BTC is currently trading around 117K, following an established uptrend channel. While the overall structure remains bullish, momentum is beginning to weaken. Each candle is showing less strength, hinting that the uptrend may be running out of steam.
The recent volatility spike was news-driven, but since then the move has slowed. On the moving averages, both the 21 and 50 MAs are still trending upward, yet price has stretched far away from them. This distance often signals that a pullback or mean reversion is likely.
Momentum indicators confirm the slowdown. RSI (7) is holding around 65, still in bullish territory but suggesting limited upside potential as momentum fades. Despite trading volume, price is struggling to make significant progress higher.
Another key factor is Fibonacci. The uptrend is approaching the 0.618 retracement level of the previous major move,( historically a zone where reversals often occur). If price continues to show weakness near this level, the risk of a trendline breakdown increases.
🔎 Outlook: BTC remains in an uptrend but is showing clear signs of exhaustion. Watch for a potential retest of moving averages and a possible break below the trendline if weakness persists. #BTC #Bitcoin❗ #analysis
The pair has been in a broad long-term downtrend, with price almost in a free fall. On the daily chart, it has just reached a support zone that aligns with multiple confluences.
Price has tapped into an FVG (Fair Value Gap) and sits well below the moving averages, suggesting room for a corrective move higher. Additionally, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level lines up with this area, strengthening the case for a bounce.
Outlook: From current levels, I expect an upward move as price attempts to catch up with key MAs and possibly retrace from oversold conditions. ⚡
$NOT has recently dropped 8%+, currently trading around 0.00186. On the 4H chart, the 21 and 50 MAs are crossing downward, signaling short-term weakness Looking at the broader structure, price appears to be forming a falling wedge, often indicating a potential breakout setup.
An unmitigated order block lies below, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, which could serve as a key support zone.
Outlook: Expect further short-term downside toward the 0.618 level, followed by a possible breakout pump once liquidity is tapped. #NOT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Altcoins
1/ Fundamental Analysis 🔍 A massive 11.31M APT unlock (≈2.20% of total supply) is scheduled for Sept 11, 2025 – 10AM UTC.
⚠️ This could add selling pressure if whales offload. But: rising buzz may also attract speculative traders to play volatility.
Source: Tokenomist
2/ Technical Analysis (1W & 1D) 📊
Trend: Price stuck in downtrend, all major EMAs (21, 50, 100, 200) above. EMA21: Strong resistance, multiple rejections. RSI (7): ~40 → bearish bias, nearing oversold. Volume: Decreasing → possible accumulation zone.
3/ 1D Chart Insights
Sell volume dominant. RSI EMA still pointing down. Price is “trapped” in a narrow channel. ⚡ Setup: Possible liquidity grab (quick upside stop-hunt) → followed by a bigger move down into unlock.
4/ Market Sentiment
Short-term traders could push APT higher → short squeeze risk. Mid-term remains bearish due to supply unlock. Smart play: Watch for fake pump → sell-off pattern early September into the event.
5/ ✅ Conclusion APT is in a bearish macro trend. But signs of accumulation + short squeeze potential mean a short-term pop is possible.
⚠️ The Sept 11 unlock = sell-the-news risk. 👉 Careful positioning is key
CRO has shown an aggressive pump, landing in the top gainer list. On the daily chart, price has tested the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, a strong resistance zone.
Momentum is overheated with RSI(7) above 90, suggesting extreme overbought conditions. While volume is still heavy on the upside, signs of an early correction are visible. This raises the probability of selling pressure entering the market.
EMAs are neutral, giving no strong signal at this stage. Based on these factors, I maintain a bearish outlook and expect a corrective move if resistance continues to hold