, and anxiety is renewed every night—follow the right people. @番茄说币